Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C or higher on May 15?
open
Total volume
$146
$1,955 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$4,119
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 09:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $78 | $1 | +$77 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $2 | $2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 6 | $55 | $0 | +$55 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 2 | $22 | $1 | +$21 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +114 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 05-13 20:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xdff9…c62f | No | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:01 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +80 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-13 05:58 |
| Required-Vote 0xeb6b…6266 | Yes | +55 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 05-13 22:23 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 00:08 |
| Modern-Playroom 0xf8d2…5bf5 | Yes | +22 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-14 09:44 |
| Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | +15 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-13 05:08 |
| Rich-Worm 0xfb68…aabd | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 09:44:28 | Modern-Playroom 0xf8d2…5bf5 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x9080fe… |
| 05-14 00:08:32 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaf377d… |
| 05-13 22:23:04 | Required-Vote 0xeb6b…6266 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0x371746… |
| 05-13 20:05:57 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8599b3… |
| 05-13 07:11:14 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 31 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe0539f… |
| 05-13 07:11:14 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8bbe24… |
| 05-13 07:11:14 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x451150… |
| 05-13 07:11:14 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0e98e2… |
| 05-13 07:11:14 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x85c452… |
| 05-13 07:11:14 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x895712… |
| 05-13 07:11:14 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf899ea… |
| 05-13 07:11:14 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x72be92… |
| 05-13 07:11:14 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0638a5… |
| 05-13 07:11:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2b7ea8… |
| 05-13 07:11:14 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x232cb8… |
| 05-13 07:11:14 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xfea263… |
| 05-13 07:11:14 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x733425… |
| 05-13 07:11:14 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5022c5… |
| 05-13 06:56:16 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe9e884… |
| 05-13 06:18:39 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 76 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2da3de… |
| 05-13 05:58:57 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 29 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x513632… |
| 05-13 05:58:15 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 51 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x521240… |
| 05-13 05:23:15 | Rich-Worm 0xfb68…aabd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x33aabb… |
| 05-13 05:08:32 | Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1e90c4… |
| 05-13 05:01:28 | (anonymous) 0xdff9…c62f | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfee41b… |
| 05-13 05:01:21 | Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdad2ff… |