Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-05-16?
open
Total volume
$8,604
$2,445 in 24h
Trades
105
Unique wallets
62
Liquidity
$10,953
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-16 19:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+23.6¢
(top1%: 89% YES on $4.7K
vs crowd: 66% YES on $8.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $2.6K | $232 | +$2.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $705 | $640 | +$65 |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $2.0K | $957 | +$993 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 38 | $203 | $1.0K | $818 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $4.2K | $506 | +$3.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $181 | $196 | $15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $33 | $1 | +$32 |
| Median | 8 | $34 | $2 | +$32 |
| Below median | 12 | $51 | $57 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $64 | $694 | $630 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $848 | $1.4K | $545 |
| unranked | 5 | $40 | — | +$40 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | +6,027 | $2,584 | $2,584 | 8 | 05-16 18:52 |
| Delayed-Upper-Hippodrome 0xce5e…c0fa | No | +2,308 | $923 | $923 | 2 | 05-15 20:40 |
| Radiant-Birdhouse 0xc3c3…eec8 | Yes | +1,813 | $1,088 | $1,088 | 1 | 05-15 13:06 |
| Remorseful-Semicircle 0x9a54…7191 | No | +1,594 | $653 | $653 | 2 | 05-15 13:21 |
| Glaring-Salt 0xfe78…0319 | Yes | +1,005 | $512 | $512 | 1 | 05-16 17:35 |
| Unwieldy-Dark 0x5213…6a35 | Yes | +943 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-16 16:31 |
| Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | +846 | $372 | $372 | 1 | 05-16 16:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x948b…a188 | Yes | +496 | $174 | $174 | 2 | 05-16 18:42 |
| Thankful-Rostrum-Gig 0x8f28…ff9a | No | +398 | $163 | $163 | 1 | 05-15 10:56 |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | No | +288 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 05-16 18:56 |
| Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294 | Yes | +274 | $156 | $156 | 1 | 05-13 20:17 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | +272 | $232 | $232 | 8 | 05-16 19:00 |
| Crisp-Ornament 0x4bf2…d280 | No | +244 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 05-15 15:56 |
| Useful-Terminology 0xefde…6505 | Yes | +154 | $86 | $86 | 2 | 05-16 15:46 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | +121 | $68 | $68 | 7 | 05-16 18:47 |
| Flowery-Overclocking 0x7a49…d9f5 | Yes | +118 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-16 17:36 |
| Unknown-Rainmaker 0x3fcb…f5eb | Yes | +115 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-16 18:51 |
| Altruistic-Conception 0x5fb4…90f3 | No | +85 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-14 18:04 |
| Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | Yes | +70 | $29 | $29 | 7 | 05-16 18:42 |
| Crisp-Sensitive 0xc46e…9ed8 | Yes | +51 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-16 17:21 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | +50 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 05-16 18:52 |
| Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | No | +49 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-16 17:16 |
| Far-Flung-Transition 0xb83b…426d | Yes | +43 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-16 18:41 |
| Sturdy-Impulse 0xa237…d59a | Yes | +40 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-16 16:11 |
| Adored-Archrival 0x5ce3…7037 | Yes | +37 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 18:57 |
| Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | Yes | +35 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-16 17:29 |
| Cheap-Landscape 0x7d34…e004 | Yes | +33 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-15 16:26 |
| Adventurous-Elevator 0xd73b…8319 | No | +29 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-16 17:26 |
| Easy-Going-Contention 0xef4f…f50d | Yes | +28 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-16 17:01 |
