Intentional-Facsimile 0x3eac7a…6efe52
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Realized P&L
+$277
Unrealized P&L
-$56
Hit rate
68.9%
Resolved
1,147
Trades
29,404
lifetime
Volume
$26.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$1.74K
23 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 05-22 09:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Other
83% 17% +$241
Sports
8% 11% +$10
Politics
6% 16% +$18
Tech
2% 20% +$5
Crypto
1% 9% +$3
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? Yes +1,655 $565 48¢ $794 +$229 05-21 22:09
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes +1,660 $846 34¢ $556 -$290 05-21 22:09
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +245 $78 75¢ $184 +$105 05-14 09:48
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +95 $29 48¢ $46 +$17 05-12 21:30
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +250 $64 13¢ $32 -$32 05-14 09:48
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +95 $22 34¢ $32 +$11 05-12 21:30
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $21 96¢ $29 +$8 05-18 07:11
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes +1,655 $3 1¢ $24 +$21 05-21 22:09
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes +245 $89 6¢ $13 -$75 05-14 09:48
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +19 $4 52¢ $10 +$6 05-04 13:02
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +95 $12 6¢ $6 -$6 05-12 21:30
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +95 $23 6¢ $5 -$18 05-12 21:30
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +19 $6 22¢ $4 -$2 05-04 13:02
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? Yes +70 $4 4¢ $2 -$1 05-12 21:26
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? Yes +70 $24 2¢ $2 -$22 05-12 21:26
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +19 $1 9¢ $2 +$1 05-04 13:02
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes +50 $1 1¢ $1 $0 05-06 04:04
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +30 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 05-18 07:11
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes +30 $0 1¢ $0 $0 05-18 07:11
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes +30 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 05-18 07:11
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +30 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-18 07:11
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +30 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-18 07:11
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes +30 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-18 07:11