Happy-Spray — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$227

Unrealized P&L

-$50

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

378

Trades

1,791

lifetime

Volume

$17.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$31

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-01 08:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 187 days

Categories

Other

84% 53% +$163

Crypto

14% 50% +$121

Sports

1% 0% -$56

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+234	$117	5¢	$12	-$105	09-16 03:24
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	-41	-$26	20¢	$-8	+$18	06-23 03:01
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	-100	-$41	7¢	$-7	+$33	10-06 05:38
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	-10	-$4	28¢	$-3	+$1	06-20 14:19
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	-10	-$3	2¢	$-0	+$2	06-18 03:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crint lka gbr 2026 02 22	24	$716	470	470	+0	England	-$35	02-22 12:39
crint ind nld 2026 02 18	10	$695	401	301	+100	India	+$2	02-18 17:03
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	7	$432	239	239	+0	No	+$36	02-22 07:07
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 6 million	4	$394	228	228	+0	Yes	+$2	01-05 13:07
crint lka nzl 2026 02 25	21	$326	1,424	154	+1,270	New Zealand	-$36	02-25 16:24
cricipl guj kol 2026 04 17	9	$300	179	179	+0	Gujarat Titans	-$5	04-17 17:33
crint afg can 2026 02 19	7	$273	160	160	+0	Afghanistan	+$2	02-19 14:08
cricipl luc guj 2026 04 12	18	$258	329	328	+1	Gujarat Titans	-$3	04-12 13:26
crint lka zwe 2026 02 19	12	$248	150	150	+0	Zimbabwe	+$2	02-19 12:05
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$246	200	200	+0	open	—	10-06 05:41
crint ind zwe 2026 02 26	3	$238	170	70	+100	India	+$0	02-26 15:41
cricipl sun raj 2026 04 13	15	$236	201	200	+1	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$10	04-13 17:28
crint npl sco 2026 02 17	14	$230	173	160	+13	Nepal	+$2	02-17 16:48
crint ind nzl 2026 01 28	7	$229	137	137	+0	New Zealand	-$9	01-31 04:21
cricipl mum roy 2026 04 12	12	$223	160	160	+0	Royal Challengers Bangalore	-$2	04-12 17:54
crint ind nzl 2026 01 18	5	$217	221	21	+200	New Zealand	+$8	01-18 15:54
Will Australia win?	9	$211	140	140	+0	Yes	+$45	10-13 11:07
crint gbr ita 2026 02 16	2	$195	100	100	+0	England	-$5	02-16 12:43
will india win the 2026 icc mens t20 world cup	7	$192	333	222	+111	Yes	-$54	03-08 15:29
cricipl raj mum 2026 04 07	11	$189	327	325	+2	Rajasthan Royals	-$4	04-07 18:29
crint zaf are 2026 02 18	6	$189	100	100	+0	South Africa	+$3	02-18 07:49
Will India win?	5	$186	200	200	+0	Yes	+$54	07-11 14:21
cricipl sun luc 2026 04 05	12	$180	140	140	+0	Lucknow Super Giants	-$1	04-05 13:05
Will New Zealand win?	7	$174	119	119	+0	Yes	+$6	06-21 10:23
crint gbr pak 2026 02 24	13	$168	161	161	+0	England	+$1	02-24 16:46
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans	8	$166	201	71	+130	Gujarat Titans	-$3	05-09 17:28
crint nld pak 2026 02 07	2	$156	80	80	+0	Pakistan	+$4	02-07 08:55
Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?	1	$150	150	0	+150	Yes	+$0	01-09 08:09
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?	7	$134	153	153	+0	No	+$11	08-21 06:23
Metro Bank One Day Cup Women: The Blaze vs Hampshire Women	13	$126	129	129	+0	The Blaze	+$5	09-19 16:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 08:40:07	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xd9cce3…
11-01 07:17:37	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3b4664…
11-01 07:06:31	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xc4d1ef…
11-01 06:37:34	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xcdf4f6…
11-01 05:25:27	Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Thunder vs Brisbane Heat	Brisbane Heat	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x78041f…
11-01 04:48:45	Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Thunder vs Brisbane Heat	Brisbane Heat	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x236267…
10-31 18:29:37	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd9932e…
10-31 18:29:37	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x21ba6b…
10-31 17:43:48	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x134cae…
10-31 11:08:28	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xf5d0a2…
10-31 09:46:51	Will Australia win?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0x599f3b…
10-31 09:26:52	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xcbd6dc…
10-31 09:23:27	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x232446…
10-31 09:22:54	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	SELL	119	1¢	$1	0xa23474…
10-31 06:48:09	Big Bash League, Women: Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Stars	Melbourne Stars	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x556da2…
10-31 06:37:49	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xd67f74…
10-31 06:37:48	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x0e5d1a…
10-31 06:36:06	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x5549df…
10-31 06:33:06	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x6cdf57…
10-31 06:30:39	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x76f154…
10-31 06:04:45	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xfe8444…
10-31 06:01:42	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x2adb93…
10-31 06:01:09	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x17fbfb…
10-30 14:46:52	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xc74adc…
10-30 10:34:27	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Papua New Guinea vs Kuwait	Papua New Guinea	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x73f46a…
10-30 09:02:09	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Papua New Guinea vs Kuwait	Papua New Guinea	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x445bac…
10-30 07:26:25	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x3de9a9…
10-30 06:55:49	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xf00d81…
10-29 16:05:40	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x36be17…
10-29 15:57:50	1win FDV above $45M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x7aa606…
10-29 13:30:31	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x475dfe…
10-29 09:59:20	1win FDV above $45M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x90d5a9…
10-29 09:39:59	Will South Africa win?	Yes	SELL	210	25¢	$52	0x9e92e9…
10-29 04:51:26	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xd62190…
10-29 03:47:01	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0d4bae…
10-28 16:55:31	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xd1db9d…
10-28 15:34:28	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xa8130d…
10-28 15:31:19	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x0b145a…