| Urban-Dough 0x9730…6245 | No | +26 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-16 19:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x7268…78ab | Yes | +25 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 20:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xffd6…6939 | Yes | +23 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-16 17:35 |
| Odd-Granddaughter 0x234b…f36d | No | +21 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 14:14 |
| Important-Timer 0x3c33…ddd4 | Yes | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 16:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 16:47 |
| Feisty-Security 0x1813…4dfe | Yes | +18 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-16 17:21 |
| Nice-Reboot 0x0946…b6e4 | No | +16 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-16 16:35 |
| Incomparable-Particle 0x4d7c…3e7a | Yes | +15 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 14:06 |
| Informal-Morbid 0x6202…8872 | No | +15 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 05-15 09:59 |
| Incompatible-Girl 0x111a…2c97 | No | +15 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 13:34 |
| Bumpy-Accessory 0x32cc…68b3 | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 05-16 18:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bcd…ac63 | Yes | +12 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-16 18:42 |
| Afraid-Ligula 0x1d3b…583b | No | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 16:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e44…f14d | No | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 17:41 |
| Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 17:13 |
| Melodic-Chocolate 0xd7f9…29a9 | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 17:25 |
| Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa9e…2264 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 17:46 |
| Dreary-Monocle 0x66e4…5583 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 18:42 |
| Automatic-Month 0x43d6…2545 | No | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 17:56 |
| Parched-Somebody 0xe36a…ae58 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 13:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xa150…44eb | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 16:11 |
| Unfortunate-Locket 0xd3da…c91f | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 17:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 19:42:00 | Quick-Exhaustion 0x2feb…8a8c | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xbbc229… |
| 05-16 19:02:01 | Hearty-Antique 0x803d…fc31 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7987ff… |
| 05-16 19:00:02 | Urban-Dough 0x9730…6245 | No | BUY | 26 | 87¢ | $23 | 0xebb91f… |
| 05-16 19:00:00 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 19 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x9853cd… |
| 05-16 18:57:37 | Adored-Archrival 0x5ce3…7037 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xc66d72… |
| 05-16 18:57:23 | Chubby-Immigrant 0x8367…7eae | Yes | SELL | 24 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x0698a6… |
| 05-16 18:57:23 | Dirty-Antecedent 0xad40…5f9c | No | SELL | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x7c09d0… |
| 05-16 18:57:16 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 48 | 85¢ | $41 | 0xe88b5d… |
| 05-16 18:57:14 | Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x491533… |
| 05-16 18:57:09 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 106 | 85¢ | $90 | 0x577f67… |
| 05-16 18:57:03 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 47 | 85¢ | $40 | 0xb55b29… |
| 05-16 18:57:02 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 23 | 86¢ | $20 | 0xa96c3d… |
| 05-16 18:57:00 | Muffled-Frustration 0x26d6…cacc | Yes | SELL | 24 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x34dfc1… |
| 05-16 18:57:00 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 9 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xdbeefb… |
| 05-16 18:56:58 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xe41777… |
| 05-16 18:56:58 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xbd040b… |
| 05-16 18:56:56 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | No | BUY | 157 | 85¢ | $133 | 0x104dd7… |
| 05-16 18:52:22 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 26¢ | $10 | 0xb13204… |
