Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 9?
open
Total volume
$852
$3,479 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$1,472
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-09 18:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $57 | $57 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $5 | $594 | $589 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $67 | $67 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | — | $310 | $310 |
| Median | 7 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $25 | $25 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $97 | $97 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $143 | $143 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warm-Nonconformist 0x39c3…e155 | No | +149 | $137 | $137 | 1 | 05-08 09:20 |
| Well-Informed-Ladybug 0xcb6b…c7f7 | No | +145 | $133 | $133 | 1 | 05-08 09:05 |
| Rowdy-Manicure 0x47e6…c039 | No | +141 | $130 | $130 | 1 | 05-08 09:35 |
| Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab | No | +100 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 05-08 14:24 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | Yes | +45 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 03:20 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-07 11:46 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-08 06:55 |
| Wee-Carry 0xaeb2…58c1 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-09 18:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 14:00 |
| Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-08 03:20 |
| Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 00:09 |
| Attentive-Slapstick 0xf758…e5a7 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 16:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 18:22 |
| Well-Lit-Antler 0xce1d…6372 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 11:00 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 00:02 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 08:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 03:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 03:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x363e…928a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 03:20 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 22:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 18:00:11 | Wee-Carry 0xaeb2…58c1 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x42642f… |
| 05-09 17:39:21 | (anonymous) 0x8374…6768 | No | SELL | 190 | 100¢ | $190 | 0x3420fe… |
| 05-09 16:24:45 | Attentive-Slapstick 0xf758…e5a7 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x268ddf… |
| 05-09 14:53:19 | Assured-Warming 0x5931…8ecb | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4259cd… |
| 05-09 00:15:48 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x335c9a… |
| 05-09 00:02:09 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x979884… |
| 05-08 22:26:36 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xea20f8… |
| 05-08 22:16:24 | (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x86e510… |
| 05-08 18:22:36 | (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x38dd16… |
| 05-08 14:24:48 | Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab | No | BUY | 100 | 97¢ | $97 | 0x1bd838… |
| 05-08 14:00:16 | (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xd7a583… |
| 05-08 11:24:44 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7b819d… |
| 05-08 10:12:26 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 4 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x719e12… |
| 05-08 09:35:53 | Rowdy-Manicure 0x47e6…c039 | No | BUY | 141 | 92¢ | $130 | 0x1fed15… |
| 05-08 09:35:32 | Nice-Swamp 0xcd2a…0bf0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xc3a05e… |
| 05-08 09:20:55 | Warm-Nonconformist 0x39c3…e155 | No | BUY | 149 | 92¢ | $137 | 0xd65ab6… |
| 05-08 09:05:52 | Well-Informed-Ladybug 0xcb6b…c7f7 | No | BUY | 145 | 92¢ | $133 | 0x948044… |
| 05-08 08:10:10 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xb741fa… |
| 05-08 06:55:02 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xd8c753… |
| 05-08 03:20:57 | (anonymous) 0x363e…928a | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xf11160… |
| 05-08 03:20:53 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x166f32… |
| 05-08 03:20:45 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x4a04b7… |
| 05-08 03:20:32 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xe8630b… |
| 05-08 03:20:20 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 12 | 91¢ | $11 | 0xc941e1… |
| 05-08 00:09:28 | Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x9a1b94… |
| 05-07 11:46:23 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0x194834… |
| 05-07 11:46:23 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x807eba… |
| 05-07 11:46:23 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x5ca68c… |
| 05-07 11:00:53 | Well-Lit-Antler 0xce1d…6372 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x317c9e… |