Will Modern SC win on 2026-05-17?
open
Total volume
$912
$89 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$2,017
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-17 19:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.6¢
(top1%: 55% YES on $721
vs crowd: 53% YES on $811)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $321 | $321 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $399 | $20 | +$379 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $29 | $40 | $11 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $399 | $321 | +$78 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Median | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Below median | 4 | $25 | $7 | +$18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $40 | $40 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| unranked | 2 | $4 | $1 | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable-Ski 0xaebf…e1ca | Yes | +2,917 | $399 | $399 | 2 | 05-17 18:33 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | +374 | $320 | $320 | 8 | 05-17 18:48 |
| Alarming-Entry 0x5a3b…bd3b | Yes | +38 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-17 18:38 |
| Weekly-Diffuse 0xea20…af4c | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-17 16:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc86…7e77 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-17 18:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xe56a…2ba5 | No | +7 | $6 | $24 | 5 | 05-14 02:08 |
| Irresponsible-Barracks 0xc37e…9e64 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 18:32 |
| Excellent-Lanai 0xad02…221a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 18:57 |
| Embellished-Scrambled 0xb524…660b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 18:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a24…cff4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 18:28 |
| Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 18:47 |
| Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 18:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 19:35:27 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | SELL | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0x06d46c… |
| 05-17 19:21:10 | Optimal-Toast 0x5112…eae6 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xfa2014… |
| 05-17 18:57:31 | Excellent-Lanai 0xad02…221a | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x308d2d… |
| 05-17 18:48:21 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x57fa86… |
| 05-17 18:47:27 | Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x5f54c8… |
| 05-17 18:45:47 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xa701a9… |
| 05-17 18:38:05 | Alarming-Entry 0x5a3b…bd3b | Yes | BUY | 38 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x492da5… |
| 05-17 18:33:29 | Optimal-Toast 0x5112…eae6 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xf7aee5… |
| 05-17 18:33:27 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x30027d… |
| 05-17 18:33:06 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 24 | 87¢ | $21 | 0x703271… |
| 05-17 18:33:02 | Variable-Ski 0xaebf…e1ca | Yes | BUY | 894 | 13¢ | $116 | 0x92e226… |
| 05-17 18:32:55 | (anonymous) 0xdc86…7e77 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0xa38c9b… |
| 05-17 18:32:40 | Irresponsible-Barracks 0xc37e…9e64 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x9c2ac7… |
| 05-17 18:32:19 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x803bc3… |
| 05-17 18:30:41 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0xc566e7… |
| 05-17 18:30:39 | Embellished-Scrambled 0xb524…660b | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x62708f… |
| 05-17 18:30:37 | Variable-Ski 0xaebf…e1ca | Yes | BUY | 2,023 | 14¢ | $283 | 0xe69bf1… |
| 05-17 18:30:18 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 199 | 85¢ | $169 | 0xf5e8ac… |
| 05-17 18:30:16 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0x90f8bc… |
| 05-17 18:28:05 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 35 | 84¢ | $29 | 0x1e525c… |
| 05-17 18:28:03 | (anonymous) 0x9a24…cff4 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xeda192… |
| 05-17 18:28:01 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 35 | 84¢ | $29 | 0x878b44… |
| 05-17 18:22:17 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 35 | 89¢ | $31 | 0x7ab010… |
| 05-17 18:17:33 | Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xb9d3e9… |
| 05-17 17:30:09 | Circular-Hand 0x9af2…3784 | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x1f1cd0… |
| 05-17 16:52:27 | Weekly-Diffuse 0xea20…af4c | No | BUY | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0x1f623f… |
| 05-16 20:47:41 | Perfect-Dad 0x84c3…6efe | Yes | SELL | 187 | 30¢ | $56 | 0x2ee55e… |
| 05-15 16:30:11 | Perfect-Dad 0x84c3…6efe | Yes | BUY | 13 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x64f460… |
| 05-15 13:56:51 | Perfect-Dad 0x84c3…6efe | Yes | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0xa941f6… |
| 05-14 02:08:37 | (anonymous) 0xe56a…2ba5 | No | SELL | 7 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x22d5c7… |
| 05-13 23:01:18 | (anonymous) 0xe56a…2ba5 | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x4c18a2… |
| 05-13 23:01:18 | (anonymous) 0xe56a…2ba5 | No | SELL | 7 | 64¢ | $4 | 0xac586f… |
| 05-13 21:41:37 | (anonymous) 0xe56a…2ba5 | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x847d7c… |
| 05-13 21:36:59 | (anonymous) 0xe56a…2ba5 | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0xaeb4fa… |
| 05-13 21:36:57 | Perfect-Dad 0x84c3…6efe | Yes | BUY | 38 | 36¢ | $14 | 0x2f3bbb… |