Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$375
$111 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$283
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 02:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $240 | $240 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $2 | $134 | $132 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 13 | — | $248 | $248 |
| Median | 3 | — | $90 | $90 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Several-Memo 0x9977…3020 | No | +212 | $210 | $210 | 1 | 05-09 20:28 |
| Accomplished-Sewer 0x8dec…46e0 | No | +85 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 05-10 00:55 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +42 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 02:52 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-09 20:55 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 18:52 |
| Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Negative-Meander 0xea12…993b | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 14:45 |
| Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 13:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 02:52:16 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x68a1bb… |
| 05-10 02:21:19 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6be83a… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x06b2e4… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x918cbb… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x272810… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x669757… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3b1316… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeae6c3… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x14d8ce… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa6f444… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1e8da0… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8f37b8… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x150db2… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4f96b5… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x84bc98… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x49ad09… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf7a74c… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x162f82… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6849b7… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3ca70b… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x36664e… |
| 05-10 00:55:29 | Accomplished-Sewer 0x8dec…46e0 | No | BUY | 85 | 100¢ | $85 | 0x63ccfa… |
| 05-09 20:55:04 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x6c088c… |
| 05-09 20:28:38 | Several-Memo 0x9977…3020 | No | BUY | 212 | 99¢ | $210 | 0xcc6c8e… |
| 05-09 20:02:32 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xc5e23c… |
| 05-09 20:02:30 | Negative-Meander 0xea12…993b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x893a63… |
| 05-09 20:02:30 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x57bb31… |
| 05-09 20:02:29 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x992b27… |
| 05-09 20:02:27 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x30cb6d… |
| 05-09 20:02:27 | Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2305bc… |
| 05-09 18:52:02 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd48a0c… |
| 05-09 13:03:04 | Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x089fc2… |
| 05-08 14:45:17 | Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x175508… |