Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$3,387
$9,342 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$100,617
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 05:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $2 | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $43 | $769 | $726 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $7 | $2.4K | $2.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $9 | $3 | +$6 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 4 | $13 | $17 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | $8 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $5 | $4 | +$1 |
| unranked | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lovely-Interconnection 0x8d09…143f | No | +1,701 | $1,699 | $1,699 | 1 | 05-14 03:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xba6e…e245 | Yes | +1,010 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 05:11 |
| Incompatible-Yawl 0x37e8…64e4 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 03:04 |
| Woozy-Retina 0x658b…84bf | No | +755 | $737 | $737 | 4 | 05-14 03:01 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | +43 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 05-13 22:14 |
| Royal-Minimum 0x0f33…1ab8 | Yes | +28 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 01:55 |
| Stiff-Homonym 0x74cd…0304 | Yes | +28 | $10 | $15 | 2 | 05-14 01:59 |
| Innocent-Banker 0x0abc…bd25 | Yes | +28 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-14 01:50 |
| Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 03:00 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:50 |
| Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 19:01 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-14 02:29 |
| Nifty-Shelf 0xce05…ff90 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 16:12 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 03:00 |
| Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 03:02 |
| Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 01:20 |
| Upset-Nothing 0xa081…e7a0 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 01:44 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 02:23 |
| Hospitable-Present 0x1891…303b | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 01:56 |
| Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 03:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 05:11:00 | (anonymous) 0xba6e…e245 | Yes | BUY | 1,010 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xaa8330… |
| 05-14 03:10:57 | Scared-Breakthrough 0x5a7c…d7b8 | No | SELL | 78 | 100¢ | $78 | 0x94db25… |
| 05-14 03:05:50 | Wiggly-Photograph 0x5a7f…079b | No | SELL | 690 | 100¢ | $689 | 0x3ba7dc… |
| 05-14 03:04:09 | Incredible-Receptor 0x6868…5198 | No | SELL | 105 | 100¢ | $105 | 0x9bda94… |
| 05-14 03:04:07 | Incompatible-Yawl 0x37e8…64e4 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xcdc28a… |
| 05-14 03:02:15 | Lovely-Interconnection 0x8d09…143f | No | BUY | 1,701 | 100¢ | $1,699 | 0x9eff4d… |
| 05-14 03:02:01 | Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xeba7a9… |
| 05-14 03:01:02 | Woozy-Retina 0x658b…84bf | No | BUY | 249 | 99¢ | $246 | 0x7afd00… |
| 05-14 03:00:55 | Woozy-Retina 0x658b…84bf | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x6d7d1c… |
| 05-14 03:00:51 | Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | Yes | BUY | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x56b60b… |
| 05-14 03:00:44 | Woozy-Retina 0x658b…84bf | No | BUY | 427 | 97¢ | $414 | 0xd99766… |
| 05-14 03:00:39 | Woozy-Retina 0x658b…84bf | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x07913d… |
| 05-14 03:00:27 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1d7fa1… |
| 05-14 03:00:09 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8c0ee5… |
| 05-14 02:29:18 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x54e2ae… |
| 05-14 02:23:42 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x25064d… |
| 05-14 02:15:58 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xdb600f… |
| 05-14 01:59:45 | Stiff-Homonym 0x74cd…0304 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x3030bd… |
| 05-14 01:56:20 | Hospitable-Present 0x1891…303b | No | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x5a9125… |
| 05-14 01:55:12 | Stiff-Homonym 0x74cd…0304 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 36¢ | $13 | 0x30132f… |
| 05-14 01:55:10 | Royal-Minimum 0x0f33…1ab8 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 35¢ | $10 | 0xd309bf… |
| 05-14 01:50:39 | Innocent-Banker 0x0abc…bd25 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 36¢ | $5 | 0x2f20a4… |
| 05-14 01:44:44 | Upset-Nothing 0xa081…e7a0 | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x41cbbc… |
| 05-14 01:20:21 | Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | No | BUY | 6 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xe3b1b9… |
| 05-14 00:54:58 | Innocent-Banker 0x0abc…bd25 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x59ae96… |
| 05-14 00:50:18 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe77ed4… |
| 05-13 22:14:00 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x122bf6… |
| 05-13 20:12:54 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x121ef2… |
| 05-13 16:12:37 | Nifty-Shelf 0xce05…ff90 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x8ecd37… |
| 05-13 16:12:36 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xe3ad25… |
| 05-13 00:05:57 | (anonymous) 0x3e14…9187 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xab325b… |
| 05-12 19:01:34 | Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x92941c… |