Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$84
$207 in 24h
Trades
46
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$1,309
Latest YES mid
19¢
Latest NO mid
81¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 18:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-28.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $28
vs crowd: 29% YES on $64)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $6 | $28 | $22 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $13 | $18 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $28 | $28 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | — | $8 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 8 | $3 | $10 | $7 |
| Below median | 4 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +37 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 05-07 16:39 |
| Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 07:09 |
| Delirious-Fiddle 0xda2e…9b6c | Yes | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 04:23 |
| Hairy-Emergent 0x4c79…b36f | Yes | +11 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 16:40 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +9 | $4 | $7 | 15 | 05-07 14:34 |
| Thorny-Allocation 0x2d0a…c825 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 07:28 |
| Subtle-Meringue 0x4d93…9485 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 11:55 |
| Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-06 09:19 |
| Insubstantial-Mantel-Waste 0xb633…51d4 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 22:26 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-06 04:54 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-06 04:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 18:16:16 | (anonymous) 0xe6c9…4145 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x251690… |
| 05-07 16:40:57 | Hairy-Emergent 0x4c79…b36f | Yes | BUY | 11 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x11011f… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xe2d3e7… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x6cf6d5… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x070a64… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x964803… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x315899… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xb0b96a… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x755f52… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x923761… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x654900… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xddda65… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 75¢ | $23 | 0x36e044… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x516926… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x831c62… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x066342… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xd20274… |
| 05-07 16:39:24 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xba67e2… |
| 05-07 14:34:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x7ed08a… |
| 05-07 14:34:20 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x11d205… |
| 05-07 11:55:24 | Subtle-Meringue 0x4d93…9485 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xc21fbb… |
| 05-07 07:58:25 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xc3abc9… |
| 05-07 07:28:12 | Thorny-Allocation 0x2d0a…c825 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xcebd32… |
| 05-07 07:09:29 | Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | BUY | 14 | 71¢ | $10 | 0xd12589… |
| 05-07 04:23:52 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xb0f4c4… |
| 05-07 04:23:37 | Delirious-Fiddle 0xda2e…9b6c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xe83b37… |
| 05-06 22:26:35 | Insubstantial-Mantel-Waste 0xb633…51d4 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xe6731f… |
| 05-06 09:19:54 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x11bf38… |
| 05-06 04:55:10 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 40¢ | $0 | 0xcd40f7… |
| 05-06 04:55:02 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 40¢ | $0 | 0xc25e6b… |
| 05-06 04:54:56 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0xf2fd61… |
| 05-06 04:54:48 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0xe3f93a… |
| 05-06 04:54:38 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x62dcb7… |
| 05-06 04:54:24 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 1 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xcb036c… |
| 05-06 04:54:22 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0xbfcbaa… |
| 05-06 04:54:14 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x6b6923… |
| 05-06 04:54:14 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 1 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xa7477c… |
| 05-06 04:54:06 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 1 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xa09a2b… |
| 05-06 04:54:06 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x389971… |
| 05-06 04:54:00 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x3b74b3… |
| 05-06 04:53:58 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 1 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x3fc9cc… |
| 05-06 04:49:54 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0xc17cce… |
| 05-06 04:49:46 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x81894a… |
| 05-06 04:49:38 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x563a8b… |
| 05-06 04:49:30 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 1 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xc14c63… |
| 05-06 04:49:30 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 39¢ | $0 | 0x6b8043… |