Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$288
Trades
31
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$930
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 17:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $0 | $57 | $57 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $19 | $91 | $71 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | $49 | $48 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | $4 | $2 |
| Median | 6 | $3 | $32 | $29 |
| Below median | 11 | $6 | $17 | $11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | $40 | $39 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| unranked | 3 | $2 | $5 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xba6e…e245 | Yes | +1,010 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 16:07 |
| Famous-Scientist 0x4de1…18a2 | Yes | +78 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 14:07 |
| Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | +49 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-16 13:05 |
| Offbeat-Molar 0x1502…922e | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-14 09:54 |
| Limited-Donation 0x9ad0…be1d | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 00:08 |
| Uncomfortable-Smith 0x4d3e…2e20 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-16 05:01 |
| Hoarse-Eclipse 0x4235…81e4 | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 00:02 |
| Content-Trapdoor 0xac91…5d29 | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 14:54 |
| Scarce-Modernist 0x298f…c504 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 07:44 |
| Thankful-Luxury 0x55d0…a380 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 15:46 |
| Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 11:29 |
| Frilly-Dinner 0xe66e…601e | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 18:57 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 13:17 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 13:11 |
| Uncommon-Granddaughter 0xbcd0…b52f | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 10:50 |
| Offensive-Muscle 0x4174…18fa | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 21:40 |
| Guilty-Tension 0x5c3a…58d3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 17:21 |
| Extra-Small-Thermals 0x8842…023c | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 09:11 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 11:55 |
| Mediocre-Personality 0x93c8…0b0c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 02:45 |
| Harmful-Flugelhorn 0x3d41…e3dd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 13:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 17:11:41 | Powerless-Loss 0xdd7a…7bfb | No | SELL | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0xefe771… |
| 05-16 16:19:18 | Stained-Pew 0xb02e…90a5 | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x9c7f8e… |
| 05-16 16:07:36 | (anonymous) 0xba6e…e245 | Yes | BUY | 1,010 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd5381c… |
| 05-16 15:46:45 | Thankful-Luxury 0x55d0…a380 | No | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0xc5f29b… |
| 05-16 14:54:43 | Content-Trapdoor 0xac91…5d29 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xf10138… |
| 05-16 14:51:25 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | SELL | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x8d0065… |
| 05-16 14:46:31 | Little-Pen 0xdc09…467f | No | SELL | 92 | 84¢ | $77 | 0x607633… |
| 05-16 14:31:49 | Right-Buffer-Strobe 0xd995…e6e1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x8d70aa… |
| 05-16 14:07:24 | Famous-Scientist 0x4de1…18a2 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x4b1abe… |
| 05-16 13:11:38 | Harmful-Flugelhorn 0x3d41…e3dd | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x24154a… |
| 05-16 13:11:00 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x985886… |
| 05-16 13:05:41 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 49 | 99¢ | $49 | 0xbe14f4… |
| 05-16 12:55:46 | Dirty-Exaggeration 0x8e86…f73b | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x85197e… |
| 05-16 10:50:30 | Uncommon-Granddaughter 0xbcd0…b52f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x712011… |
| 05-16 06:30:01 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xbd7f83… |
| 05-16 05:01:07 | Uncomfortable-Smith 0x4d3e…2e20 | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x7b3b1c… |
| 05-16 00:08:59 | Limited-Donation 0x9ad0…be1d | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xe0c1c3… |
| 05-15 21:40:50 | Offensive-Muscle 0x4174…18fa | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x063564… |
| 05-15 18:57:06 | Frilly-Dinner 0xe66e…601e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xcebfb8… |
| 05-15 14:14:32 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x787b69… |
| 05-15 14:07:07 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xe7c685… |
| 05-15 13:17:29 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd0bfad… |
| 05-15 11:55:38 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x62a0d7… |
| 05-15 11:29:34 | Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x9f7b63… |
| 05-15 09:11:00 | Extra-Small-Thermals 0x8842…023c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf85b1d… |
| 05-15 07:44:57 | Scarce-Modernist 0x298f…c504 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x08eb2f… |
| 05-15 02:45:16 | Mediocre-Personality 0x93c8…0b0c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xa1408b… |
| 05-15 02:15:31 | Mediocre-Personality 0x93c8…0b0c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x71ac81… |
| 05-15 00:02:36 | Hoarse-Eclipse 0x4235…81e4 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x84f057… |
| 05-14 17:21:55 | Guilty-Tension 0x5c3a…58d3 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd83d01… |
| 05-14 09:54:02 | Offbeat-Molar 0x1502…922e | No | BUY | 42 | 95¢ | $40 | 0x357bb5… |