Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on May 13?
open
Total volume
$358
$1,331 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$3,584
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 04:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $18 | $18 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $3 | $334 | $332 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $0 | $149 | $149 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $1 | $184 | $182 |
| Median | 4 | $1 | $10 | $9 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Focused-Developing 0x62e2…1f89 | No | +145 | $140 | $140 | 1 | 05-13 03:38 |
| French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | +79 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 05-12 19:20 |
| Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 9 | 05-11 23:33 |
| Upright-Logistics 0x75b9…0893 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xd86e…1b87 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-12 05:24 |
| Grave-Assembly 0xd1ff…f3a0 | Yes | +22 | $-1 | $3 | 3 | 05-13 01:02 |
| Mean-Anime 0xbf5f…0138 | Yes | +18 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 07:01 |
| Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 05:30 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 14:27 |
| Agile-Girlfriend 0x79b6…e042 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 03:02 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 03:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3ee…6866 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 19:11 |
| Necessary-Tag 0x06f7…53e0 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 04:22 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 03:42 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 05:24 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 04:01:09 | Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x08940c… |
| 05-13 03:42:27 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x19dd03… |
| 05-13 03:38:52 | Focused-Developing 0x62e2…1f89 | No | BUY | 145 | 97¢ | $140 | 0x6608e2… |
| 05-13 03:02:54 | Agile-Girlfriend 0x79b6…e042 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xb183d2… |
| 05-13 03:02:00 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xfb0810… |
| 05-13 01:02:50 | Grave-Assembly 0xd1ff…f3a0 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x89bed7… |
| 05-12 20:40:41 | Hoarse-Eclipse 0x4235…81e4 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x011f5b… |
| 05-12 19:25:26 | Upright-Logistics 0x75b9…0893 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x58f1a9… |
| 05-12 19:20:14 | French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | BUY | 79 | 97¢ | $76 | 0xb91e0c… |
| 05-12 19:11:43 | (anonymous) 0xa3ee…6866 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3e49d1… |
| 05-12 17:57:28 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0523ea… |
| 05-12 17:56:28 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7e36e2… |
| 05-12 14:27:54 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x6a9231… |
| 05-12 07:01:18 | Mean-Anime 0xbf5f…0138 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7b67af… |
| 05-12 05:30:53 | Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x2f0a62… |
| 05-12 05:24:37 | (anonymous) 0xd86e…1b87 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xa3e6ee… |
| 05-12 05:24:24 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x84fa70… |
| 05-12 03:14:07 | Grave-Assembly 0xd1ff…f3a0 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x39f278… |
| 05-11 23:33:25 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x575f1e… |
| 05-11 23:33:21 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xd7f9ca… |
| 05-11 23:33:07 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x2b5047… |
| 05-11 21:14:26 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x847e40… |
| 05-11 21:14:24 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xa214d8… |
| 05-11 21:14:05 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x787dbd… |
| 05-11 21:14:02 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xa2804e… |
| 05-11 21:13:58 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x5476a9… |
| 05-11 21:13:55 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf407c1… |
| 05-11 16:56:15 | Grave-Assembly 0xd1ff…f3a0 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xad0b65… |
| 05-11 04:22:44 | Necessary-Tag 0x06f7…53e0 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x00bc08… |