Intentional-Facsimile — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$341

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

Trades

9,753

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 04-28 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

79% 36% +$17

Sports

14% 12% $-358

Tech

4% — —

Politics

3% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 2064 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	396	$1.9K	1,980	+1,980	open	—	04-27 05:51
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	260	$1.3K	1,300	+1,300	open	—	04-27 16:45
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	126	$597	630	+630	Yes	+$33	04-27 10:53
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	120	$580	600	+600	open	—	04-21 14:37
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	105	$510	525	+525	Yes	+$15	04-23 22:46
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	128	$486	640	+640	No	$-486	04-27 20:11
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	99	$483	495	+495	open	—	04-26 10:44
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	90	$432	450	+450	open	—	04-23 20:16
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?	92	$381	460	+460	open	—	04-25 03:19
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	164	$266	820	+820	No	$-266	04-18 08:50
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	164	$231	820	+820	open	—	04-18 08:50
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	164	$207	820	+820	open	—	04-18 08:50
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	43	$202	215	+215	open	—	04-27 19:50
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?	46	$182	230	+230	open	—	04-27 07:13
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	39	$158	195	+195	Yes	+$37	04-26 06:46
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	128	$145	640	+640	Yes	+$495	04-27 20:11
will lee cronins the mummy opening weekend box office be between 10m and 15m	28	$125	140	+140	open	—	04-19 23:32
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	37	$98	185	+185	open	—	04-25 19:50
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	165	$96	825	+825	No	$-96	04-20 16:25
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	22	$94	110	+110	open	—	04-27 07:40
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?	22	$91	120	+120	open	—	04-25 09:23
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	37	$85	185	+185	open	—	04-25 19:50
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be less than 44m	15	$72	75	+75	open	—	04-15 19:54
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?	92	$71	460	+460	open	—	04-25 03:19
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	396	$70	1,980	+1,980	open	—	04-27 05:50
will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be at least 2pt5	20	$63	100	+100	open	—	04-22 20:13
will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	30	$62	145	+145	open	—	04-18 23:30
donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 180 199	18	$59	92	+92	open	—	04-21 15:58
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	19	$50	95	+95	open	—	04-28 03:04
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	43	$46	215	+215	open	—	04-24 22:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 03:04:00	Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe0670e…
04-28 03:04:00	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb58beb…
04-28 03:04:00	Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa53d4d…
04-28 03:04:00	Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9fab34…
04-28 03:04:00	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x72d8ba…
04-28 03:04:00	Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6f24a9…
04-28 03:04:00	Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x57ce99…
04-28 03:03:00	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf8248a…
04-28 03:03:00	Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc46fb4…
04-28 03:03:00	Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8493f2…
04-28 03:03:00	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6ae5b6…
04-28 03:03:00	Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3de336…
04-28 03:03:00	Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x178f1a…
04-28 03:03:00	Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x12a80b…
04-27 20:11:02	Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd8f266…
04-27 20:11:00	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc295f7…
04-27 20:11:00	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x8d7988…
04-27 19:50:40	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1159cb…
04-27 19:50:38	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xede91a…
04-27 19:50:38	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa136d6…
04-27 19:50:28	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1dc390…
04-27 19:50:26	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x916bac…
04-27 19:50:26	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1c6fcb…
04-27 19:50:22	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbc8580…
04-27 19:50:22	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7ff35b…
04-27 19:50:20	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5494ed…
04-27 19:50:16	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xae5e7d…
04-27 19:50:16	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x600941…
04-27 19:50:16	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3d6eb6…
04-27 19:50:14	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf6ab9a…
04-27 19:50:12	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe6b4e9…
04-27 19:50:12	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb0a29a…
04-27 19:50:12	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xafea89…
04-27 19:50:12	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x56b743…
04-27 19:50:10	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe1d874…
04-27 19:50:10	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x57d960…
04-27 19:50:08	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf884b7…
04-27 19:50:08	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe3b024…
04-27 19:50:08	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7640ce…
04-27 19:50:08	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6e8534…
04-27 19:50:06	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x999148…
04-27 19:50:06	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x836d12…
04-27 19:49:52	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3b4aed…
04-27 19:49:48	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb73335…
04-27 19:49:46	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb9434c…
04-27 19:49:44	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbb0ad5…
04-27 19:49:42	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4f104f…
04-27 19:49:40	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xafb7c6…
04-27 19:49:40	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7e3501…
04-27 19:49:38	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x817c68…
04-27 19:49:38	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0dbf9d…
04-27 19:49:32	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbc7c9f…
04-27 19:49:32	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1cc574…
04-27 16:45:00	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf7e73d…
04-27 16:45:00	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd264c1…
04-27 16:45:00	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x53d5b4…
04-27 16:45:00	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x27129a…
04-27 16:44:00	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc15fd9…
04-27 16:44:00	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x84babc…
04-27 16:44:00	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x66ed73…
04-27 16:44:00	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3f2a28…
04-27 16:42:58	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf21d08…
04-27 16:42:58	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd637b7…
04-27 16:42:58	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa2b507…
04-27 16:42:58	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x947b2d…
04-27 15:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf25101…
04-27 15:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd33349…
04-27 15:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbaa299…
04-27 15:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x89a9c4…
04-27 15:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7c0b66…
04-27 15:05:00	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x79a0b1…
04-27 15:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4b1eef…
04-27 15:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x48cb1a…
04-27 15:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2e7ebc…
04-27 15:05:00	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1c8585…
04-27 10:53:00	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd25a83…
04-27 10:53:00	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x01330e…
04-27 09:41:00	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4c7d19…
04-27 09:41:00	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0c1fdd…
04-27 09:30:00	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8bf9c6…
04-27 09:30:00	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x29093b…
04-27 09:26:00	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd097f5…
04-27 09:26:00	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2819d6…
04-27 09:24:00	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd15aca…
04-27 09:24:00	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc0372d…
04-27 09:24:00	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb42e2a…
04-27 09:24:00	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17.5m?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa4192a…
04-27 09:24:00	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x25f9ee…
04-27 09:20:00	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfc5467…
04-27 09:20:00	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17.5m?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd0ee6d…
04-27 09:20:00	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa0f4d9…
04-27 09:20:00	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x91efea…
04-27 09:20:00	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5287e6…
04-27 09:06:00	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe9406f…
04-27 09:06:00	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd9f87b…
04-27 09:06:00	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8e161c…
04-27 09:06:00	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4d008d…
04-27 09:06:00	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17.5m?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1415ae…
04-27 09:04:00	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc9b934…
04-27 09:04:00	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xae3395…