Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$158
$1,110 in 24h
Trades
40
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$3,704
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 07:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $71 | $71 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $1 | $71 | $70 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | — | $115 | $115 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Median | 7 | $1 | $28 | $27 |
| Below median | 6 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dismal-Revelation 0xeb7f…0abb | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:03 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 05-11 07:40 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 05-11 07:40 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-11 04:37 |
| Long-Term-Son 0x59c9…063d | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-11 02:45 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 11:56 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 14:52 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 15:16 |
| Infatuated-Easel 0xee5c…814d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 05:18 |
| Bright-Supreme 0xf3f0…1e27 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:39 |
| Wary-Background 0x44b6…de7b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 03:12 |
| Super-Wage 0x2766…859d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 03:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 07:40:08 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d66ab… |
| 05-11 07:40:08 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x8032e0… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf97981… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xffde7f… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xd301f7… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x99c51b… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x043cf3… |
| 05-11 07:39:59 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1706e3… |
| 05-11 07:39:59 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6007ab… |
| 05-11 05:18:42 | Infatuated-Easel 0xee5c…814d | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x8152ce… |
| 05-11 04:39:06 | Bright-Supreme 0xf3f0…1e27 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x74a5a3… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xac3e8a… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xae3144… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8daa5… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x53e7d8… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x341366… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x7f44a0… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d8c37… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0x0f00fd… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x34b329… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa9dfe2… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfda37a… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1674c… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xef4cc2… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc4432… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc79d09… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3e50ac… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x59b5f4… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa858c1… |
| 05-11 03:54:14 | Super-Wage 0x2766…859d | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4d5c15… |
| 05-11 03:12:35 | Wary-Background 0x44b6…de7b | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xfe36fd… |
| 05-11 02:45:17 | Long-Term-Son 0x59c9…063d | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xaa345f… |
| 05-11 00:54:13 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x112128… |
| 05-10 15:16:13 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xd53fee… |
| 05-10 14:52:25 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xf7349a… |
| 05-10 14:06:06 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5d76ea… |
| 05-10 13:27:22 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd15403… |
| 05-10 12:10:36 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe74d80… |
| 05-10 11:56:47 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x1eef0b… |
| 05-10 08:03:41 | Dismal-Revelation 0xeb7f…0abb | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfab552… |