Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 7?
No won
Total volume
$190
$1,453 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$31,092
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-07
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-08 04:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $0 | $8 | $8 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $1 | $159 | $158 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Median | 5 | $0 | $140 | $139 |
| Below median | 7 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x4a36…27be | No | +120 | $119 | $119 | 1 | 05-07 09:38 |
| Previous-Gray 0x6700…67c4 | Yes | +76 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 07:28 |
| Relieved-Orchard 0xb28a…834b | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-07 12:00 |
| Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-07 19:46 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 10:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 04:49:47 | Livid-Television 0xc5da…5f86 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x7c5e42… |
| 05-07 20:26:14 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x371d51… |
| 05-07 20:26:12 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x11225c… |
| 05-07 20:26:12 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x056ee3… |
| 05-07 20:26:12 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaa05f7… |
| 05-07 20:26:12 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4407ea… |
| 05-07 19:46:39 | Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x074f37… |
| 05-07 14:36:15 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x78a1a5… |
| 05-07 14:36:15 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5a31e5… |
| 05-07 14:36:15 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7e8b39… |
| 05-07 14:36:15 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xee7457… |
| 05-07 14:36:15 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb51c3a… |
| 05-07 14:36:15 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7c569c… |
| 05-07 14:36:15 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd85ea… |
| 05-07 14:36:15 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x183a0f… |
| 05-07 14:36:15 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbaf578… |
| 05-07 14:36:15 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb7e8df… |
| 05-07 14:36:15 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8a5e8d… |
| 05-07 14:36:15 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e3edc… |
| 05-07 14:36:15 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8ab244… |
| 05-07 14:36:15 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe6fa15… |
| 05-07 12:16:12 | Talkative-Pottery 0x1d75…4742 | No | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x3c396e… |
| 05-07 12:00:34 | Relieved-Orchard 0xb28a…834b | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xf78db6… |
| 05-07 10:00:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x4b549d… |
| 05-07 09:54:50 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa29b53… |
| 05-07 09:38:09 | (anonymous) 0x4a36…27be | No | BUY | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0x6aebac… |
| 05-07 07:28:21 | Previous-Gray 0x6700…67c4 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x80128f… |
| 05-06 20:00:27 | Livid-Television 0xc5da…5f86 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x33b8ea… |
| 05-05 07:46:16 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x2cecdc… |
| 05-05 07:46:08 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5acdc3… |