Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$384
$2,420 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$420
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 15:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $25 | $25 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $7 | $327 | $320 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $60 | $60 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 8 | $5 | $251 | $246 |
| Below median | 9 | $2 | $11 | $9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | — | $29 | $29 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoarse-Cigarette 0xe532…f9b9 | No | +250 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 05-11 13:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b0f…75e5 | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 23:55 |
| Glass-Cupcake 0xad50…3122 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-11 15:28 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-10 20:12 |
| All-Member 0x18ec…8b90 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 10:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xa7a1…a85e | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 13:07 |
| Outlandish-Evaporation 0x7747…fe40 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:04 |
| Formal-Tonic 0x650e…a5af | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 23:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 15:28:07 | Glass-Cupcake 0xad50…3122 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x54feb0… |
| 05-11 13:55:51 | Hoarse-Cigarette 0xe532…f9b9 | No | BUY | 250 | 100¢ | $250 | 0x4f9069… |
| 05-11 10:53:09 | All-Member 0x18ec…8b90 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xdebd0a… |
| 05-11 05:43:54 | Insistent-Kiss 0xdea3…1b1a | Yes | SELL | 123 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xef958b… |
| 05-11 04:04:09 | Outlandish-Evaporation 0x7747…fe40 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xce8dad… |
| 05-11 03:17:59 | Indolent-Cummerbund 0xc538…c555 | Yes | SELL | 71 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe0ee7a… |
| 05-11 00:59:25 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9497af… |
| 05-11 00:59:25 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7f7aea… |
| 05-11 00:59:25 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x404772… |
| 05-11 00:59:25 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3790fc… |
| 05-11 00:59:25 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c846a… |
| 05-11 00:59:25 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x462927… |
| 05-11 00:59:23 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d0f47… |
| 05-11 00:59:23 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x394ed2… |
| 05-11 00:59:23 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3b7f75… |
| 05-11 00:59:23 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x577f19… |
| 05-11 00:59:23 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa5e9fe… |
| 05-11 00:59:23 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3f2790… |
| 05-10 23:55:32 | (anonymous) 0x2b0f…75e5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x3ef79a… |
| 05-10 23:36:42 | Tan-Illiteracy 0xb2ea…fe59 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xb09330… |
| 05-10 23:27:11 | Carefree-Grassland 0x1d7c…5dad | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0bb94f… |
| 05-10 23:25:51 | Grubby-Internet 0xb61b…4dc9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x160cde… |
| 05-10 23:20:29 | Gentle-Oat 0xd302…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 156 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xe9d575… |
| 05-10 23:13:11 | Formal-Tonic 0x650e…a5af | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xd45201… |
| 05-10 20:12:04 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x6db740… |
| 05-10 20:12:04 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x2e9713… |
| 05-10 20:12:04 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xab5575… |
| 05-10 20:12:04 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0xc85211… |
| 05-10 15:09:06 | Carefree-Grassland 0x1d7c…5dad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x1d2854… |
| 05-10 13:07:29 | (anonymous) 0xa7a1…a85e | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xb3501a… |