Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$135,054

Trades

17,613

Unique wallets

1,375

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-03-03

First seen

2026-03-02

last 03-03 06:26

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +6,527 Droopy-Jute +5,556 (anon) +4,267 (anon) +3,348 (anon) +3,009 (anon) +2,778 (anon) +2,180 (anon) +1,830

NO holders

(anon) +15,060 (anon) +5,841 (anon) +5,792 Lost-Tortilla +5,718 (anon) +2,519 (anon) +1,972 (anon) +1,910 (anon) +1,844

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -3.8¢ (top1%: 38% YES on $84.4K vs crowd: 42% YES on $117.4K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	133	$35.8K	$47.8K	$12.0K
🐬 Dolphin	291	$5.9K	$7.8K	$1.9K
🐟 Fish	492	$5.9K	$11.3K	$5.5K
🦐 Shrimp	459	$1.7K	$1.2K	+$508

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	143	$32.2K	$52.2K	$20.0K
🏆 Top 5%	115	$3.5K	$3.2K	+$325
✅ Top 10%	69	$304	$1.0K	$736
Median	78	$274	$201	+$72
Below median	455	$1.7K	$1.5K	+$176
⚠️ Bottom 10%	217	$2.2K	$2.0K	+$220
🔻 Bottom 5%	203	$2.6K	$4.2K	$1.6K
💀 Bottom 1%	95	$6.4K	$3.8K	+$2.6K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x511e…1a69	Down	+15,060	$5,941	$5,941	410	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Up	+6,527	$3,783	$3,783	340	03-03 06:23
(anonymous) 0xd84c…07b9	Down	+5,841	$5,494	$5,494	38	03-03 06:25
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Down	+5,792	$2,283	$2,283	393	03-03 06:23
Lost-Tortilla 0x75c4…77f9	Down	+5,718	$5,667	$5,667	74	03-03 06:26
Droopy-Jute 0x4530…91f8	Up	+5,556	$50	$50	1	03-03 06:25
(anonymous) 0x7c7d…4e7d	Up	+4,267	$1,330	$1,330	37	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0x21a3…8278	Up	+3,348	$1,690	$1,690	2	03-03 06:22
(anonymous) 0xedb6…a7e4	Up	+3,009	$1,300	$1,300	3	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0xc880…a8c3	Up	+2,778	$25	$25	25	03-03 06:26
(anonymous) 0xdb21…39ff	Down	+2,519	$1,714	$1,714	105	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0xdb21…39ff	Up	+2,180	$1,029	$1,029	129	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0x8a18…bc9d	Down	+1,972	$1,372	$1,372	120	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0x8e9c…ed64	Down	+1,910	$810	$810	48	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0x437b…83b2	Down	+1,844	$1,164	$1,164	63	03-03 06:25
(anonymous) 0x8262…a815	Up	+1,830	$1,113	$1,113	57	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0x8262…a815	Down	+1,823	$780	$780	87	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0xa130…ed0d	Down	+1,815	$1,202	$1,202	77	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	Up	+1,747	$873	$873	185	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0x8a18…bc9d	Up	+1,746	$860	$860	117	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0x6127…c977	Down	+1,741	$1,199	$1,199	131	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0xa130…ed0d	Up	+1,727	$801	$801	78	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0x8e9c…ed64	Up	+1,714	$883	$883	43	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0x437b…83b2	Up	+1,711	$846	$846	84	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0xd090…6660	Up	+1,677	$886	$886	483	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0xd090…6660	Down	+1,676	$788	$788	558	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0x6127…c977	Up	+1,650	$819	$819	111	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0x6837…9ca9	Down	+1,584	$671	$671	77	03-03 06:25
(anonymous) 0x6837…9ca9	Up	+1,574	$922	$922	72	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0x5620…6aa9	Up	+1,556	$14	$14	2	03-03 06:26
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Up	+1,514	$1,077	$1,865	136	03-03 06:23
(anonymous) 0x5bde…cbb7	Down	+1,503	$968	$968	79	03-03 06:25
(anonymous) 0xba26…23c9	Down	+1,500	$1,485	$1,485	1	03-03 06:25
(anonymous) 0x5bde…cbb7	Up	+1,416	$656	$656	68	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0x1f30…b9eb	Up	+1,340	$576	$576	4	03-03 06:22
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	Down	+1,329	$682	$682	160	03-03 06:25
(anonymous) 0x3e3b…e982	Down	+1,309	$1,187	$2,508	95	03-03 06:25
(anonymous) 0xa45f…2429	Up	+1,278	$676	$676	134	03-03 06:24
Interesting-Flatboat 0x3d32…a2a7	Down	+1,221	$335	$335	20	03-03 06:24
Forked-Felony 0xfafd…9b3e	Up	+1,195	$36	$36	43	03-03 06:25
(anonymous) 0x52f8…61b9	Down	+1,044	$706	$706	70	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0x9814…a510	Down	+1,044	$506	$506	94	03-03 06:25
(anonymous) 0xa45f…2429	Down	+1,042	$485	$485	97	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0xddaa…8766	Down	+1,026	$326	$326	48	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Up	+1,024	$589	$850	97	03-03 06:23
(anonymous) 0x1e3c…8a62	Down	+1,013	$752	$752	67	03-03 06:25
(anonymous) 0x0ea5…17e4	Down	+1,007	$564	$564	54	03-03 06:22
Attractive-Spleen 0x88ac…fb0b	Up	+1,000	$10	$10	2	03-03 06:25
(anonymous) 0x098f…2a72	Down	+1,000	$220	$220	2	03-03 06:23
Open-Location 0x90c9…7e8b	Up	+1,000	$10	$10	24	03-03 06:25
(anonymous) 0x9814…a510	Up	+981	$529	$529	41	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0xd111…af32	Down	+975	$623	$623	70	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	Up	+943	$564	$564	26	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0xf4fe…ebac	Down	+921	$467	$467	48	03-03 06:24
Poised-Classmate 0x41aa…dbd1	Up	+900	$18	$18	33	03-03 06:25
(anonymous) 0x571c…a61f	Up	+889	$603	$603	63	03-03 06:24
Rubbery-Chiffonier 0xe8d6…c964	Up	+870	$11	$11	35	03-03 06:25
(anonymous) 0xb034…f0dc	Down	+775	$344	$344	101	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0xb066…a0d7	Down	+748	$350	$350	48	03-03 06:24
(anonymous) 0x19a1…7698	Down	+692	$424	$424	56	03-03 06:25