Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on May 12?
No won
Total volume
$1,160
$16,948 in 24h
Trades
44
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$116,515
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 05:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+98.9¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $3
vs crowd: 1% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $723 | $723 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $8 | $395 | $387 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $122 | $122 |
| Median | 10 | $2 | $265 | $264 |
| Below median | 5 | $1 | $55 | $54 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $3 | $49 | $46 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $615 | $615 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $5 | $6 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spanish-Perspective 0x5ffe…e48b | No | +619 | $615 | $615 | 3 | 05-11 09:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +414 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 04:00 |
| Blank-Hail 0xe25c…7908 | Yes | +257 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 04:25 |
| Mature-Anise 0xe4f0…6450 | Yes | +200 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 14:21 |
| Showy-Focus 0xd19e…754e | Yes | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 04:48 |
| Swift-Symptom 0xd6d9…cf16 | Yes | +195 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 02:38 |
| Dense-Standoff 0x4c8e…b38f | Yes | +104 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 03:09 |
| Mindless-Figure 0x1ec5…20e0 | No | +74 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 05-10 19:13 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +59 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 05-12 04:15 |
| Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | +52 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-10 05:27 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +50 | $50 | $110 | 11 | 05-12 05:09 |
| Leading-Porter 0x2032…e43e | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-10 06:17 |
| Equatorial-Bridge 0x6a8b…f42d | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-12 04:45 |
| Darling-Beard 0x6006…c4f8 | No | +42 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 05-11 15:23 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-12 00:32 |
| Gigantic-Grove 0x0dd8…2b6c | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-11 07:30 |
| Cultured-Grove 0x9382…dd19 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 16:40 |
| Lone-Boon 0x4c04…7dca | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-11 16:00 |
| Cheery-Quit 0xd6be…f675 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:22 |
| Definite-Chiffonier 0xa768…0971 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 04:05 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 08:28 |
| Dim-Storm 0x1037…b0a9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 04:20 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 04:10 |
| Ashamed-Anklet 0x737e…de01 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 04:35 |
| Popular-Meal 0x2c6b…218b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 05:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 05:09:21 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x88dc09… |
| 05-12 05:09:18 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x73f207… |
| 05-12 05:06:02 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xaef422… |
| 05-12 04:45:51 | Equatorial-Bridge 0x6a8b…f42d | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x2e351f… |
| 05-12 04:35:42 | Ashamed-Anklet 0x737e…de01 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x125647… |
| 05-12 04:25:45 | Blank-Hail 0xe25c…7908 | Yes | BUY | 257 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xeda79a… |
| 05-12 04:20:46 | Dim-Storm 0x1037…b0a9 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xccc81a… |
| 05-12 04:15:47 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x0557c2… |
| 05-12 04:10:32 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x695d33… |
| 05-12 04:10:30 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d5e73… |
| 05-12 04:10:30 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0ece5… |
| 05-12 04:05:55 | Definite-Chiffonier 0xa768…0971 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xa65aa8… |
| 05-12 04:00:44 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 414 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x06583f… |
| 05-12 03:09:01 | Dense-Standoff 0x4c8e…b38f | Yes | BUY | 104 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x829884… |
| 05-12 02:38:01 | Swift-Symptom 0xd6d9…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 195 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x43c0db… |
| 05-12 00:32:57 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x0a5b6d… |
| 05-11 21:33:34 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x0e6dce… |
| 05-11 16:00:43 | Lone-Boon 0x4c04…7dca | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x0e76c4… |
| 05-11 15:26:58 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa082dd… |
| 05-11 15:23:34 | Darling-Beard 0x6006…c4f8 | No | BUY | 42 | 100¢ | $42 | 0xed21e3… |
| 05-11 15:21:59 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf37706… |
| 05-11 14:21:21 | Mature-Anise 0xe4f0…6450 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb7ba60… |
| 05-11 09:05:04 | Spanish-Perspective 0x5ffe…e48b | No | BUY | 472 | 100¢ | $470 | 0x2eb200… |
| 05-11 07:30:16 | Gigantic-Grove 0x0dd8…2b6c | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x690935… |
| 05-11 04:48:12 | Showy-Focus 0xd19e…754e | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x740ba3… |
| 05-11 04:48:10 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x021f10… |
| 05-11 01:19:32 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x8c8f0f… |
| 05-11 01:10:09 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3a620a… |
| 05-11 01:04:13 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x5d465c… |
| 05-11 00:54:24 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x57ca5c… |
| 05-11 00:33:52 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x0fb272… |
| 05-11 00:25:15 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3c4392… |
| 05-11 00:10:16 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xd00d82… |
| 05-10 19:13:42 | Mindless-Figure 0x1ec5…20e0 | No | BUY | 74 | 99¢ | $73 | 0x14be15… |
| 05-10 16:40:36 | Cultured-Grove 0x9382…dd19 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa523e9… |
| 05-10 16:10:07 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x85b560… |
| 05-10 16:10:07 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x274d0d… |
| 05-10 08:28:37 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x442eba… |
| 05-10 07:43:05 | Spanish-Perspective 0x5ffe…e48b | No | BUY | 142 | 98¢ | $139 | 0x94beb0… |
| 05-10 06:17:05 | Leading-Porter 0x2032…e43e | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x599e3a… |
| 05-10 05:27:40 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 52 | 94¢ | $49 | 0xc33af3… |
| 05-10 05:22:39 | Popular-Meal 0x2c6b…218b | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xa78ba1… |
| 05-10 05:22:23 | Cheery-Quit 0xd6be…f675 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xfd79e5… |
| 05-10 04:55:58 | Spanish-Perspective 0x5ffe…e48b | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x619497… |