Liu vs. Siniakova: Match O/U 22.5
cancelled
Total volume
$27,629
Trades
48
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-11-05
First seen
2026-10-28
last 10-29 04:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+33.3¢
(top1%: 82% YES on $12.5K
vs crowd: 49% YES on $28.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $11.9K | $2.3K | +$9.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $2.1K | $269 | +$1.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $4 | $12.2K | $12.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $26 | $9 | +$17 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $10.3K | $2.3K | +$8.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | $65 | $64 |
| Median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 6 | $19 | $9 | +$11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $3 | $13 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $3.7K | $12.4K | $8.7K |
| unranked | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x3ede…529d | Under | +23,871 | $12,174 | $12,174 | 1 | 10-29 04:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Over | +21,000 | $10,290 | $10,290 | 6 | 10-29 04:48 |
| Finished-Icicle 0xe3e4…8087 | Over | +4,487 | $2,127 | $2,127 | 2 | 10-29 04:33 |
| Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294 | Under | +4,000 | $2,100 | $2,100 | 4 | 10-29 04:33 |
| Scared-Attachment 0x72e1…a45d | Over | +3,250 | $1,592 | $1,592 | 2 | 10-29 04:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5628…abbc | Under | +302 | $163 | $163 | 3 | 10-29 04:33 |
| Polished-Mincemeat 0x8f1d…2fb6 | Under | +240 | $122 | $122 | 1 | 10-29 04:34 |
| Known-Chasuble 0x36b3…e421 | Under | +156 | $81 | $81 | 1 | 10-29 04:33 |
| Optimistic-Leash 0x0576…6232 | Under | +106 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 10-29 04:34 |
| Well-Informed-Witness 0xc249…8a61 | Under | +58 | $29 | $29 | 10 | 10-29 04:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xf682…b2be | Over | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-29 04:49 |
| Few-Crocodile 0xc846…c413 | Under | +20 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 10-29 04:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | Under | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-29 04:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xcdd0…319a | Over | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-29 04:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xc758…7a70 | Over | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-29 04:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x00c8…0996 | Under | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-29 04:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b4e…709e | Over | +8 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 10-29 04:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xb4cd…c041 | Over | +7 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-29 04:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xc766…c4d9 | Under | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-29 04:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x0079…5d91 | Under | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-29 04:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xdbd0…c0e4 | Over | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-29 04:34 |
| Zealous-Violence 0xa697…59d5 | Under | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-29 04:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b91…1e97 | Over | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-29 04:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xe1f4…f5a0 | Over | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-28 21:02 |
| Noxious-Auditorium 0x546a…1988 | Under | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-29 04:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xde6b…f584 | Under | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-29 04:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 04:49:07 | (anonymous) 0xf682…b2be | Over | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x668a2c… |
| 10-29 04:49:07 | Well-Informed-Witness 0xc249…8a61 | Under | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x668a2c… |
| 10-29 04:49:02 | (anonymous) 0x9b4e…709e | Over | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xa2fc4f… |
| 10-29 04:49:02 | (anonymous) 0xc758…7a70 | Over | BUY | 8 | 50¢ | $4 | 0xa9afa8… |
| 10-29 04:49:02 | Well-Informed-Witness 0xc249…8a61 | Under | BUY | 8 | 50¢ | $4 | 0xa9afa8… |
| 10-29 04:49:02 | Well-Informed-Witness 0xc249…8a61 | Under | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xa2fc4f… |
| 10-29 04:48:56 | Scared-Attachment 0x72e1…a45d | Over | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x2e2564… |