| 05-16 18:52:02 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 213 | 26¢ | $55 | 0xdb4fe2… |
| 05-16 18:51:54 | Unknown-Rainmaker 0x3fcb…f5eb | Yes | BUY | 115 | 26¢ | $30 | 0x1ebb83… |
| 05-16 18:47:07 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 14 | 68¢ | $10 | 0xeae260… |
| 05-16 18:46:56 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 14 | 68¢ | $10 | 0x78d047… |
| 05-16 18:42:25 | Incomplete-Need 0x372d…a034 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x0ba354… |
| 05-16 18:42:23 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x484401… |
| 05-16 18:42:18 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xfb6128… |
| 05-16 18:42:18 | Bumpy-Accessory 0x32cc…68b3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x03d5d0… |
| 05-16 18:42:16 | (anonymous) 0x948b…a188 | Yes | BUY | 248 | 35¢ | $87 | 0xc8197f… |
| 05-16 18:42:11 | Bumpy-Accessory 0x32cc…68b3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x281758… |
| 05-16 18:42:09 | (anonymous) 0x3bcd…ac63 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x02c2e5… |
| 05-16 18:42:09 | (anonymous) 0x948b…a188 | Yes | BUY | 248 | 35¢ | $87 | 0x5757b9… |
| 05-16 18:42:06 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 991 | 35¢ | $347 | 0x5d8048… |
| 05-16 18:42:04 | Dreary-Monocle 0x66e4…5583 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xd62439… |
| 05-16 18:42:02 | (anonymous) 0x3bcd…ac63 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xadc920… |
| 05-16 18:41:59 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 992 | 35¢ | $347 | 0x832c9b… |
| 05-16 18:41:57 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xb963b9… |
| 05-16 18:41:53 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0xfcdfb0… |
| 05-16 18:41:50 | Bumpy-Accessory 0x32cc…68b3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x06ed32… |
| 05-16 18:41:46 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x67862a… |
| 05-16 18:41:46 | Far-Flung-Transition 0xb83b…426d | Yes | BUY | 43 | 35¢ | $15 | 0xc1347e… |
| 05-16 18:41:45 | (anonymous) 0x3bcd…ac63 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xd44484… |
| 05-16 18:21:55 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 1,327 | 43¢ | $571 | 0xac3c0e… |
| 05-16 17:56:53 | Automatic-Month 0x43d6…2545 | No | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x5de13c… |
| 05-16 17:52:01 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 77¢ | $35 | 0x30812e… |
| 05-16 17:46:55 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 77¢ | $9 | 0x3c0713… |
| 05-16 17:46:48 | (anonymous) 0xfa9e…2264 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x619f45… |
| 05-16 17:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x6e44…f14d | No | BUY | 9 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x44996f… |
| 05-16 17:38:13 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0xcecc3d… |
| 05-16 17:36:53 | Flowery-Overclocking 0x7a49…d9f5 | Yes | BUY | 118 | 51¢ | $60 | 0xc1c491… |
| 05-16 17:35:18 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 52¢ | $6 | 0xc682d5… |
| 05-16 17:35:02 | (anonymous) 0xffd6…6939 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 52¢ | $6 | 0x41ad95… |
| 05-16 17:35:01 | Glaring-Salt 0xfe78…0319 | Yes | BUY | 1,005 | 51¢ | $512 | 0x75e534… |
| 05-16 17:34:59 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 1,206 | 51¢ | $615 | 0x293d40… |
| 05-16 17:29:42 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 50¢ | $18 | 0xf47685… |
| 05-16 17:29:32 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x8ce939… |
| 05-16 17:26:45 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xc974ff… |
| 05-16 17:26:35 | Adventurous-Elevator 0xd73b…8319 | No | BUY | 29 | 51¢ | $15 | 0x141d76… |
| 05-16 17:25:13 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 49¢ | $4 | 0xfa52cb… |
| 05-16 17:25:09 | Melodic-Chocolate 0xd7f9…29a9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 49¢ | $3 | 0xd50d4b… |
| 05-16 17:22:00 | (anonymous) 0xffd6…6939 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 49¢ | $6 | 0x6fdfe5… |
| 05-16 17:21:57 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 1,233 | 49¢ | $604 | 0xff0e07… |
