Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 5?
open
Total volume
$156
$3,495 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$78,750
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 06:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $9 | $142 | $132 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| Median | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| unranked | 19 | $0 | $110 | $109 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xb3d7…e878 | Yes | +272 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-04 20:44 |
| Juicy-Turtle 0xebcd…d2ef | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-04 23:59 |
| Cavernous-Sneaker 0xa048…c553 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-04 20:01 |
| Nifty-Museum 0xa67f…3c3d | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-05 04:55 |
| Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-05 00:09 |
| Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-04 20:01 |
| Thorough-Clerk 0x4372…189f | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-04 22:44 |
| Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-04 21:14 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-04 21:14 |
| Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 00:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3b0…580b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 20:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6d9…1831 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 20:01 |
| Subtle-Linseed 0xc52a…e37a | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 20:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:01 |
| Husky-Minor 0x1799…3ca9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x23c6…88e7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xba6f…8c1f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:01 |
| Ideal-Hive-Ban 0x60b1…8b7c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 06:40:42 | (anonymous) 0xecc6…55bf | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf33500… |
| 05-05 04:55:48 | Nifty-Museum 0xa67f…3c3d | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xb551c2… |
| 05-05 00:34:32 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbfb186… |
| 05-05 00:09:58 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x9e28a1… |
| 05-04 23:59:56 | Juicy-Turtle 0xebcd…d2ef | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0xe05bb9… |
| 05-04 22:44:44 | Thorough-Clerk 0x4372…189f | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x09191a… |
| 05-04 21:14:46 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x339787… |
| 05-04 21:14:46 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1512d0… |
| 05-04 20:44:48 | (anonymous) 0xb3d7…e878 | Yes | BUY | 272 | 3¢ | $9 | 0x2d2664… |
| 05-04 20:01:22 | Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x7d4744… |
| 05-04 20:01:10 | Subtle-Linseed 0xc52a…e37a | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xb3df32… |
| 05-04 20:01:10 | (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xce7ab2… |
| 05-04 20:01:10 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x231969… |
| 05-04 20:01:10 | (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x00b6fc… |
| 05-04 20:01:10 | (anonymous) 0xecc6…55bf | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x29749b… |
| 05-04 20:01:06 | (anonymous) 0xf6d9…1831 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x3aeaea… |
| 05-04 20:01:06 | Cavernous-Sneaker 0xa048…c553 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x6d6a1f… |
| 05-04 20:01:06 | (anonymous) 0xc3b0…580b | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xda5fd9… |
| 05-04 20:01:04 | (anonymous) 0xba6f…8c1f | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x4f1672… |
| 05-04 20:01:04 | (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb743a7… |
| 05-04 20:01:04 | (anonymous) 0x23c6…88e7 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xa1e4c5… |
| 05-04 20:01:04 | Ideal-Hive-Ban 0x60b1…8b7c | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x734e8c… |
| 05-04 20:01:04 | Husky-Minor 0x1799…3ca9 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x363d71… |
| 05-04 20:01:02 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xcdafc5… |