Posh-Chance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$183

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.6%

Resolved

119

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$396

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 09-16 15:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

56% 39% -$187

Crypto

29% 60% +$6

Sports

11% 65% -$1

Politics

4% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Cesena FC win on 2026-05-08?	3	$175	274	0	+274	No	-$175	05-08 17:21
nba det orl 2026 04 06	6	$9	7	7	+0	Magic	+$1	04-07 01:37
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$7	46	46	+0	No	-$1	07-06 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	09-10 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:25 UTC	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	09-16 15:31
will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	2	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$2	04-12 08:23
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	05-15 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	09-10 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 17:57
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	04-07 23:24
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 9	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$2	04-09 18:22
Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	09-08 21:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:05 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	09-16 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	09-10 21:03
bitcoin up or down february 23 3pm et	3	$3	4	2	+2	Up	-$1	02-23 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	09-11 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	09-10 21:55
euroleague olympiac fenerbah 2025 12 04	3	$3	3	3	+0	Olympiacos B.C.	-$1	03-16 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	09-10 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	09-10 04:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 14	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	04-14 18:47
bitcoin up or down on april 12 2026	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	04-12 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	09-10 21:37
nba mia tor 2026 04 09	2	$3	2	2	+0	Raptors	+$1	04-10 02:31
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	04-03 23:06
bitcoin above 68k on april 1	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	04-01 06:16
Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$2	1	1	+0	Thunder	+$0	05-10 02:43
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 btts	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 23:24
nba okc lac 2026 04 08	2	$2	1	1	+0	Thunder	+$0	04-09 04:21
nhl tb buf 2026 04 06 total 5pt5	2	$2	2	2	+0	Over	+$0	04-06 23:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 15:33:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdead98…
09-16 15:31:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x32267c…
09-16 15:23:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x087f2f…
09-16 15:11:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0438fb…
09-16 15:10:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf2caed…
09-16 15:04:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1f0eea…
09-16 15:00:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb7ea9a…
09-11 02:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x44c6e9…
09-11 02:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x97be72…
09-11 02:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x075b7b…
09-11 02:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa0d8f4…
09-11 02:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc04dc4…
09-10 23:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x988aa0…
09-10 22:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x06e0f9…
09-10 21:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x937d1c…
09-10 21:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa330cb…
09-10 21:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x45580a…
09-10 21:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x319063…
09-10 21:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc0de57…
09-10 21:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x77712b…
09-10 21:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0xf075fa…
09-10 21:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5d6ac3…
09-10 21:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe4deed…
09-10 21:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6ca65c…
09-10 21:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc18c95…
09-10 21:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xed122b…
09-10 21:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4ba502…
09-10 21:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x03307d…
09-10 21:02:12	Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners	Texas Rangers	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9b3dd8…
09-10 04:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb5370b…
09-10 04:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeecfb8…
09-10 04:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe048de…
09-08 21:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x423bdd…
09-08 21:29:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7652d4…
09-08 21:26:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xed1b2d…
07-07 19:01:37	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xec3f99…
07-06 20:54:16	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb9e904…
07-06 20:53:07	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb5b492…
07-06 20:51:20	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x44913f…
07-06 20:48:08	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xe5445b…
07-06 20:47:41	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0xc7087c…
07-06 18:23:58	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xaa0207…
07-06 18:23:17	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd57d11…
07-06 18:22:47	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x752ffa…
07-06 01:54:58	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x33fb3f…
07-05 22:01:14	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	28	6¢	$2	0x22d3a4…
07-05 21:44:16	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xae4402…
07-05 21:44:14	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa3ef45…
06-27 23:46:53	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3e90f7…
06-13 04:02:40	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x054b3e…
06-13 04:01:28	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x140e8e…
05-30 02:30:20	Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd3c992…
05-30 02:27:58	Will Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5da684…
05-29 01:27:03	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf3739d…
05-15 23:00:05	Will CD Tolima vs. Atlético Nacional end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5e5153…
05-15 22:59:56	Will CD Tolima win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe7626a…
05-15 22:58:31	Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x209467…
05-15 22:58:22	Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x230470…
05-15 20:39:11	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x34dab4…
05-15 19:39:13	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x502aa0…
05-15 19:02:28	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x77d94f…
05-15 18:24:14	Will Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x5e6c49…
05-12 22:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf5392c…
05-12 10:43:14	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x154e59…
05-11 22:05:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8cbe52…
05-11 16:05:21	Will Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x95af3e…
05-11 16:04:41	Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x09af23…
05-11 16:02:42	Oeiras 4: Jurij Rodionov vs Colton Smith	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x440c7f…
05-11 16:02:11	Tunis: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Cina	Federico Cina	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1bcd1b…
05-11 16:00:48	Oeiras 4: Henrique Rocha vs Roman Safiullin	Henrique Rocha	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe0f83b…
05-10 18:50:39	Will Once Caldas win on 2026-05-10?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7bbfac…
05-10 18:00:42	Will Once Caldas win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2b3fcc…
05-10 17:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2fd881…
05-10 17:56:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb8c7aa…
05-10 03:03:14	Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)	San Diego FC	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf57edc…
05-10 03:00:09	Once Caldas vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3ca442…
05-10 02:57:35	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xe6bffb…
05-10 02:43:24	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x63f1f0…
05-10 01:39:11	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x69b014…
05-10 01:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x94322a…
05-10 01:25:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xacb271…
05-10 01:24:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x172467…
05-08 17:21:35	Will Cesena FC win on 2026-05-08?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x4cbef3…
05-08 16:26:52	Will Cesena FC win on 2026-05-08?	Yes	BUY	56	64¢	$36	0xf29223…
05-08 14:25:18	Will Cesena FC win on 2026-05-08?	Yes	BUY	215	64¢	$137	0x23fd35…
05-08 12:45:16	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x77cc55…
05-08 12:44:30	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0xa682e1…
05-07 15:22:27	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xef90fc…
04-21 15:26:46	bitcoin up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2ff695…
04-21 03:08:08	bitcoin up or down on april 21 2026	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf65df6…
04-21 03:06:38	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 21	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x75ba77…
04-14 18:47:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 14	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x61230c…
04-14 00:00:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 14	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0e253e…
04-13 23:59:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 14	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8bb396…
04-12 18:46:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfe9bf8…
04-12 08:23:17	will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x4578d0…
04-12 02:37:33	bitcoin up or down on april 12 2026	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xdfa5fd…
04-12 01:31:41	bitcoin up or down on april 12 2026	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8ae0a9…
04-12 01:30:33	will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd314b1…
04-11 20:59:43	nhl car utah 2026 04 11 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x400532…