Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on May 11?
open
Total volume
$102
$634 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,702
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 10:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $42 | $44 | $2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $11 | $5 | +$5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $11 | $17 | $7 |
| Median | 6 | $1 | $23 | $22 |
| Below median | 5 | $15 | $4 | +$11 |
| unranked | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exalted-Knifeedge 0x5868…64c8 | Yes | +71 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 06:01 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +50 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 05-10 09:19 |
| Handmade-Measurement 0x8842…dfa7 | Yes | +39 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 04:23 |
| Pure-Wrinkle 0x8304…9cfa | Yes | +33 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 05:18 |
| Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | Yes | +33 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:47 |
| Poised-Footwear 0x561a…7be2 | Yes | +31 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 06:53 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-10 06:51 |
| Warlike-Guestbook 0xc2a0…e1b8 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 07:53 |
| Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-10 00:55 |
| Foolhardy-Direction 0x515c…7587 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 10:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xd57f…1644 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 7 | 05-10 06:01 |
| Exhausted-Greatgrandfather 0x370f…eaf5 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 02:35 |
| Miserly-Mother 0xa52d…a95a | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 16:56 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 19:47 |
| Alarmed-Appliance 0x26d4…0a37 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x589b…0381 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 10:29 |
| Thankful-Witness 0xb00b…e0aa | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c40…4e32 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 19:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 10:29:19 | Foolhardy-Direction 0x515c…7587 | No | BUY | 9 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xce27ab… |
| 05-10 10:29:19 | (anonymous) 0x589b…0381 | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x81fd79… |
| 05-10 09:19:55 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd51384… |
| 05-10 07:53:35 | Warlike-Guestbook 0xc2a0…e1b8 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xfe620c… |
| 05-10 07:48:47 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x7755eb… |
| 05-10 07:47:24 | Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xbf0749… |
| 05-10 07:23:05 | Thankful-Witness 0xb00b…e0aa | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x7c7906… |
| 05-10 06:53:01 | Poised-Footwear 0x561a…7be2 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xca45b3… |
| 05-10 06:51:56 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0x999c10… |
| 05-10 06:22:00 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x8c378d… |
| 05-10 06:08:00 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x27e6ac… |
| 05-10 06:01:23 | Exalted-Knifeedge 0x5868…64c8 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 14¢ | $10 | 0x448a19… |
| 05-10 06:01:23 | (anonymous) 0xd57f…1644 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xea0192… |
| 05-10 05:18:31 | (anonymous) 0xd57f…1644 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x80ef0f… |
| 05-10 05:18:31 | Pure-Wrinkle 0x8304…9cfa | Yes | BUY | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xba564d… |
| 05-10 04:41:25 | Alarmed-Appliance 0x26d4…0a37 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x15b49d… |
| 05-10 04:32:31 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x4f6d90… |
| 05-10 04:32:31 | (anonymous) 0xd57f…1644 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x2c42cb… |
| 05-10 04:23:42 | (anonymous) 0xd57f…1644 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x69ce4c… |
| 05-10 04:23:42 | Handmade-Measurement 0x8842…dfa7 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 15¢ | $6 | 0x881d14… |
| 05-10 04:02:07 | (anonymous) 0xd57f…1644 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x7c1f6d… |
| 05-10 04:02:07 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x7b89e1… |
| 05-10 02:46:21 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xe1cb1f… |
| 05-10 02:46:19 | (anonymous) 0xd57f…1644 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x908d9d… |
| 05-10 02:35:32 | (anonymous) 0xd57f…1644 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xb7de20… |
| 05-10 02:35:32 | Exhausted-Greatgrandfather 0x370f…eaf5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xebc92c… |
| 05-10 00:55:27 | Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x4bd447… |
| 05-10 00:55:27 | Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x61cfd5… |
| 05-09 19:47:48 | (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0xc62267… |
| 05-09 19:47:45 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x141d09… |
| 05-09 19:47:45 | (anonymous) 0x2c40…4e32 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x80a924… |
| 05-09 19:47:36 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xf1f63c… |
| 05-09 16:56:06 | Miserly-Mother 0xa52d…a95a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x02fac8… |