Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$51
$68 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$262
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 02:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $0 | $44 | $44 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | — | $30 | $30 |
| Median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $0 | $7 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| unranked | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-09 20:55 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +24 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-08 09:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 02:57:17 | Outlandish-Hour-Sociology 0x836a…4dbf | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x87c517… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb4575a… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf314e… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x64fe40… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7da94f… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x53abc7… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0fa110… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x328f39… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2f54f7… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0a8293… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x150836… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1fad51… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x89f21c… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbe1819… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4dc0b0… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb78ecb… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4b649b… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x54e935… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x584e25… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x047c7c… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeebdd2… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7dfd52… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2586c7… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1dcfb7… |
| 05-10 01:21:09 | Excellent-Depressive 0xb6c1…a400 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xfd0d08… |
| 05-09 20:55:04 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xae3c07… |
| 05-09 20:02:32 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xe426cd… |
| 05-09 20:02:29 | Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x481773… |
| 05-09 20:02:27 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7db00a… |
| 05-09 20:02:27 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xde0d8d… |
| 05-08 09:00:44 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 8 | 81¢ | $7 | 0x6debac… |