10-28 15:25:35	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6a4252…
10-28 12:31:10	1win FDV above $45M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xd1ee65…
10-28 10:38:22	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Denmark	Denmark	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x103717…
10-28 10:15:04	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Denmark	Denmark	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x160b64…
10-28 09:54:35	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Kuwait vs Kenya	Kenya	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x3e615a…
10-28 09:26:46	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xfff7b6…
10-28 09:03:43	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Kuwait vs Kenya	Kenya	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x0a7e4d…
10-28 08:33:20	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xda6e04…
10-28 08:31:08	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Kuwait vs Kenya	Kenya	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x391f78…
10-28 08:27:50	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Denmark	Qatar	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xbb5b25…
10-28 08:25:14	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Denmark	Qatar	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x285dbf…
10-28 08:17:53	Will Australia win?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x7cdea0…
10-28 07:29:11	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Denmark	Qatar	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x907181…
10-28 06:37:22	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Denmark	Qatar	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd7b1ec…
10-28 05:58:44	Will Australia win?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdd5c6d…
10-28 04:43:58	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Kuwait vs Kenya	Kenya	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe06bd2…
10-28 04:30:11	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Denmark	Qatar	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xf89bcc…
10-27 19:35:51	Will Railways win?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xe216fc…
10-27 19:35:51	Will Railways win?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xcab6d3…
10-27 16:17:42	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x1d36b9…
10-27 15:55:05	Will Australia win?	No	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x0daec2…
10-27 15:50:39	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa965fd…
10-27 14:26:35	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x382287…
10-27 13:51:59	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x169014…
10-27 13:51:57	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xf08740…
10-27 10:14:29	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x64a55b…
10-27 09:44:02	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x6bc0f4…
10-27 05:51:06	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xd09ce9…
10-27 04:55:08	Will India A win?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xeb57a9…
10-27 04:28:56	Will India A win?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb616fb…
10-27 00:53:30	Will New Zealand A win?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xf6606a…
10-27 00:41:44	Will New Zealand A win?	Yes	SELL	70	12¢	$8	0xdc1e32…
10-26 21:20:35	Will New Zealand A win?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x964bdb…
10-26 21:20:35	Will New Zealand A win?	Yes	BUY	43	11¢	$5	0x25fecf…
10-26 18:01:54	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x58826d…
10-26 09:08:42	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xfcb492…
10-26 09:04:11	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x69b2ed…
10-26 05:57:32	Will New Zealand A win?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x798181…
10-26 03:53:47	Will New Zealand A win?	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x89bb53…
10-25 23:03:30	Will New Zealand A win?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x58915f…
10-25 15:14:23	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	SELL	25	90¢	$23	0x999201…
10-25 14:44:15	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x730f64…
10-25 13:55:32	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x829ee7…
10-25 13:32:29	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Denmark vs Papua New Guinea	Papua New Guinea	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x259444…
10-25 13:17:08	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Denmark vs Papua New Guinea	Papua New Guinea	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x8299ac…
10-25 12:38:03	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0xc0f350…
10-25 11:40:54	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd7bbbf…
10-25 11:15:03	Cricket World Cup League 2: UAE vs Netherlands	Netherlands	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0xb0e8aa…
10-25 10:09:53	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe1a315…
10-25 06:21:53	Cricket World Cup League 2: UAE vs Netherlands	Netherlands	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x65b367…
10-24 17:15:54	Will New Zealand A win?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x121b7a…
10-24 14:34:14	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Ireland	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xb906ce…
10-24 14:33:47	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Ireland	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x877b5a…
10-24 14:25:38	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Ireland	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x25fb62…
10-24 14:14:35	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Namibia	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xca1efb…
10-24 13:35:50	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Namibia	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x8eb579…
10-24 12:34:42	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Denmark vs Kuwait	Denmark	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x5a3bdd…
10-24 12:27:35	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Denmark vs Kuwait	Denmark	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x1a2a74…
10-24 12:24:50	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Kenya	Qatar	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x6ec700…
10-24 12:02:15	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Denmark vs Kuwait	Denmark	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf02aee…
10-24 11:35:14	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Ireland	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0xe1e5b9…
10-24 10:47:29	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Kenya	Qatar	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x19f221…