| 05-16 17:21:41 | Crisp-Sensitive 0xc46e…9ed8 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 49¢ | $25 | 0x57c474… |
| 05-16 17:21:27 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 50¢ | $4 | 0x41a0ce… |
| 05-16 17:21:13 | Feisty-Security 0x1813…4dfe | Yes | BUY | 18 | 50¢ | $9 | 0xc0a73d… |
| 05-16 17:20:03 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 19 | 52¢ | $10 | 0xead5cb… |
| 05-16 17:18:13 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7 | No | BUY | 19 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xeaac37… |
| 05-16 17:16:56 | Gleeful-Cauliflower 0x2a69…d2f7 | No | BUY | 131 | 51¢ | $67 | 0x7123bd… |
| 05-16 17:16:54 | Demanding-Standoff 0x325f…4511 | No | BUY | 49 | 51¢ | $25 | 0x3b9fa0… |
| 05-16 17:14:50 | Quick-Bikini 0xd0a0…35cd | Yes | SELL | 100 | 49¢ | $49 | 0x132e17… |
| 05-16 17:13:10 | Defensive-Nutrition 0x2e73…3f4e | No | BUY | 7 | 51¢ | $4 | 0x799b09… |
| 05-16 17:13:08 | Unfortunate-Locket 0xd3da…c91f | No | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x077df5… |
| 05-16 17:09:49 | Sweet-Nose 0xcb7b…5d6d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xc4c127… |
| 05-16 17:01:30 | Easy-Going-Contention 0xef4f…f50d | Yes | BUY | 28 | 53¢ | $15 | 0xf72228… |
| 05-16 16:59:50 | Important-Timer 0x3c33…ddd4 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x67f9f0… |
| 05-16 16:47:35 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x27e48f… |
| 05-16 16:35:18 | (anonymous) 0x91c2…732a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x0420df… |
| 05-16 16:35:06 | Nice-Reboot 0x0946…b6e4 | No | BUY | 16 | 48¢ | $8 | 0x415147… |
| 05-16 16:31:36 | Heavenly-Package 0x4ae5…6079 | No | SELL | 500 | 47¢ | $235 | 0xbcae4a… |
| 05-16 16:31:19 | Unwieldy-Dark 0x5213…6a35 | Yes | BUY | 943 | 53¢ | $500 | 0xfc056b… |
| 05-16 16:17:47 | Afraid-Ligula 0x1d3b…583b | No | BUY | 11 | 47¢ | $5 | 0xdb6566… |
| 05-16 16:11:36 | (anonymous) 0xa150…44eb | No | BUY | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0xe8884d… |
| 05-16 16:11:32 | Sturdy-Impulse 0xa237…d59a | Yes | BUY | 40 | 55¢ | $22 | 0x3c748a… |
| 05-16 16:07:39 | Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5 | No | BUY | 846 | 44¢ | $372 | 0xa8944a… |
| 05-16 15:46:50 | Useful-Terminology 0xefde…6505 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 56¢ | $17 | 0x12d512… |
| 05-16 14:30:02 | Great-Snake 0x9cb4…8285 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0x3ea492… |
| 05-16 09:01:00 | Useful-Terminology 0xefde…6505 | Yes | BUY | 124 | 56¢ | $69 | 0xe660d5… |
| 05-15 20:40:26 | Delayed-Upper-Hippodrome 0xce5e…c0fa | No | BUY | 1,053 | 40¢ | $421 | 0x96eced… |
| 05-15 20:25:11 | Delayed-Upper-Hippodrome 0xce5e…c0fa | No | BUY | 1,255 | 40¢ | $502 | 0x1178f5… |
| 05-15 16:26:34 | Cheap-Landscape 0x7d34…e004 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 61¢ | $20 | 0xc765bb… |
| 05-15 15:56:11 | Crisp-Ornament 0x4bf2…d280 | No | BUY | 244 | 40¢ | $98 | 0x018555… |
| 05-15 14:14:42 | Odd-Granddaughter 0x234b…f36d | No | BUY | 21 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x75e64b… |
| 05-15 14:06:24 | Incomparable-Particle 0x4d7c…3e7a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 61¢ | $9 | 0x8b7923… |
| 05-15 13:34:29 | Incompatible-Girl 0x111a…2c97 | No | BUY | 15 | 40¢ | $6 | 0xaa706e… |
| 05-15 13:21:34 | Remorseful-Semicircle 0x9a54…7191 | No | BUY | 814 | 40¢ | $325 | 0x7083aa… |
| 05-15 13:06:03 | Parched-Somebody 0xe36a…ae58 | No | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0xbbd7bb… |
| 05-15 13:06:01 | Radiant-Birdhouse 0xc3c3…eec8 | Yes | BUY | 1,813 | 60¢ | $1,088 | 0xe4cbbd… |
| 05-15 10:56:50 | Thankful-Rostrum-Gig 0x8f28…ff9a | No | BUY | 398 | 41¢ | $163 | 0xa04fea… |
| 05-15 09:59:56 | Informal-Morbid 0x6202…8872 | No | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x8067b5… |
| 05-15 08:59:20 | Informal-Morbid 0x6202…8872 | No | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x7fa426… |
| 05-14 18:04:31 | Altruistic-Conception 0x5fb4…90f3 | No | BUY | 85 | 41¢ | $35 | 0xeb9fd4… |
| 05-14 17:49:41 | Informal-Morbid 0x6202…8872 | No | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x9f98ba… |