Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$327
$629 in 24h
Trades
22
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$7,814
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 11:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $0 | $297 | $297 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $0 | $20 | $20 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | $297 | $297 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 5 | — | $19 | $19 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | +298 | $297 | $297 | 1 | 05-10 03:55 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 05-10 10:12 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | Yes | +16 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 02:00 |
| Recent-Thousand 0x94c6…7a14 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 01:48 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 08:39 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 08:43 |
| Likable-Porcelain 0xad74…15c1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 01:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 11:21:24 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x262e81… |
| 05-10 11:21:17 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1e628e… |
| 05-10 10:12:59 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x60378f… |
| 05-10 10:07:40 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8f5e8f… |
| 05-10 10:07:17 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b001c… |
| 05-10 08:43:49 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8b014d… |
| 05-10 08:39:58 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xee8eb1… |
| 05-10 07:46:51 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x275dd7… |
| 05-10 07:46:51 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x95c7fa… |
| 05-10 07:46:51 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3fed84… |
| 05-10 07:46:51 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3c696b… |
| 05-10 06:12:44 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcec566… |
| 05-10 05:36:58 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd230ac… |
| 05-10 05:36:58 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3c2450… |
| 05-10 05:36:58 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3439fd… |
| 05-10 05:36:58 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0cf9c6… |
| 05-10 03:55:21 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 298 | 100¢ | $297 | 0x4de26b… |
| 05-10 02:00:35 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x61962b… |
| 05-10 01:48:52 | Recent-Thousand 0x94c6…7a14 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x19d858… |
| 05-10 01:43:24 | Likable-Porcelain 0xad74…15c1 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x38fad5… |
| 05-09 20:39:31 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x369d51… |
| 05-09 19:17:42 | Elated-Cactus 0xd1a7…2bdc | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7e4ca3… |