Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 12?
No won
Total volume
$513
Trades
26
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 09:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $33 | $33 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $0 | $286 | $286 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | — | $194 | $194 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | $85 | $84 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $367 | $367 |
| Median | 3 | — | $25 | $25 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $6 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monumental-Fortnight 0xd83c…798c | No | +181 | $180 | $180 | 2 | 05-10 05:53 |
| Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | +78 | $78 | $78 | 2 | 05-10 12:55 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +52 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 05-10 07:32 |
| Right-Silo 0x5b18…b5ee | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 05-10 04:27 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 05-10 13:51 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 02:54 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-10 19:19 |
| Nonstop-Soot 0x9ede…9e87 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 04:42 |
| Sentimental-Luck 0x7a41…2562 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-10 04:28 |
| Happy-Potato 0x18a5…2fe5 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 09:32 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Athletic-Singer 0x8d2e…770b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:42 |
| Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 09:32:32 | Happy-Potato 0x18a5…2fe5 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x29ff91… |
| 05-12 02:54:05 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x156c2d… |
| 05-11 13:23:55 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3a5ddb… |
| 05-11 13:23:55 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8c9bb… |
| 05-10 19:19:13 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xe8b647… |
| 05-10 13:51:49 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x649b19… |
| 05-10 12:55:45 | Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x71d0fe… |
| 05-10 12:50:44 | Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | BUY | 71 | 100¢ | $71 | 0x20b7ea… |
| 05-10 12:30:49 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x872c23… |
| 05-10 07:32:34 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x171594… |
| 05-10 07:32:32 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaf9051… |
| 05-10 07:32:21 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 52 | 100¢ | $51 | 0x3fc6c7… |
| 05-10 07:32:18 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc62aa… |
| 05-10 07:32:18 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd1baf5… |
| 05-10 07:32:18 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b94a3… |
| 05-10 05:53:03 | Monumental-Fortnight 0xd83c…798c | No | BUY | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0x473668… |
| 05-10 05:52:42 | Monumental-Fortnight 0xd83c…798c | No | BUY | 61 | 99¢ | $60 | 0xf1f486… |
| 05-10 04:42:10 | Nonstop-Soot 0x9ede…9e87 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xd8c0e3… |
| 05-10 04:42:08 | Athletic-Singer 0x8d2e…770b | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x959460… |
| 05-10 04:41:35 | Sentimental-Luck 0x7a41…2562 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x6df4be… |
| 05-10 04:28:57 | Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x2b3b4e… |
| 05-10 04:27:30 | Right-Silo 0x5b18…b5ee | No | BUY | 45 | 98¢ | $44 | 0xf25544… |
| 05-10 04:22:46 | Able-Buffer 0x06ae…0a09 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x7c2ee4… |
| 05-10 04:22:46 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbc6d84… |
| 05-10 04:21:43 | Right-Silo 0x5b18…b5ee | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x4bb1ab… |
| 05-10 04:21:19 | Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x059041… |