Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 12?
open
Total volume
$528
$1,619 in 24h
Trades
37
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$16,431
Latest YES mid
38¢
Latest NO mid
62¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-11 21:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+42.5¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $13
vs crowd: 58% YES on $327)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $175 | $139 | +$36 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $24 | $45 | $21 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $5 | $17 | $12 |
| Median | 3 | $31 | — | +$31 |
| Below median | 5 | $17 | $4 | +$13 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $5 | $72 | $68 |
| unranked | 5 | $93 | — | +$93 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Periodic-Giant 0x1c08…1ff6 | Yes | +200 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 05-11 16:27 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +101 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-11 14:32 |
| Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | +65 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-11 21:42 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +60 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-07 19:52 |
| Even-Stallion 0x4a17…048e | Yes | +57 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-11 18:25 |
| Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | +40 | $34 | $56 | 7 | 05-11 13:27 |
| Yearly-Comradeship 0x9e00…724e | Yes | +30 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-06 04:24 |
| Puny-Refectory 0xeb03…6f84 | Yes | +28 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 22:31 |
| Favorite-Inlaws 0x522d…b2bb | Yes | +24 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 20:36 |
| Unwieldy-Aspect 0xbb35…501d | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 01:49 |
| Knotty-Creature 0x5846…8cab | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 15:32 |
| Threadbare-Crown 0x8247…cb54 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 18:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x6d46…42bb | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 03:55 |
| Blissful-Steel 0x449e…8e36 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 15:17 |
| Doting-Attention 0xfafa…748b | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 15:09 |
| Sick-Potato 0x550b…771a | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 12:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 21:54:29 | Dependent-Sugar 0xf75a…2035 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x27d836… |
| 05-11 21:43:41 | Mushy-Quart 0x8b13…19ff | No | BUY | 28 | 62¢ | $17 | 0x779d5d… |
| 05-11 21:43:40 | Mushy-Quart 0x8b13…19ff | No | BUY | 21 | 62¢ | $13 | 0xebff65… |
| 05-11 21:42:42 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 65 | 37¢ | $24 | 0x16c4f3… |
| 05-11 21:42:33 | Mushy-Quart 0x8b13…19ff | No | SELL | 50 | 63¢ | $32 | 0xcdd636… |
| 05-11 21:08:52 | Mushy-Quart 0x8b13…19ff | No | BUY | 48 | 61¢ | $29 | 0x4be630… |
| 05-11 21:08:50 | Mushy-Quart 0x8b13…19ff | No | BUY | 21 | 61¢ | $13 | 0xd5f85f… |
| 05-11 21:07:49 | Mushy-Quart 0x8b13…19ff | No | SELL | 51 | 59¢ | $30 | 0xb0df65… |
| 05-11 21:02:48 | Mushy-Quart 0x8b13…19ff | No | SELL | 146 | 58¢ | $85 | 0x707312… |
| 05-11 20:42:32 | Mushy-Quart 0x8b13…19ff | No | SELL | 35 | 59¢ | $21 | 0xa32b25… |
| 05-11 20:42:28 | (anonymous) 0xf7c6…82b6 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x11f186… |
| 05-11 20:36:47 | Favorite-Inlaws 0x522d…b2bb | Yes | BUY | 24 | 42¢ | $10 | 0xa6e5a4… |
| 05-11 18:59:13 | Threadbare-Crown 0x8247…cb54 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 44¢ | $4 | 0x4f62b7… |
| 05-11 18:25:42 | Even-Stallion 0x4a17…048e | Yes | BUY | 57 | 44¢ | $25 | 0x7c0ee0… |
| 05-11 16:27:49 | Periodic-Giant 0x1c08…1ff6 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 41¢ | $82 | 0x4bc6b2… |
| 05-11 15:50:27 | Ultimate-Tomtom 0x3d68…db93 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 24¢ | $11 | 0xd3f6e1… |
| 05-11 15:17:14 | Blissful-Steel 0x449e…8e36 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xaa67dd… |
| 05-11 14:32:22 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0xfd2bc1… |
| 05-11 14:32:22 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x645e77… |
| 05-11 13:27:44 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x14b557… |
| 05-11 12:34:43 | Sick-Potato 0x550b…771a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x16e425… |
| 05-11 08:59:51 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xcd3320… |
| 05-11 01:49:42 | Unwieldy-Aspect 0xbb35…501d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x36366b… |
| 05-10 23:51:36 | Ultimate-Tomtom 0x3d68…db93 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x749df1… |
| 05-10 22:40:52 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xe0e8f2… |
| 05-10 18:36:25 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xb885e3… |
| 05-10 15:09:17 | Doting-Attention 0xfafa…748b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xa3a74f… |
| 05-09 03:55:13 | (anonymous) 0x6d46…42bb | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x9da02f… |
| 05-08 22:31:14 | Puny-Refectory 0xeb03…6f84 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x254772… |
| 05-08 21:26:38 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xfdc60d… |
| 05-08 13:34:46 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x374241… |
| 05-07 19:52:06 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 60 | 18¢ | $11 | 0x0d1de5… |
| 05-07 15:32:00 | Knotty-Creature 0x5846…8cab | No | BUY | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xf96022… |
| 05-07 10:54:27 | (anonymous) 0x50af…76f4 | No | SELL | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x72d78f… |
| 05-07 04:43:37 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x27e69a… |
| 05-06 12:05:10 | (anonymous) 0x50af…76f4 | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x5f30af… |
| 05-06 04:24:46 | Yearly-Comradeship 0x9e00…724e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x0d4ed1… |