Intentional-Facsimile 0x3eac7a…6efe52
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Realized P&L (90d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
—
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
187
187 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$118
$118 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$119
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 03:58
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
90% — —
Politics
8% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +50 $32 64¢ $32 $-1 05-06 02:39
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +50 $14 35¢ $17 +$3 05-06 02:39
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026? Yes +30 $8 43¢ $13 +$5 05-05 04:15
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision? Yes +15 $11 72¢ $11 $-1 05-05 18:57
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $6 65¢ $6 +$0 05-04 21:04
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? Yes +10 $6 55¢ $5 $-1 05-06 03:58
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +10 $2 42¢ $4 +$2 05-05 13:40
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $3 36¢ $4 +$0 05-04 21:04
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision? Yes +15 $3 22¢ $3 +$0 05-05 18:57
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +10 $3 30¢ $3 $-0 05-05 13:40
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes +10 $4 29¢ $3 $-1 05-05 13:40
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026? Yes +25 $5 12¢ $3 $-2 05-05 04:15
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026? Yes +30 $3 8¢ $3 $-0 05-05 04:15
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026? Yes +30 $2 8¢ $2 $-0 05-05 04:15
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026? Yes +30 $2 7¢ $2 $-0 05-05 04:15
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026? Yes +25 $5 6¢ $2 $-3 05-05 04:15
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes +10 $1 16¢ $2 +$1 05-06 03:58
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +50 $1 3¢ $1 $-0 05-06 02:39
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026? Yes +30 $1 5¢ $1 $-0 05-05 04:15
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026? Yes +30 $1 1¢ $0 $-0 05-05 04:15
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes +10 $0 4¢ $0 $-0 05-06 03:58
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes +10 $0 4¢ $0 $-0 05-06 03:58
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes +10 $0 3¢ $0 $-0 05-06 03:58
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes +10 $0 3¢ $0 $-0 05-06 03:58
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes +10 $0 2¢ $0 $-0 05-06 03:58
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 $-0 05-06 02:39
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 $-0 05-06 03:58
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 $-0 05-04 21:04
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 05-06 02:39
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 05-06 02:39