Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 14?
open
Total volume
$171
$243 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$5,341
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 09:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $57 | $57 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | — | $83 | $83 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $57 | $57 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 6 | — | $63 | $63 |
| Below median | 6 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +57 | $57 | $57 | 4 | 05-13 00:26 |
| Icy-Frequency 0xfa80…37ce | No | +36 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-13 06:24 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 00:02 |
| Wary-Canvas 0x83cc…9519 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 04:13 |
| Huge-Cria 0x2fea…e651 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 05:18 |
| Beautiful-Turmeric 0x7141…1066 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 03:06 |
| First-Ghost 0x2fed…7f8e | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 09:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 09:16:23 | First-Ghost 0x2fed…7f8e | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x728c0e… |
| 05-13 06:41:15 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x01e48e… |
| 05-13 06:24:34 | Icy-Frequency 0xfa80…37ce | No | BUY | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0xf8765d… |
| 05-13 05:18:39 | Huge-Cria 0x2fea…e651 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe6e045… |
| 05-13 04:13:54 | Wary-Canvas 0x83cc…9519 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x11d629… |
| 05-13 03:06:28 | Beautiful-Turmeric 0x7141…1066 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xa66f74… |
| 05-13 01:02:37 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 232 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5aa0e1… |
| 05-13 00:26:27 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x2ac44f… |
| 05-13 00:22:35 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x4961e8… |
| 05-13 00:02:18 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf5dde… |
| 05-13 00:02:18 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf0c86c… |
| 05-13 00:02:18 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf093fa… |
| 05-13 00:02:18 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde68f7… |
| 05-13 00:02:18 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x99cb65… |
| 05-13 00:02:18 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc26b7a… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xbc3349… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x11717d… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x131d22… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc10b88… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe329cb… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x838561… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x744734… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9c4627… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe931b1… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d3046… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x278899… |
| 05-12 20:57:44 | Grounded-Twist 0x6cf3…ae71 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf7676c… |
| 05-12 20:57:29 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x7d0fcd… |
| 05-12 17:57:22 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0x5e59b6… |
| 05-12 06:15:51 | Husky-Golf 0x1041…f452 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x466f83… |