Will Cesena FC win on 2026-05-08?
No won
Total volume
$848
Trades
43
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-09 00:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-66.8¢
(top1%: 13% YES on $48
vs crowd: 80% YES on $637)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $58 | $22 | +$35 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $189 | $69 | +$120 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $261 | $38 | +$223 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $6 | $42 | $36 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $207 | $49 | +$158 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $5 | $34 | $29 |
| Median | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Below median | 5 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $59 | — | +$59 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $152 | — | +$152 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $64 | — | +$64 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Great-Snake 0x9cb4…8285 | Yes | +222 | $189 | $189 | 1 | 05-08 18:43 |
| Posh-Chance 0x92d7…fa30 | Yes | +215 | $137 | $137 | 1 | 05-08 14:25 |
| Flat-Riot 0x9fd7…d5a3 | No | +98 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-08 20:05 |
| Glaring-Salt 0xfe78…0319 | Yes | +85 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 05-08 19:30 |
| Yawning-Lay 0x133b…5856 | Yes | +78 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 05-08 18:38 |
| Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | No | +41 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 05-08 19:53 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | +40 | $22 | $22 | 8 | 05-08 20:16 |
| Naive-Referendum 0xe423…908b | No | +28 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-07 08:09 |
| Miserable-Grill 0xa299…ac77 | Yes | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 20:05 |
| Extroverted-Trigger 0x3486…49ee | Yes | +16 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 08:00 |
| Double-Technologist 0x126b…c257 | Yes | +14 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 08:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x2be0…6dee | Yes | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 18:42 |
| Bleak-Deduction 0xf516…ac9f | No | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 10:14 |
| Impish-Cause 0x11a1…8597 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 20:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x3400…3d25 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 11:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xe697…708f | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-08 19:53 |
| Ajar-Liner 0x03ba…beba | Yes | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 05:55 |
| Considerate-Inbox 0x0e45…39da | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 20:09 |
| Political-Bump 0x07cd…fbeb | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 18:37 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 18:42 |
| Right-Tarragon 0xa590…271c | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-07 10:15 |
| Arid-Rail 0x99d2…e033 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 04:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 00:18:57 | Phony-Hubris 0xa9b1…daa0 | No | SELL | 54 | 100¢ | $54 | 0x427561… |
| 05-08 20:16:28 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x62dd02… |
| 05-08 20:11:07 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xf9ba8a… |
| 05-08 20:09:59 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xe91838… |
| 05-08 20:09:35 | Considerate-Inbox 0x0e45…39da | No | BUY | 7 | 53¢ | $4 | 0x17f631… |
| 05-08 20:07:09 | Impish-Cause 0x11a1…8597 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x04b401… |
| 05-08 20:07:02 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xa09edc… |
| 05-08 20:05:33 | Flat-Riot 0x9fd7…d5a3 | No | BUY | 98 | 50¢ | $49 | 0x914d3b… |
| 05-08 20:05:12 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x162967… |
| 05-08 20:05:05 | Miserable-Grill 0xa299…ac77 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 54¢ | $10 | 0xd06961… |
| 05-08 19:53:53 | (anonymous) 0xe697…708f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x1efd9d… |
| 05-08 19:53:50 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | No | BUY | 11 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x124d80… |
| 05-08 19:53:50 | (anonymous) 0xe697…708f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xf0902b… |
| 05-08 19:53:46 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | No | BUY | 25 | 48¢ | $12 | 0xababd2… |
| 05-08 19:53:39 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | No | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x6d5296… |
| 05-08 19:35:24 | Dramatic-Sardine 0xe906…aa69 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 61¢ | $7 | 0x201232… |
| 05-08 19:30:00 | Glaring-Salt 0xfe78…0319 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 63¢ | $54 | 0x0517b8… |
| 05-08 19:12:14 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x81710f… |
| 05-08 19:10:29 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xec8993… |
| 05-08 18:52:49 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xd38239… |
| 05-08 18:48:02 | Willing-Proposition 0x16b2…aa5a | No | SELL | 238 | 34¢ | $81 | 0x4474e1… |
| 05-08 18:47:49 | (anonymous) 0x146d…f09a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x984db9… |
| 05-08 18:43:04 | Great-Snake 0x9cb4…8285 | Yes | BUY | 222 | 85¢ | $189 | 0x6e65a2… |
| 05-08 18:42:57 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x026987… |
| 05-08 18:42:55 | (anonymous) 0x2be0…6dee | Yes | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x6d1a4e… |
| 05-08 18:38:00 | Yawning-Lay 0x133b…5856 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 75¢ | $59 | 0x67165a… |
| 05-08 18:37:53 | Political-Bump 0x07cd…fbeb | Yes | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x093c16… |
| 05-08 14:25:18 | Posh-Chance 0x92d7…fa30 | Yes | BUY | 215 | 64¢ | $137 | 0x23fd35… |
| 05-08 11:44:31 | Phony-Hubris 0xa9b1…daa0 | No | BUY | 54 | 37¢ | $20 | 0x1e65b3… |
| 05-08 08:00:52 | Extroverted-Trigger 0x3486…49ee | Yes | BUY | 16 | 63¢ | $10 | 0x221fbd… |
| 05-08 05:55:18 | Ajar-Liner 0x03ba…beba | Yes | BUY | 7 | 63¢ | $4 | 0xee19ad… |
| 05-07 23:41:18 | Vapid-Region 0x3e6b…8a98 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 64¢ | $0 | 0x69e1a2… |
| 05-07 16:17:05 | (anonymous) 0xefbb…67fd | Yes | SELL | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x44eff2… |
| 05-07 12:31:20 | Idealistic-Hull 0xa877…2e20 | No | SELL | 18 | 35¢ | $6 | 0xad6bfb… |
| 05-07 12:30:50 | Married-Lay 0x3101…e57f | No | SELL | 160 | 36¢ | $58 | 0x006cb8… |
| 05-07 11:35:38 | (anonymous) 0x3400…3d25 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x631203… |
| 05-07 10:15:15 | Right-Tarragon 0xa590…271c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x3c7e0f… |
| 05-07 10:14:06 | Bleak-Deduction 0xf516…ac9f | No | BUY | 11 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x75c28c… |
| 05-07 10:10:01 | Right-Tarragon 0xa590…271c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0xc308fe… |
| 05-07 08:09:50 | Naive-Referendum 0xe423…908b | No | BUY | 18 | 38¢ | $7 | 0x01937d… |
| 05-07 08:09:48 | Double-Technologist 0x126b…c257 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 63¢ | $9 | 0xec0a17… |
| 05-07 08:09:25 | Naive-Referendum 0xe423…908b | No | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0x8627db… |
| 05-07 04:22:56 | Arid-Rail 0x99d2…e033 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x6fc758… |