Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C or below on May 14?
No won
Total volume
$249
$3,099 in 24h
Trades
19
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 23:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $41 | $41 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $1 | $187 | $186 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| Median | 14 | — | $166 | $166 |
| Below median | 3 | $1 | $21 | $20 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steep-Disguise-Hiking 0x5f40…d5b0 | Yes | +252 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 21:57 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 02:38 |
| High-Bandanna 0x4472…b312 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 15:48 |
| Roasted-Wind 0x5bb3…726a | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-13 03:28 |
| Incredible-Locket 0xcfdd…5624 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 09:26 |
| Slight-Precipitation 0x6276…143f | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-13 21:15 |
| Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 03:03 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-13 19:17 |
| Organic-Tulip 0x651c…0a23 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 10:08 |
| Lawful-Doorway 0x70e7…60ce | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 05:28 |
| Stark-Stereo 0x6da2…5c6c | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 06:11 |
| Total-Pollutant 0x9418…c764 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 02:57 |
| Worldly-Perception 0x76ef…adc1 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 05:52 |
| Memorable-Stamina 0x1efd…11ec | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 02:32 |
| Flippant-Stew 0xa5fe…5476 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 03:16 |
| Knowing-Denim 0xa1fd…d1cd | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 10:04 |
| Diligent-Ounce 0x0219…502a | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 03:59 |
| Expert-Independence 0x6cb7…0664 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 22:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 23:04:55 | Lone-Boon 0x4c04…7dca | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x852890… |
| 05-13 22:01:38 | Expert-Independence 0x6cb7…0664 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xc9ed9c… |
| 05-13 21:15:56 | Slight-Precipitation 0x6276…143f | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xf8d380… |
| 05-13 19:17:36 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xa27a24… |
| 05-13 15:48:25 | High-Bandanna 0x4472…b312 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xdf4d7b… |
| 05-13 10:08:04 | Organic-Tulip 0x651c…0a23 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x5d6d38… |
| 05-13 10:04:29 | Knowing-Denim 0xa1fd…d1cd | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x252d6b… |
| 05-13 09:26:36 | Incredible-Locket 0xcfdd…5624 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x8f3685… |
| 05-13 06:11:23 | Stark-Stereo 0x6da2…5c6c | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xd60d54… |
| 05-13 05:52:50 | Worldly-Perception 0x76ef…adc1 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x189c7e… |
| 05-13 05:28:36 | Lawful-Doorway 0x70e7…60ce | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2a90e0… |
| 05-13 03:59:15 | Diligent-Ounce 0x0219…502a | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x67659c… |
| 05-13 03:28:34 | Roasted-Wind 0x5bb3…726a | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x712d40… |
| 05-13 03:16:07 | Flippant-Stew 0xa5fe…5476 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x4b436c… |
| 05-13 03:03:47 | Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x97a659… |
| 05-13 02:57:53 | Total-Pollutant 0x9418…c764 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xd87c8e… |
| 05-13 02:38:23 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xffb3f7… |
| 05-13 02:32:54 | Memorable-Stamina 0x1efd…11ec | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xe43528… |
| 05-12 21:57:48 | Steep-Disguise-Hiking 0x5f40…d5b0 | Yes | BUY | 252 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xcdc019… |