Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$411
$1,519 in 24h
Trades
39
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$2,597
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 00:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $14 | $14 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $16 | $380 | $364 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $14 | $13 |
| Median | 12 | — | $128 | $128 |
| Below median | 11 | $8 | $228 | $220 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $24 | $24 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swift-Symptom 0xd6d9…cf16 | Yes | +209 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 14:38 |
| Uneven-Tenet 0xe2af…c477 | No | +159 | $158 | $158 | 1 | 05-14 21:22 |
| Buoyant-Postage 0x3972…a677 | Yes | +103 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-14 22:37 |
| Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:22 |
| Devoted-Eligibility 0x496d…a2f2 | Yes | +84 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | +76 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 22:24 |
| Plush-Timeout 0x60f9…7764 | No | +70 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 05-14 19:14 |
| Fruitful-Tweet 0x3074…106a | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-13 11:33 |
| This-Downturn 0xc288…e6d1 | Yes | +48 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 01:38 |
| Tiny-Manipulation 0x802b…8b03 | Yes | +43 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 03:35 |
| Limping-Shape 0x8103…23a1 | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:24 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 05-14 22:26 |
| Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 05-14 22:26 |
| Roasted-Olive 0x5979…98b7 | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 22:42 |
| Tan-Illiteracy 0xb2ea…fe59 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 23:07 |
| Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-14 03:36 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 08:44 |
| Good-Organ 0x364e…dc9a | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 23:39 |
| Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 09:19 |
| Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 11:10 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 03:05 |
| Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 22:26 |
| Deafening-Dictaphone 0xabe6…6dd9 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 07:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-14 22:27 |
| Grotesque-Racer 0x94ce…066b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 22:37 |
| Flippant-Priest 0x507b…5d22 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 22:55 |
| Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 20:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 17:14 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 00:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 00:02:57 | Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0b1dd6… |
| 05-14 23:30:24 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbcb8f8… |
| 05-14 23:07:46 | Tan-Illiteracy 0xb2ea…fe59 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0xd92419… |
| 05-14 22:55:00 | Flippant-Priest 0x507b…5d22 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x8fe540… |
| 05-14 22:42:10 | Roasted-Olive 0x5979…98b7 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x56dad0… |
| 05-14 22:37:47 | Buoyant-Postage 0x3972…a677 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf4d3fb… |
| 05-14 22:37:38 | Grotesque-Racer 0x94ce…066b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x92d102… |
| 05-14 22:37:05 | Buoyant-Postage 0x3972…a677 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xc9cc05… |
| 05-14 22:27:12 | (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x59407e… |
| 05-14 22:27:10 | (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x4374b9… |
| 05-14 22:26:56 | Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xf2eebd… |
| 05-14 22:26:56 | Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | BUY | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xfcce23… |
| 05-14 22:26:51 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x90c4f4… |
| 05-14 22:26:49 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xad5891… |
| 05-14 22:26:35 | Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x2f4e2b… |
| 05-14 22:24:47 | (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xda8932… |
| 05-14 22:16:59 | Quick-Transport 0x1294…35bb | Yes | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2c6856… |
| 05-14 21:22:36 | Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc1f1f7… |
| 05-14 21:22:06 | Uneven-Tenet 0xe2af…c477 | No | BUY | 159 | 99¢ | $158 | 0xacf991… |
| 05-14 20:46:50 | Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x96127d… |
| 05-14 19:14:28 | Plush-Timeout 0x60f9…7764 | No | BUY | 70 | 99¢ | $69 | 0x56cb0b… |
| 05-14 17:46:58 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd355e4… |
| 05-14 17:14:30 | (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x74ec9d… |
| 05-14 17:14:23 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x40c623… |
| 05-14 14:38:59 | Swift-Symptom 0xd6d9…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 209 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x9ac26a… |
| 05-14 14:19:25 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd66a1… |
| 05-14 11:10:23 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x563305… |
| 05-14 09:19:28 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x27efa2… |
| 05-14 07:33:49 | Deafening-Dictaphone 0xabe6…6dd9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe4ce2c… |
| 05-14 03:36:16 | Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe8fa82… |
| 05-14 03:35:41 | Tiny-Manipulation 0x802b…8b03 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x2838f5… |
| 05-14 03:05:05 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xdf89ab… |
| 05-14 01:41:22 | Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xfa2402… |
| 05-14 01:38:36 | This-Downturn 0xc288…e6d1 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x55bf04… |
| 05-13 23:39:54 | Good-Organ 0x364e…dc9a | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x53fddd… |
| 05-13 21:24:28 | Limping-Shape 0x8103…23a1 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x278977… |
| 05-13 11:33:05 | Fruitful-Tweet 0x3074…106a | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x71286a… |
| 05-13 08:44:50 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xb8b03a… |
| 05-13 08:16:30 | Devoted-Eligibility 0x496d…a2f2 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x261c74… |