Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on May 5?
open
Total volume
$134
$19,726 in 24h
Trades
50
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$15,038
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 12:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $0 | $113 | $113 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 15 | — | $90 | $90 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 4 | — | $23 | $23 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | +65 | $64 | $64 | 3 | 05-04 21:54 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-04 23:44 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-04 23:04 |
| Definite-Chiffonier 0xa768…0971 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-04 20:29 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-04 22:24 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 06:40 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 22:24 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 22:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 12:41:52 | Anchored-Baggy 0x318c…b4c8 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x60cfc9… |
| 05-05 06:40:56 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x064ea4… |
| 05-05 03:14:28 | Sour-Drizzle 0x488c…8c1c | Yes | SELL | 742 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf344b9… |
| 05-05 02:04:44 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5ae4a4… |
| 05-05 02:04:44 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe195bc… |
| 05-05 02:04:44 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x829972… |
| 05-05 02:04:44 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x60907a… |
| 05-05 02:04:44 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x512028… |
| 05-05 02:04:44 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x325d02… |
| 05-05 02:04:44 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8f9542… |
| 05-05 02:04:44 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b8e33… |
| 05-05 01:09:56 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2f3b5… |
| 05-05 00:35:08 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x55e980… |
| 05-05 00:35:08 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1872f0… |
| 05-05 00:35:08 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c75b2… |
| 05-05 00:34:26 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x72608f… |
| 05-05 00:34:26 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xca2122… |
| 05-05 00:34:26 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0137be… |
| 05-05 00:29:50 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9acf6c… |
| 05-04 23:44:44 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xb5c985… |
| 05-04 23:19:56 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4bdcbd… |
| 05-04 23:19:56 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9b8df1… |
| 05-04 23:19:56 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf756ab… |
| 05-04 23:19:56 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x34dff5… |
| 05-04 23:19:56 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3a159e… |
| 05-04 23:19:56 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf70a4f… |
| 05-04 23:19:56 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcab3cf… |
| 05-04 23:19:56 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5def1a… |
| 05-04 23:04:56 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5a47fd… |
| 05-04 23:04:56 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x58067a… |
| 05-04 23:04:56 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf4c08b… |
| 05-04 23:04:56 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe2e497… |
| 05-04 23:04:56 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdaf7be… |
| 05-04 23:04:56 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x790d0b… |
| 05-04 23:04:56 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xda1bde… |
| 05-04 23:04:56 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbae8eb… |
| 05-04 23:04:56 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd159ba… |
| 05-04 23:04:56 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2c3061… |
| 05-04 23:04:56 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdce757… |
| 05-04 22:24:56 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xfcd5af… |
| 05-04 22:24:54 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa1fc81… |
| 05-04 22:24:54 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x12b1bb… |
| 05-04 22:24:54 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa72957… |
| 05-04 22:24:54 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6defaa… |
| 05-04 22:24:54 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x82d3b0… |
| 05-04 22:24:54 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x2e9c90… |
| 05-04 21:54:50 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 19 | 98¢ | $19 | 0x92ebc1… |
| 05-04 21:09:48 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x4f930d… |
| 05-04 21:04:20 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 33 | 99¢ | $33 | 0x83c268… |
| 05-04 20:29:46 | Definite-Chiffonier 0xa768…0971 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xfa6b9c… |