Even-Stallion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.57K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.32K

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

465

Trades

739

lifetime

Volume

$25.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$2.22K

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-25 18:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Other

58% 51% +$1,805

Crypto

40% 59% +$261

Sports

2% 0% -$460

Politics

0% 0% -$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1,713	-$303	90¢	$-1533	-$1,230	06-06 10:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-554	-$496	96¢	$-531	-$35	08-21 12:12
will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	+74	$50	76¢	$56	+$6	08-21 12:17
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+55	$21	84¢	$46	+$24	09-21 20:36
will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from july 21	Yes	+207	$118	18¢	$36	-$82	08-21 12:18
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-2,299	-$16	1¢	$-15	+$1	06-26 21:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 60k on june 6 2026 252	3	$623	340	340	+0	Yes	+$56	06-06 16:02
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 8pt5	6	$601	551	301	+250	Under	-$1	06-17 22:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$536	33	587	-554	open	—	08-21 12:12
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 0pt5	3	$502	253	253	+0	Over	+$2	06-14 17:49
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 5pt5	3	$428	408	408	+0	Over	+$388	06-17 22:01
bitcoin above 66k on march 9	3	$414	221	221	+0	Yes	+$27	03-09 16:43
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	2	$362	562	562	+0	Over	-$65	06-24 19:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 12?	3	$339	189	189	+0	Yes	+$39	05-12 16:09
bitcoin above 66k on march 31	4	$324	190	188	+2	Yes	+$55	03-31 16:11
Will Russia win on 2026-10-03?	3	$320	163	163	+0	Yes	+$4	10-03 19:03
fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 6pt5	2	$311	616	0	+616	Under	-$8	06-17 22:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$303	0	1,713	-1,713	open	—	06-06 10:05
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 23?	3	$301	152	152	+0	No	+$1	09-23 16:08
bitcoin above 74k on march 6	2	$295	155	155	+0	No	+$15	03-06 17:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 25?	2	$289	290	0	+290	No	+$1	09-25 13:31
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 7pt5	5	$275	877	143	+735	Under	+$10	06-17 22:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	3	$265	172	167	+5	No	+$69	04-22 16:02
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 team total away 1pt5	2	$232	191	191	+0	Under	-$86	06-25 21:30
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?	1	$231	257	0	+257	No	+$26	09-11 19:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 16	2	$222	169	167	+2	Yes	+$24	03-16 15:19
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 0pt5	2	$218	118	118	+0	Over	+$18	06-20 21:35
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$211	157	157	+0	No	+$11	03-18 14:48
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	1	$207	299	0	+299	No	+$93	09-13 16:16
Will England win on 2026-06-10?	3	$204	104	104	+0	Yes	+$4	06-10 23:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?	2	$204	104	104	+0	Yes	+$4	05-14 17:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 28?	2	$200	102	102	+0	No	+$0	09-27 21:09
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	2	$200	100	100	+0	Under	+$0	06-20 19:05
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 8pt5	2	$200	100	100	+0	Under	+$0	06-19 21:06
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 8pt5	2	$200	100	100	+0	Under	+$0	06-18 21:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 6?	5	$186	153	153	+0	Yes	+$66	05-06 14:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 18:52:20	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x472d60…
10-23 07:02:27	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xc2e7e4…
10-23 06:35:56	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x998a0d…
10-23 06:34:30	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xc9e6c5…
10-21 14:40:38	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x265632…
10-21 11:57:50	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 4 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x871156…
10-21 09:39:56	FC Bayern München to score first vs. Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x6b80ce…
10-14 14:08:12	will ethereum dip to 2350 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x7784ce…
10-14 14:04:02	will ethereum reach 2650 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd11c6a…
10-14 14:03:59	will ethereum reach 2550 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x58ce40…
10-14 11:17:02	Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x6c46b8…
10-12 19:14:35	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 12?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3a2e27…
10-12 11:08:23	Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x946fae…
10-12 11:07:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on October 12?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x35ab74…
10-12 11:07:29	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 12?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xcfb336…
10-11 02:13:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on October 10?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x711af0…
10-10 12:44:25	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c7a45…
10-10 12:44:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3eca70…
10-09 14:16:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 9?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0b0272…
10-09 09:44:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 9?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x12de9d…
10-09 09:17:06	will ethereum reach 2750 on october 9 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc7632c…
10-09 09:17:00	will ethereum reach 2700 on october 9 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4b2a0e…
10-06 20:38:23	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbb20d8…
10-06 20:38:12	England vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x4ae1ba…
10-06 20:37:59	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb4d06b…
10-06 19:27:15	England to score first vs. Czechia?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0x82578b…
10-06 19:26:59	Will Russia win on 2026-10-06?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x44fa9f…
10-06 19:24:56	England vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xa0d614…
10-06 19:15:23	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x64790c…
10-06 18:01:14	England to score first vs. Czechia?	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x303903…
10-06 17:59:53	Spread: Spain (-1.5)	Spain	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xa2c129…
