Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 6?
open
Total volume
$339
$1,521 in 24h
Trades
44
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$3,044
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $66 | $250 | $184 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 8 | — | $34 | $34 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $29 | $28 |
| unranked | 19 | $65 | $183 | $117 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frigid-Left 0x9a26…c335 | Yes | +261 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 05-05 10:15 |
| Bowed-Jam 0xaa93…0bc7 | Yes | +157 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-05 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x1250…db19 | No | +65 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-04 23:50 |
| Shy-Somersault 0xf68e…a093 | No | +63 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-05 03:05 |
| Vibrant-Vivo 0x4d2f…bad2 | Yes | +53 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-05 16:22 |
| Devoted-Eligibility 0x496d…a2f2 | Yes | +50 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 10:35 |
| Unequaled-Founding 0xe76d…5a75 | Yes | +47 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 12:40 |
| Well-Worn-Shed 0x7164…24fa | No | +44 | $37 | $63 | 2 | 05-05 17:32 |
| Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | +41 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 16:04 |
| Brave-Birch 0xeaae…0de1 | Yes | +34 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 07:41 |
| Bad-Orientation 0x08bf…df57 | No | +31 | $29 | $29 | 6 | 05-05 20:50 |
| Healthy-Calico 0x9945…97c3 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-05 13:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-05 19:11 |
| Giant-Exclamation 0xfaf6…8b41 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 20:11 |
| Whimsical-Hypothesis 0x436b…1fd6 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 20:14 |
| Tiny-Manipulation 0x802b…8b03 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 20:20 |
| Low-Organ 0xd144…eb62 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 16:19 |
| Lively-Pigsty 0x3936…8f21 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 17:22 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 09:25 |
| Total-Tenement 0xd837…3d06 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 18:52 |
| Near-Device 0x3eb9…901e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 21:14 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 10:55 |
| Outstanding-Botany 0x2818…1338 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 17:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 21:14:54 | Near-Device 0x3eb9…901e | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2e6c81… |
| 05-05 20:50:06 | Bad-Orientation 0x08bf…df57 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x6f84c5… |
| 05-05 20:50:00 | Bad-Orientation 0x08bf…df57 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xce796e… |
| 05-05 20:20:02 | Tiny-Manipulation 0x802b…8b03 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5207f2… |
| 05-05 20:14:40 | Bad-Orientation 0x08bf…df57 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x17be60… |
| 05-05 20:14:24 | Bad-Orientation 0x08bf…df57 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xb80664… |
| 05-05 20:14:24 | Whimsical-Hypothesis 0x436b…1fd6 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x7c4fe5… |
| 05-05 20:14:18 | Bad-Orientation 0x08bf…df57 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x36e9bc… |
| 05-05 20:13:32 | Bad-Orientation 0x08bf…df57 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x920c2f… |
| 05-05 20:11:18 | Giant-Exclamation 0xfaf6…8b41 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xaf7c6e… |
| 05-05 20:01:38 | Poised-Tavern 0x65a8…6da5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa96391… |
| 05-05 19:11:22 | (anonymous) 0xbe0c…ebae | No | BUY | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0x686b42… |
| 05-05 18:52:50 | Total-Tenement 0xd837…3d06 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x46dddf… |
| 05-05 17:32:46 | Well-Worn-Shed 0x7164…24fa | No | SELL | 15 | 90¢ | $13 | 0xda8f76… |
| 05-05 17:22:48 | Lively-Pigsty 0x3936…8f21 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x909f3f… |
| 05-05 17:22:44 | Bowed-Jam 0xaa93…0bc7 | Yes | BUY | 157 | 10¢ | $16 | 0x33ffb2… |
| 05-05 17:07:46 | Outstanding-Botany 0x2818…1338 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x6977d9… |
| 05-05 16:22:42 | Vibrant-Vivo 0x4d2f…bad2 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x3d80c6… |
| 05-05 16:19:54 | Low-Organ 0xd144…eb62 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xef4c6c… |
| 05-05 16:04:50 | Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x001312… |
| 05-05 14:29:50 | Simple-Occurrence 0x87d8…ccf3 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8ed7f0… |
| 05-05 13:25:34 | Healthy-Calico 0x9945…97c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xbf5819… |
| 05-05 12:40:18 | Unequaled-Founding 0xe76d…5a75 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xbadfcd… |
| 05-05 10:55:20 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x8b429c… |
| 05-05 10:41:32 | (anonymous) 0x7e03…f879 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xb5c447… |
| 05-05 10:41:30 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x3a7334… |
| 05-05 10:35:10 | Devoted-Eligibility 0x496d…a2f2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x39117c… |
| 05-05 10:15:18 | Frigid-Left 0x9a26…c335 | Yes | BUY | 132 | 10¢ | $13 | 0x44d9d5… |
| 05-05 10:10:24 | Frigid-Left 0x9a26…c335 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xc8e60f… |
| 05-05 10:10:24 | Frigid-Left 0x9a26…c335 | Yes | BUY | 79 | 8¢ | $6 | 0xcb7ecd… |
| 05-05 09:25:22 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0xe1a766… |
| 05-05 09:25:22 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3b58f3… |
| 05-05 08:50:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x28c27d… |
| 05-05 08:36:04 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb1f21e… |
| 05-05 07:41:08 | Brave-Birch 0xeaae…0de1 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 14¢ | $5 | 0xb924ef… |
| 05-05 06:55:18 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x01c0fb… |
| 05-05 06:55:18 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb52488… |
| 05-05 06:55:18 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x691ec4… |
| 05-05 06:55:18 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc1e3dc… |
| 05-05 06:55:18 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb25d51… |
| 05-05 05:15:32 | Well-Worn-Shed 0x7164…24fa | No | BUY | 58 | 86¢ | $50 | 0xbe74d9… |
| 05-05 03:27:24 | Vibrant-Vivo 0x4d2f…bad2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x5f6ec4… |
| 05-05 03:05:18 | Shy-Somersault 0xf68e…a093 | No | BUY | 63 | 79¢ | $50 | 0xe93ac2… |
| 05-04 23:50:00 | (anonymous) 0x1250…db19 | No | BUY | 65 | 77¢ | $50 | 0xd4d3e2… |