Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 13?
open
Total volume
$382
$333 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$1,478
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 00:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+94.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $0
vs crowd: 6% YES on $374)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $0 | $251 | $251 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $20 | $102 | $82 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $60 | $60 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $43 | $43 |
| Median | 5 | $1 | $10 | $9 |
| Below median | 7 | $8 | $11 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $8 | $200 | $192 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 4 | $0 | $24 | $24 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Innocent-Lord 0x9c4e…1f10 | No | +212 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-12 21:40 |
| Mature-Anise 0xe4f0…6450 | Yes | +67 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-12 12:52 |
| Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | +57 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 05-11 21:07 |
| Exotic-Stage 0x4453…f75d | No | +45 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-13 00:28 |
| Exhausted-Lobby 0xa26b…525e | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-13 00:27 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +23 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 23:33 |
| Squiggly-Marriage 0x2768…92d1 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 00:57 |
| Firm-Luxury 0x9838…8469 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 04:34 |
| Honest-Bat 0x5dda…7e9c | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 21:46 |
| Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 19:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x16c1…51f6 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 23:56 |
| Subdued-Smock 0xf5ec…f469 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 20:25 |
| United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:01 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 19:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:20 |
| Candid-Mixture 0x478e…a576 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 19:01 |
| Tedious-Sneakers 0x9300…b42a | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 17:12 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-12 23:46 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 00:06 |
| Trusting-Bifocals 0x6c8f…1181 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 23:37 |
| Irresponsible-Scale 0xa235…2472 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 22:45 |
| Squiggly-Daylight 0x5925…6cc4 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 00:08 |
| Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 01:04 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 13:04 |
| Fluffy-Shore 0x2193…3ff0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 13:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 00:57:17 | Squiggly-Marriage 0x2768…92d1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xba7b79… |
| 05-13 00:28:37 | Exotic-Stage 0x4453…f75d | No | BUY | 45 | 86¢ | $39 | 0x4e55ac… |
| 05-13 00:27:20 | Exhausted-Lobby 0xa26b…525e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x7b6f52… |
| 05-13 00:08:42 | Squiggly-Daylight 0x5925…6cc4 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xa3e1c7… |
| 05-13 00:06:39 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xbc407c… |
| 05-12 23:46:28 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 0 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x6d3789… |
| 05-12 23:37:15 | Trusting-Bifocals 0x6c8f…1181 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x867e52… |
| 05-12 23:33:21 | Forsaken-Trolley 0xbb1a…1e6d | Yes | SELL | 24 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x8b0229… |
| 05-12 23:33:17 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5d85f7… |
| 05-12 23:02:15 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xaac6da… |
| 05-12 22:45:57 | Irresponsible-Scale 0xa235…2472 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xf84aa3… |
| 05-12 21:46:50 | Honest-Bat 0x5dda…7e9c | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x533c3f… |
| 05-12 21:40:56 | Innocent-Lord 0x9c4e…1f10 | No | BUY | 212 | 94¢ | $200 | 0x3b60b7… |
| 05-12 21:38:05 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8b4aa6… |
| 05-12 21:21:03 | Dimpled-Jodhpurs 0x5bbf…002f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xf01420… |
| 05-12 20:25:46 | Subdued-Smock 0xf5ec…f469 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x65d757… |
| 05-12 19:07:35 | Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x59a66a… |
| 05-12 19:01:46 | Candid-Mixture 0x478e…a576 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xad4a48… |
| 05-12 19:01:34 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xbb38a2… |
| 05-12 19:01:31 | United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xff3df7… |
| 05-12 18:02:36 | Exhausted-Lobby 0xa26b…525e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x327ee4… |
| 05-12 17:12:10 | Tedious-Sneakers 0x9300…b42a | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x312c09… |
| 05-12 12:52:49 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x6dda11… |
| 05-12 12:52:49 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xe5a715… |
| 05-12 12:52:49 | Mature-Anise 0xe4f0…6450 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x58f0c8… |
| 05-12 12:52:49 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8205fd… |
| 05-12 12:52:44 | Mature-Anise 0xe4f0…6450 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x817581… |
| 05-12 04:34:41 | Firm-Luxury 0x9838…8469 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0xba4433… |
| 05-12 01:04:09 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xc18b69… |
| 05-11 23:56:26 | (anonymous) 0x16c1…51f6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0ad9c2… |
| 05-11 21:07:58 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 57 | 90¢ | $51 | 0xa7c006… |
| 05-11 13:24:32 | Fluffy-Shore 0x2193…3ff0 | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x294976… |
| 05-11 13:04:42 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x479412… |
| 05-11 10:20:50 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x7ab6f1… |