Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on November 8?
No won
Total volume
$214
Trades
35
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-11-08
First seen
2026-11-06
last 11-08 18:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $66
vs crowd: 0% YES on $179)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $0 | $101 | $101 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $0 | $47 | $47 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $0 | $31 | $31 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $0 | — | +$0 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $0 | $66 | $66 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 2 | — | $25 | $25 |
| Below median | 3 | $0 | $28 | $28 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $45 | $45 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | +97 | $0 | $0 | 8 | 11-08 08:56 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +57 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 11-07 23:33 |
| Useful-Carbohydrate 0x94e5…52be | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-07 00:11 |
| Keen-Steamroller 0x3069…0cf2 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 11-08 17:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa219…046b | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 11-08 08:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | +23 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-08 17:00 |
| Worrisome-Garbage 0xaa5c…a240 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 11-08 17:00 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-08 17:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xe73a…2335 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-08 18:58 |
| Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-08 15:35 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-08 17:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xbfbe…da52 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-08 17:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x53b9…4b3d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-06 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fa4…f4ea | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-06 23:00 |
| Notable-Snuggle 0xadce…a482 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-07 23:33 |
| Salty-Prohibition 0x9e37…f7ce | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-08 17:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-08 18:58:39 | Next-Chin 0xcbc1…99e6 | No | SELL | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x8ea6e2… |
| 11-08 18:58:39 | (anonymous) 0xe73a…2335 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8ea6e2… |
| 11-08 18:58:39 | (anonymous) 0x0a3a…e990 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x8ea6e2… |
| 11-08 18:58:39 | (anonymous) 0x21dd…4609 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8ea6e2… |
| 11-08 17:07:54 | Next-Chin 0xcbc1…99e6 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xcdb5ba… |
| 11-08 17:07:54 | Salty-Prohibition 0x9e37…f7ce | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xcdb5ba… |
| 11-08 17:00:16 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x56b71f… |
| 11-08 17:00:16 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x56b71f… |
| 11-08 17:00:16 | (anonymous) 0xbfbe…da52 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x56b71f… |
| 11-08 17:00:16 | Next-Chin 0xcbc1…99e6 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x56b71f… |
| 11-08 17:00:16 | Keen-Steamroller 0x3069…0cf2 | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x56b71f… |
| 11-08 17:00:09 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x889ceb… |
| 11-08 17:00:09 | Worrisome-Garbage 0xaa5c…a240 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x889ceb… |
| 11-08 15:35:51 | (anonymous) 0xab53…b60a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x766525… |
| 11-08 15:35:51 | Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x766525… |
| 11-08 08:56:28 | (anonymous) 0xa219…046b | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4526ac… |
| 11-08 08:56:28 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4526ac… |
| 11-08 08:56:24 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x438884… |
| 11-08 08:56:24 | (anonymous) 0xa219…046b | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x438884… |
| 11-08 02:00:18 | (anonymous) 0x0a3a…e990 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x138d60… |
| 11-08 02:00:18 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x138d60… |
| 11-07 23:52:27 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x56e43d… |
| 11-07 23:52:27 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x56e43d… |
| 11-07 23:42:27 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x375974… |
| 11-07 23:42:27 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x375974… |
| 11-07 23:33:49 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xb9c1d3… |
| 11-07 23:33:49 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe2ab41… |
| 11-07 23:33:49 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb9c1d3… |
| 11-07 23:33:49 | Notable-Snuggle 0xadce…a482 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe2ab41… |
| 11-07 20:29:09 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 27 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x89eea0… |
| 11-07 20:29:09 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0x89eea0… |
| 11-07 00:11:16 | Next-Chin 0xcbc1…99e6 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x038c39… |
| 11-07 00:11:16 | Useful-Carbohydrate 0x94e5…52be | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x038c39… |
| 11-06 23:00:22 | (anonymous) 0x0fa4…f4ea | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1232cc… |
| 11-06 23:00:22 | (anonymous) 0x53b9…4b3d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1232cc… |