Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on May 16?
open
Total volume
$136
$298 in 24h
Trades
22
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$173
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-15
last 05-16 17:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $0 | $26 | $26 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $5 | $56 | $51 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | $26 | $26 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Median | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $50 | $50 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | +200 | $4 | $4 | 10 | 05-16 01:14 |
| Mysterious-Collector-Kill 0xd43c…40f7 | Yes | +72 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 18:42 |
| Winged-Gathering 0xaa22…2303 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-16 00:30 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-16 01:13 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 21:50 |
| Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 00:27 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 21:50 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 11:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 17:06:43 | Phony-Cot 0xd628…a698 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xf73524… |
| 05-16 14:56:45 | Young-Offset 0x4475…b483 | No | SELL | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0xf5ebc3… |
| 05-16 01:14:08 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x9d8079… |
| 05-16 01:14:05 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x567c97… |
| 05-16 01:14:03 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xaa8a80… |
| 05-16 01:13:56 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x4147f5… |
| 05-16 01:13:54 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf9ae1d… |
| 05-16 01:13:52 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa108f8… |
| 05-16 01:13:51 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5854b7… |
| 05-16 01:13:45 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xbb6d71… |
| 05-16 01:01:04 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xac2025… |
| 05-16 01:00:55 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdb5851… |
| 05-16 01:00:45 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2fd571… |
| 05-16 00:58:55 | This-Head 0x9010…df3e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6bff4c… |
| 05-16 00:30:49 | Winged-Gathering 0xaa22…2303 | No | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xbbfc50… |
| 05-15 22:08:57 | Ripe-Chives 0x4ecd…36fd | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x88d10b… |
| 05-15 21:50:49 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xf13f82… |
| 05-15 21:50:42 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5efc7d… |
| 05-15 19:40:05 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x92402e… |
| 05-15 18:42:19 | Mysterious-Collector-Kill 0xd43c…40f7 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa7f8ce… |
| 05-15 11:20:19 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x550b80… |
| 05-15 00:27:55 | Warped-Transmission 0xc86c…2a30 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x09478c… |