Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$138
$29 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$146
Latest YES mid
93¢
Latest NO mid
7¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 00:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $65 | $65 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $38 | $7 | +$31 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $64 | $64 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 4 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 5 | $38 | $7 | +$31 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +80 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 05-07 13:19 |
| Huge-Insurance 0x100d…1baa | No | +42 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-07 20:46 |
| Gullible-Cliff 0x14a9…4b39 | Yes | +32 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-07 20:11 |
| Worse-Show-Gauntlet 0x1777…4e65 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 00:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fd7…b8d9 | No | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 21:02 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 21:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 00:19:37 | Worse-Show-Gauntlet 0x1777…4e65 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x1a987d… |
| 05-07 23:21:17 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x1af56e… |
| 05-07 21:54:33 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x8ab24c… |
| 05-07 21:02:10 | (anonymous) 0x6fd7…b8d9 | No | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xbf403d… |
| 05-07 20:46:56 | Huge-Insurance 0x100d…1baa | No | BUY | 19 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xe8ebbe… |
| 05-07 20:41:25 | Huge-Insurance 0x100d…1baa | No | BUY | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xfb982e… |
| 05-07 20:11:42 | Gullible-Cliff 0x14a9…4b39 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 86¢ | $28 | 0x41084c… |
| 05-07 19:46:23 | Mealy-Reactant 0x477f…9144 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 70¢ | $20 | 0xc471c7… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x051833… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 80 | 80¢ | $64 | 0x5a1239… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6776ca… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x173036… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xb43b21… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x65c420… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8883d4… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x19c56c… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x71ce18… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd11434… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x465035… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbb7303… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x72c0ba… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7c7c60… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x855666… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6d8a17… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa7a7f8… |