Will the match end in a draw?
open
Total volume
$1,215
$9,248 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$1,260
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-12 12:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-60.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $17
vs crowd: 61% YES on $977)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $64 | $301 | $237 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $528 | $68 | +$460 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $17 | $17 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $62 | $24 | +$38 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Median | 7 | $54 | $1 | +$53 |
| Below median | 3 | $23 | — | +$23 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $64 | $328 | $263 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $44 | $15 | +$29 |
| unranked | 3 | $336 | — | +$336 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Understated-Opossum 0x7a5d…54db | No | +1,000 | $260 | $260 | 1 | 05-12 10:02 |
| Acrobatic-Purpose 0x74d7…c38f | Yes | +344 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-10 10:25 |
| Worthless-Payment 0xde19…3c92 | Yes | +300 | $222 | $222 | 1 | 05-12 10:02 |
| Understated-Opossum 0x7a5d…54db | Yes | +207 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 05-10 12:12 |
| Agonizing-Fighter 0x19d0…d038 | Yes | +200 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 05-11 04:49 |
| Flaky-Wound 0x43fe…26ee | Yes | +150 | $52 | $52 | 2 | 05-10 09:19 |
| Gorgeous-Felony 0xcc91…1a88 | Yes | +100 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 05-12 07:36 |
| Shocked-Stadium 0x6f19…b9ff | No | +90 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 05-10 10:51 |
| Flashy-Import 0xdfcb…ced9 | Yes | +80 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-10 08:08 |
| Far-Precipitation 0x4df3…788f | No | +62 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-12 04:38 |
| Familiar-Temp 0x7736…73e5 | Yes | +55 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 04:29 |
| Dear-Dinghy 0xe34c…510f | Yes | +42 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-10 14:52 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +31 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-08 08:35 |
| Thankful-Week 0xb6a8…3293 | Yes | +19 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-12 05:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x6495…4f4a | Yes | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 08:49 |
| Shallow-Point 0x0cab…97c9 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 03:48 |
| Intentional-Facsimile 0x3eac…fe52 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 09:27 |
| Rural-Sight 0xe450…91b9 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 07:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 12:12:53 | Complicated-Guest 0x92dd…96d3 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x523fb1… |
| 05-12 10:22:42 | Mysterious-Owner 0x7c3c…9941 | No | SELL | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0xec00d4… |
| 05-12 10:02:41 | Understated-Opossum 0x7a5d…54db | No | BUY | 1,000 | 26¢ | $260 | 0x3c9e07… |
| 05-12 10:02:41 | Worthless-Payment 0xde19…3c92 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 74¢ | $222 | 0x1f5e2b… |
| 05-12 09:27:29 | Intentional-Facsimile 0x3eac…fe52 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x7b8773… |
| 05-12 07:36:13 | Gorgeous-Felony 0xcc91…1a88 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 44¢ | $44 | 0x47bf11… |
| 05-12 07:31:12 | Rural-Sight 0xe450…91b9 | No | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x9b0505… |
| 05-12 06:16:11 | Happy-Spray 0x5d5f…e612 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 55¢ | $14 | 0x306cfd… |
| 05-12 05:29:38 | Stylish-Permit 0xd19e…d396 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 67¢ | $8 | 0x57fc28… |
| 05-12 05:25:48 | Thankful-Week 0xb6a8…3293 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 76¢ | $14 | 0x019e71… |
| 05-12 04:49:26 | (anonymous) 0x6183…4fa8 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x7c9dc0… |
| 05-12 04:38:58 | Far-Precipitation 0x4df3…788f | No | BUY | 55 | 20¢ | $11 | 0x923adc… |
| 05-12 03:48:46 | Shallow-Point 0x0cab…97c9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xd1298c… |
| 05-11 13:18:19 | Agonizing-Fighter 0x19d0…d038 | No | SELL | 100 | 19¢ | $19 | 0x43ede8… |
| 05-11 11:43:28 | Glum-Centimeter 0x22f3…6c94 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 79¢ | $79 | 0xd0de97… |
| 05-11 08:49:47 | (anonymous) 0x6495…4f4a | Yes | BUY | 13 | 74¢ | $10 | 0xf03006… |
| 05-11 04:49:27 | Agonizing-Fighter 0x19d0…d038 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 17¢ | $34 | 0xeda1ee… |
| 05-11 04:34:06 | Far-Precipitation 0x4df3…788f | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x51512c… |
| 05-10 14:52:31 | Dear-Dinghy 0xe34c…510f | Yes | BUY | 42 | 40¢ | $17 | 0x7fa20e… |
| 05-10 12:12:30 | Understated-Opossum 0x7a5d…54db | Yes | BUY | 207 | 31¢ | $64 | 0x615f18… |
| 05-10 10:51:48 | Shocked-Stadium 0x6f19…b9ff | No | BUY | 90 | 75¢ | $68 | 0x72ecfa… |
| 05-10 10:25:40 | Acrobatic-Purpose 0x74d7…c38f | Yes | BUY | 344 | 29¢ | $100 | 0x281f9c… |
| 05-10 09:19:17 | Flaky-Wound 0x43fe…26ee | Yes | BUY | 50 | 36¢ | $18 | 0x8d3cc5… |
| 05-10 09:08:31 | Flaky-Wound 0x43fe…26ee | Yes | BUY | 100 | 34¢ | $34 | 0xa13c83… |
| 05-10 08:16:45 | Tempting-Chrysalis 0x10ff…5088 | No | SELL | 60 | 73¢ | $44 | 0x6fcd66… |
| 05-10 08:08:09 | Flashy-Import 0xdfcb…ced9 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 27¢ | $22 | 0x33ec8b… |
| 05-08 11:24:46 | Tempting-Chrysalis 0x10ff…5088 | No | SELL | 42 | 76¢ | $32 | 0x45b0a6… |
| 05-08 11:24:46 | Tempting-Chrysalis 0x10ff…5088 | No | SELL | 42 | 76¢ | $32 | 0x509419… |
| 05-08 10:39:25 | Tempting-Chrysalis 0x10ff…5088 | No | BUY | 19 | 78¢ | $15 | 0xcb4d8b… |
| 05-08 09:39:18 | Alive-Colony 0x2587…a423 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x3e9c0f… |
| 05-08 08:35:17 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 31 | 78¢ | $24 | 0x145c55… |
| 05-08 04:29:35 | Familiar-Temp 0x7736…73e5 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xe549e0… |
| 05-08 04:19:59 | Alive-Colony 0x2587…a423 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe0e3fc… |