| 10-29 04:48:56 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…0996 | Under | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x2e2564… |
| 10-29 04:48:55 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Over | BUY | 20,625 | 49¢ | $10,106 | 0xd60ef9… |
| 10-29 04:48:55 | (anonymous) 0xb4cd…c041 | Over | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xd60ef9… |
| 10-29 04:48:55 | Scared-Attachment 0x72e1…a45d | Over | BUY | 3,240 | 49¢ | $1,588 | 0xd60ef9… |
| 10-29 04:48:55 | (anonymous) 0x3ede…529d | Under | BUY | 23,871 | 51¢ | $12,174 | 0xd60ef9… |
| 10-29 04:41:26 | Noxious-Auditorium 0x546a…1988 | Under | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x63859c… |
| 10-29 04:41:26 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Over | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x63859c… |
| 10-29 04:35:11 | (anonymous) 0xde6b…f584 | Under | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x256ac5… |
| 10-29 04:35:11 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Over | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x256ac5… |
| 10-29 04:34:29 | Well-Informed-Witness 0xc249…8a61 | Under | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x8ffef5… |
| 10-29 04:34:29 | (anonymous) 0x9b4e…709e | Over | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x8ffef5… |
| 10-29 04:34:19 | (anonymous) 0x9b4e…709e | Over | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x053e23… |
| 10-29 04:34:19 | Well-Informed-Witness 0xc249…8a61 | Under | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x053e23… |
| 10-29 04:34:16 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Over | BUY | 106 | 49¢ | $52 | 0x297f14… |
| 10-29 04:34:16 | Optimistic-Leash 0x0576…6232 | Under | BUY | 106 | 51¢ | $54 | 0x297f14… |
| 10-29 04:34:14 | (anonymous) 0xc758…7a70 | Over | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x5c5798… |
| 10-29 04:34:14 | Well-Informed-Witness 0xc249…8a61 | Under | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x5c5798… |
| 10-29 04:34:04 | (anonymous) 0xdbd0…c0e4 | Over | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0xb437c5… |
| 10-29 04:34:04 | Well-Informed-Witness 0xc249…8a61 | Under | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x7f9b59… |
| 10-29 04:34:04 | (anonymous) 0xcdd0…319a | Over | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x7f9b59… |
| 10-29 04:34:04 | Well-Informed-Witness 0xc249…8a61 | Under | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0xb437c5… |
| 10-29 04:34:02 | Well-Informed-Witness 0xc249…8a61 | Under | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x938db7… |
| 10-29 04:34:02 | (anonymous) 0x7b91…1e97 | Over | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x938db7… |
| 10-29 04:34:02 | (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | Under | BUY | 19 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x7ca6be… |
| 10-29 04:34:02 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Over | BUY | 19 | 49¢ | $9 | 0x7ca6be… |
| 10-29 04:34:01 | Polished-Mincemeat 0x8f1d…2fb6 | Under | BUY | 240 | 51¢ | $122 | 0x1b2433… |
| 10-29 04:34:01 | (anonymous) 0xd8b4…7773 | Over | BUY | 245 | 49¢ | $120 | 0x1b2433… |
| 10-29 04:34:01 | Well-Informed-Witness 0xc249…8a61 | Under | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x721464… |
| 10-29 04:34:01 | Few-Crocodile 0xc846…c413 | Under | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x1b2433… |
| 10-29 04:34:01 | (anonymous) 0xb4cd…c041 | Over | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x721464… |
| 10-29 04:33:50 | Zealous-Violence 0xa697…59d5 | Under | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xecb249… |
| 10-29 04:33:50 | (anonymous) 0xc766…c4d9 | Under | BUY | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xecb249… |
| 10-29 04:33:50 | (anonymous) 0x5628…abbc | Under | BUY | 100 | 54¢ | $54 | 0xecb249… |
| 10-29 04:33:50 | Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294 | Under | BUY | 2,000 | 52¢ | $1,040 | 0xecb249… |
| 10-29 04:33:50 | Known-Chasuble 0x36b3…e421 | Under | BUY | 156 | 52¢ | $81 | 0x712980… |
| 10-29 04:33:50 | Few-Crocodile 0xc846…c413 | Under | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xecb249… |
| 10-29 04:33:50 | Finished-Icicle 0xe3e4…8087 | Over | BUY | 156 | 48¢ | $75 | 0x712980… |
| 10-29 04:33:50 | (anonymous) 0x0079…5d91 | Under | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xecb249… |
| 10-29 04:33:50 | Finished-Icicle 0xe3e4…8087 | Over | BUY | 4,331 | 47¢ | $2,053 | 0xecb249… |
| 10-28 21:02:41 | (anonymous) 0x5628…abbc | Under | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0x269369… |
| 10-28 21:02:41 | (anonymous) 0xe1f4…f5a0 | Over | BUY | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x269369… |