Will Grenada win on 2026-05-16?
open
Total volume
$797
Trades
33
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$3,911
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-04-20
last 04-26 09:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-14.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $502
vs crowd: 15% YES on $791)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $79 | $662 | $583 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $33 | $13 | +$20 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $502 | $502 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $84 | $172 | $88 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $25 | — | +$25 |
| unranked | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slow-Regret 0x8191…8a35 | No | +539 | $502 | $502 | 5 | 04-26 09:07 |
| Last-Mention 0x39b2…9460 | Yes | +250 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 04-26 09:07 |
| Cool-Copywriter 0x7cbe…c4b7 | No | +165 | $148 | $148 | 3 | 04-20 19:13 |
| Valid-Custody 0xd443…5f71 | Yes | +154 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 04-21 09:00 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +137 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-21 09:00 |
| Cool-Copywriter 0x7cbe…c4b7 | Yes | +88 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 04-20 18:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x4eb7…c021 | Yes | +45 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 04-22 10:32 |
| Valid-Custody 0xd443…5f71 | No | +41 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 04-20 18:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 04-21 09:00 |
| Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | +21 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 04-20 18:55 |
| Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | No | +21 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 04-20 18:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x93bc…7f72 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 04-21 09:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x75d1…7a5f | No | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-20 18:55 |
| Mammoth-Costume 0x204f…ba2c | Yes | +16 | $2 | $6 | 5 | 04-26 09:07 |
| Graceful-Basin 0xeda7…7b78 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-26 09:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b4a…e2bf | Yes | +6 | $-3 | $5 | 3 | 04-21 09:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x8812…c41a | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-21 09:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-26 09:07:12 | Mammoth-Costume 0x204f…ba2c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8bcb5f… |
| 04-26 09:07:12 | Graceful-Basin 0xeda7…7b78 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8bcb5f… |
| 04-26 09:07:12 | Slow-Regret 0x8191…8a35 | No | BUY | 280 | 94¢ | $262 | 0x8bcb5f… |
| 04-26 09:07:12 | Last-Mention 0x39b2…9460 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 6¢ | $15 | 0x8bcb5f… |
| 04-22 10:32:46 | Slow-Regret 0x8191…8a35 | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x65b5e8… |
| 04-22 10:32:46 | (anonymous) 0x4eb7…c021 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x65b5e8… |
| 04-22 10:32:46 | Mammoth-Costume 0x204f…ba2c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x65b5e8… |
| 04-21 09:04:40 | Slow-Regret 0x8191…8a35 | No | BUY | 15 | 93¢ | $14 | 0x5c1159… |
| 04-21 09:04:40 | Mammoth-Costume 0x204f…ba2c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x5c1159… |
| 04-21 09:00:16 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 137 | 7¢ | $10 | 0xb262c0… |
| 04-21 09:00:16 | (anonymous) 0x8812…c41a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xb262c0… |
| 04-21 09:00:16 | (anonymous) 0x9b4a…e2bf | Yes | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb262c0… |
| 04-21 09:00:16 | Slow-Regret 0x8191…8a35 | No | BUY | 159 | 93¢ | $147 | 0xb262c0… |
| 04-21 09:00:16 | (anonymous) 0x93bc…7f72 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xb262c0… |
| 04-21 09:00:10 | (anonymous) 0x93bc…7f72 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xc2a220… |
| 04-21 09:00:10 | Mammoth-Costume 0x204f…ba2c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xc2a220… |
| 04-21 09:00:06 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x8e745c… |
| 04-21 09:00:06 | Slow-Regret 0x8191…8a35 | No | BUY | 56 | 90¢ | $51 | 0x8e745c… |
| 04-21 09:00:06 | Valid-Custody 0xd443…5f71 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x8e745c… |
| 04-20 19:13:00 | Valid-Custody 0xd443…5f71 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x5d718b… |
| 04-20 19:13:00 | Cool-Copywriter 0x7cbe…c4b7 | No | BUY | 56 | 90¢ | $50 | 0x5d718b… |
| 04-20 19:13:00 | Mammoth-Costume 0x204f…ba2c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x5d718b… |
| 04-20 18:55:26 | Valid-Custody 0xd443…5f71 | No | BUY | 41 | 31¢ | $13 | 0x2d36ec… |
| 04-20 18:55:26 | (anonymous) 0x75d1…7a5f | No | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x2d36ec… |
| 04-20 18:55:26 | (anonymous) 0x9b4a…e2bf | Yes | SELL | 6 | 68¢ | $4 | 0x2d36ec… |
| 04-20 18:55:26 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | No | BUY | 21 | 32¢ | $7 | 0x2d36ec… |
| 04-20 18:55:26 | Cool-Copywriter 0x7cbe…c4b7 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 70¢ | $61 | 0x2d36ec… |
| 04-20 18:55:10 | Valid-Custody 0xd443…5f71 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xcb0e32… |
| 04-20 18:55:10 | Cool-Copywriter 0x7cbe…c4b7 | No | BUY | 62 | 88¢ | $54 | 0xcb0e32… |
| 04-20 18:55:10 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | BUY | 21 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xcb0e32… |
| 04-20 13:53:26 | Cool-Copywriter 0x7cbe…c4b7 | No | BUY | 47 | 92¢ | $43 | 0x87e0da… |
| 04-20 13:53:26 | (anonymous) 0x9b4a…e2bf | Yes | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x87e0da… |
| 04-20 13:53:26 | Valid-Custody 0xd443…5f71 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x87e0da… |