Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
171
lifetime
Volume
$109
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$112
29 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 02:39
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
98%
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +50 $32 66¢ $33 +$0 05-06 02:39
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +50 $14 32¢ $16 +$2 05-06 02:39
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026? Yes +30 $8 43¢ $13 +$5 05-05 04:15
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision? Yes +15 $11 70¢ $10 $-1 05-05 18:57
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $6 65¢ $6 +$0 05-04 21:04
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026? Yes +25 $5 18¢ $4 $-0 05-05 04:15
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +10 $2 42¢ $4 +$2 05-05 13:40
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $3 36¢ $4 +$0 05-04 21:04
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision? Yes +15 $3 22¢ $3 +$0 05-05 18:57
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +10 $3 30¢ $3 $-0 05-05 13:40
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes +10 $4 29¢ $3 $-1 05-05 13:40
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026? Yes +30 $3 $2 $-0 05-05 04:15
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026? Yes +30 $2 $2 $-0 05-05 04:15
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026? Yes +30 $2 $2 $-0 05-05 04:15
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026? Yes +25 $5 $2 $-3 05-05 04:15
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026? Yes +30 $1 $1 $-0 05-05 04:15
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +50 $1 $1 $-0 05-06 02:39
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026? Yes +30 $1 $0 $-0 05-05 04:15
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +50 $0 $0 $-0 05-06 02:39
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $0 $0 +$0 05-04 21:04
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +50 $0 $0 +$0 05-06 02:39
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +50 $0 $0 +$0 05-06 02:39
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +50 $0 $0 +$0 05-06 02:39
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +50 $0 $0 +$0 05-06 02:39
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +50 $0 $0 +$0 05-06 02:39
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +50 $0 $0 +$0 05-06 02:39
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the May decision? Yes +15 $0 $0 $-0 05-05 18:57
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $0 $0 $-0 05-04 21:04
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $0 $0 $-0 05-04 21:04