Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 8?
Yes won
Total volume
$613
Trades
31
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-08 19:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.5¢
(top1%: 86% YES on $157
vs crowd: 93% YES on $613)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $85 | $21 | +$64 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $56 | $22 | +$34 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $424 | $3 | +$422 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $2 | $0 | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $136 | $22 | +$114 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $151 | $22 | +$129 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $245 | $0 | +$245 |
| Median | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Below median | 5 | $30 | $0 | +$30 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humming-Paperwork 0x84ae…8341 | Yes | +245 | $244 | $244 | 2 | 05-08 19:59 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | +175 | $21 | $21 | 5 | 05-08 14:49 |
| Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | +172 | $151 | $151 | 2 | 05-08 14:00 |
| Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | +162 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 05-08 14:49 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | +103 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 05-08 14:49 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 19:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 19:52 |
| Funny-Cricketer 0xf4bf…23f6 | Yes | +54 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 05-08 11:44 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-08 19:59 |
| Imperfect-Cage 0xd63a…90a6 | Yes | +24 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 05-08 06:02 |
| Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 11:44 |
| Optimistic-Lab 0x5593…0c4f | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 19:55 |
| Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 19:55 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 19:52 |
| Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 14:00 |
| Responsible-Abnormality 0xe961…8dca | No | +2 | $-0 | $1 | 3 | 05-08 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 14:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 19:59:31 | Humming-Paperwork 0x84ae…8341 | Yes | BUY | 140 | 100¢ | $140 | 0xf31ef1… |
| 05-08 19:59:31 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf31ef1… |
| 05-08 19:59:31 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf31ef1… |
| 05-08 19:55:03 | Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x8a7ad7… |
| 05-08 19:55:03 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8a7ad7… |
| 05-08 19:55:03 | Optimistic-Lab 0x5593…0c4f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x57e0a2… |
| 05-08 19:55:03 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x57e0a2… |
| 05-08 19:52:12 | Humming-Paperwork 0x84ae…8341 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 99¢ | $104 | 0x7cf1a1… |
| 05-08 19:52:12 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7cf1a1… |
| 05-08 19:52:12 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7cf1a1… |
| 05-08 14:49:32 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x9774f2… |
| 05-08 14:49:32 | (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x9774f2… |
| 05-08 14:49:30 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 103 | 82¢ | $85 | 0xa94400… |
| 05-08 14:49:30 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | BUY | 103 | 18¢ | $19 | 0xa94400… |
| 05-08 14:00:34 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xaa1cde… |
| 05-08 14:00:34 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xaa1cde… |
| 05-08 14:00:27 | Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | BUY | 84 | 90¢ | $76 | 0x190a2d… |
| 05-08 14:00:27 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 84 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x190a2d… |
| 05-08 13:33:15 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x637645… |
| 05-08 13:33:15 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x637645… |
| 05-08 13:32:45 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 88 | 14¢ | $12 | 0x7ddf0c… |
| 05-08 13:32:45 | Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | BUY | 88 | 86¢ | $76 | 0x7ddf0c… |
| 05-08 11:44:29 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | No | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xef7656… |
| 05-08 11:44:29 | Funny-Cricketer 0xf4bf…23f6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xef7656… |
| 05-08 08:02:07 | Funny-Cricketer 0xf4bf…23f6 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 94¢ | $32 | 0x7d3dd9… |
| 05-08 08:02:07 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | BUY | 58 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x7d3dd9… |
| 05-08 08:02:07 | Responsible-Abnormality 0xe961…8dca | No | SELL | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x7d3dd9… |
| 05-08 06:02:16 | Imperfect-Cage 0xd63a…90a6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x71462d… |
| 05-08 06:02:16 | Responsible-Abnormality 0xe961…8dca | No | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x71462d… |
| 05-08 06:02:13 | Responsible-Abnormality 0xe961…8dca | No | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc476dc… |
| 05-08 06:02:13 | Imperfect-Cage 0xd63a…90a6 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 97¢ | $15 | 0xc476dc… |