10-06 17:46:53	Will Russia win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x04c96c…
10-06 16:52:20	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x5ba5b0…
10-06 16:51:24	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x8befd6…
10-06 16:38:06	Will Russia win on 2026-10-06?	No	BUY	95	32¢	$30	0x164ec5…
10-06 16:35:30	Will Nigeria win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x3c2abb…
10-05 20:31:59	Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xba4e77…
10-05 20:16:07	Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd54999…
10-05 20:13:56	Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Belgium?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x11a2cf…
10-05 20:11:47	Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Belgium?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x32e5cc…
10-05 20:09:50	Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xa4e6c7…
10-05 19:25:17	France vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5e3c77…
10-05 19:21:59	Will France win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x53c8db…
10-04 17:26:37	Spread: Republic of Ireland (-2.5)	Israel	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xeaff40…
10-04 17:25:55	Spread: Netherlands (-4.5)	Serbia	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xdb9415…
10-04 17:25:34	Spread: Germany (-2.5)	Greece	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x19ecac…
10-04 17:20:50	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x33711f…
10-04 17:20:23	Spread: Portugal (-1.5)	Norway	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xea2dcc…
10-04 17:20:04	Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xa2164b…
10-03 19:07:17	Spain vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xae024c…
10-03 19:05:48	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Czechia?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x4bdc4a…
10-03 19:03:26	Will Russia win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	163	100¢	$162	0xcd96e8…
10-03 19:03:18	Croatia vs. England: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x47412e…
10-03 19:03:08	Spread: Russia (-1.5)	Russia	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xf9a590…
10-03 17:19:36	Will Russia win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xe96b1b…
10-03 17:19:02	Russia vs. Namibia: Russia O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x45abbe…
10-03 17:17:24	Croatia vs. England: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa7b3cc…
10-03 16:49:02	Croatia vs. England: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x6731b8…
10-03 16:12:59	Croatia vs. England: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x4258af…
10-03 14:09:27	Spread: Russia (-1.5)	Russia	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x1419c0…
10-03 14:05:44	Will Russia win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x48150a…
10-03 14:04:54	Exact Score: Russia 3 - 0 Namibia?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x7f0fe4…
10-03 14:03:20	Russia vs. Namibia: Russia O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x40e566…
10-03 13:55:17	Russia vs. Namibia: Russia O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xb5e195…
10-02 20:33:05	Will France win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe5cf87…
10-02 19:58:18	France vs. Italy: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xeff4a6…
10-02 19:57:32	Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Italy?	Yes	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x77b528…
10-02 19:57:08	Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Italy?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x51e62d…
10-02 19:56:48	France vs. Italy: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf0c8f1…
10-02 19:54:14	France vs. Italy: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xabc182…
10-02 11:32:03	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 on October 2?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x676ca8…
10-01 18:37:33	Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x3f95f7…
09-29 19:39:48	Russia vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x8535f1…
09-29 19:32:14	Will England win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x132f4b…
09-29 19:26:29	Czechia vs. England: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x56f3be…
09-29 19:24:57	Czechia vs. England: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf5b0ad…
09-29 19:20:57	Will England win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2431ca…
09-29 19:14:53	Spread: England (-1.5)	England	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xbc4089…
09-29 10:39:56	Russia vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xe0c016…
09-29 10:39:18	Exact Score: Russia 2 - 1 IR Iran?	Yes	BUY	174	11¢	$20	0x28537e…
09-29 10:38:17	Spread: Russia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xc305f0…
09-28 21:35:27	Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x30dd71…
09-28 19:18:06	Belgium vs. France: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x0ae150…
09-28 15:42:12	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0xf40bba…
09-28 13:08:15	Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 France?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x4fdb1c…
09-28 13:07:56	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x8f75b2…
09-27 21:09:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 28?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$100	0x258d46…
09-27 16:34:56	Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x7d039a…
09-27 15:28:45	Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x91cea8…
09-27 15:27:20	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 Portugal?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xe04153…
09-27 15:27:05	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 Portugal?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x1898f9…
09-27 12:56:38	Will Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan end in a draw?	No	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xd9bcb7…
09-27 10:11:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 28?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x62a0cb…
09-26 20:38:59	England vs. Spain: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0xcc496f…
09-26 20:36:35	England vs. Spain: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x12bfd6…
09-26 20:31:00	England vs. Spain: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x64c6ba…
09-26 20:23:41	England vs. Spain: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0xf3d014…
09-26 20:23:18	England vs. Spain: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x9b7b31…
09-26 20:13:38	England vs. Spain: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x4fd19e…
09-26 20:11:32	England vs. Spain: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x0f1be8…