Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 13?
open
Total volume
$268
$590 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$12,572
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-13 00:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $15 | $227 | $211 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $119 | $119 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $90 | $89 |
| Median | 5 | $2 | $26 | $24 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | $8 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| unranked | 3 | $11 | $2 | +$9 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excitable-Hat 0xa910…1ece | No | +101 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-12 19:17 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +84 | $83 | $83 | 3 | 05-12 19:02 |
| Woeful-Doubter 0x1d94…559c | Yes | +67 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 21:11 |
| Likable-Gender 0xde4b…b1b9 | Yes | +59 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 13:39 |
| Attentive-Heavy-Chairlift 0x3881…0a5e | No | +23 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-11 03:33 |
| Drafty-Epoch 0xaa61…67f4 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 00:44 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-12 21:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 03:33 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 20:32 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 02:17 |
| Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 15:41 |
| Unwieldy-Aspect 0xbb35…501d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 16:18 |
| Quarrelsome-Earring 0x23ef…0112 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 16:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x1635…06a0 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 22:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x705b…5693 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 03:50 |
| Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 13:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 00:27:16 | (anonymous) 0x2b9f…84da | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x30b722… |
| 05-12 21:43:11 | Acidic-Antennae 0xbd9a…dfa5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x11ddcc… |
| 05-12 21:38:03 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x4abfff… |
| 05-12 21:11:34 | Woeful-Doubter 0x1d94…559c | Yes | BUY | 67 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6d4155… |
| 05-12 20:32:53 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x17c8d8… |
| 05-12 19:17:31 | Excitable-Hat 0xa910…1ece | No | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x0185ab… |
| 05-12 19:02:27 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 34 | 99¢ | $33 | 0xcd364a… |
| 05-12 19:02:16 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x693fd6… |
| 05-12 03:50:50 | (anonymous) 0x2b9f…84da | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x2bb1fb… |
| 05-12 03:50:49 | (anonymous) 0x2b9f…84da | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x16a17b… |
| 05-12 03:50:49 | (anonymous) 0x705b…5693 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xdd2e50… |
| 05-12 03:50:47 | (anonymous) 0x705b…5693 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x57f659… |
| 05-11 14:03:35 | (anonymous) 0x0d01…ee95 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe84361… |
| 05-11 03:34:19 | (anonymous) 0x0d01…ee95 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x9105f3… |
| 05-11 03:33:39 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x8198ea… |
| 05-11 03:33:39 | Attentive-Heavy-Chairlift 0x3881…0a5e | No | BUY | 23 | 93¢ | $21 | 0x64e59b… |
| 05-11 00:44:27 | Drafty-Epoch 0xaa61…67f4 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa749a9… |
| 05-10 23:02:08 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x8d61ee… |
| 05-10 22:55:53 | (anonymous) 0x1635…06a0 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x374e0f… |
| 05-10 16:18:45 | Quarrelsome-Earring 0x23ef…0112 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x1340b4… |
| 05-10 16:18:45 | Unwieldy-Aspect 0xbb35…501d | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x22d5eb… |
| 05-10 15:41:27 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x2baa0b… |
| 05-09 02:30:21 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x636bdf… |
| 05-08 02:17:39 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x378eeb… |
| 05-07 13:39:18 | Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x2501f5… |
| 05-07 13:39:18 | Likable-Gender 0xde4b…b1b9 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 17¢ | $10 | 0x397bb3… |