Will UD Leiria win on 2026-10-18?
Yes won
Total volume
$535
Trades
36
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-17
First seen
2026-10-12
last 10-17 18:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-23.5¢
(top1%: 52% YES on $226
vs crowd: 75% YES on $475)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $117 | $115 | +$3 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $119 | $0 | +$119 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $110 | $1 | +$109 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $12 | $1 | +$11 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $117 | $109 | +$9 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $129 | $3 | +$126 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $100 | — | +$100 |
| Median | 3 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| Below median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $4 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x6994…fc1f | Yes | +200 | $100 | $100 | 5 | 10-17 16:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | +200 | $98 | $98 | 4 | 10-17 16:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | No | +118 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-17 16:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | +70 | $59 | $59 | 4 | 10-17 16:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x9578…1597 | Yes | +61 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 10-17 16:57 |
| Pitiful-Laugh 0xaaa7…746a | Yes | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 10-17 18:31 |
| Regular-Gallon 0xa85b…eb0e | No | +53 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-17 16:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x83c3…f740 | No | +12 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-17 16:35 |
| Obvious-Washcloth 0xeb82…b79c | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-17 16:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb39…be82 | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-17 16:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe67…a2e8 | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-17 16:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x050f…d268 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-14 08:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xba74…348d | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-14 08:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x7523…68a0 | No | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-17 16:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xf101…808a | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-17 08:00 |
| Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-17 08:00 |
| Crooked-Cutting 0x886e…97c0 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-17 16:35 |
| Radiant-Chimpanzee 0x5210…bd53 | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-14 08:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 18:31:50 | Pitiful-Laugh 0xaaa7…746a | Yes | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x67c488… |
| 10-17 18:31:50 | (anonymous) 0x7860…ab46 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x67c488… |
| 10-17 16:57:27 | (anonymous) 0x7860…ab46 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 97¢ | $58 | 0xe76180… |
| 10-17 16:57:27 | (anonymous) 0x7523…68a0 | No | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe76180… |
| 10-17 16:57:27 | (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | No | BUY | 57 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xe76180… |
| 10-17 16:57:08 | (anonymous) 0x5d40…ba95 | No | BUY | 61 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x9cbd83… |
| 10-17 16:57:08 | (anonymous) 0x9578…1597 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 97¢ | $59 | 0x9cbd83… |
| 10-17 16:43:38 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0xdf4ebf… |
| 10-17 16:43:38 | (anonymous) 0xbb39…be82 | No | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xdf4ebf… |
| 10-17 16:37:36 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 85¢ | $45 | 0x808776… |
| 10-17 16:37:36 | Regular-Gallon 0xa85b…eb0e | No | BUY | 53 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x808776… |
| 10-17 16:35:33 | Crooked-Cutting 0x886e…97c0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x6e5cb6… |
| 10-17 16:35:33 | (anonymous) 0x83c3…f740 | No | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x6e5cb6… |
| 10-17 16:35:24 | (anonymous) 0x83c3…f740 | No | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xaffb8b… |
| 10-17 16:35:24 | Obvious-Washcloth 0xeb82…b79c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0xaffb8b… |
| 10-17 16:23:39 | (anonymous) 0x6994…fc1f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xdb513a… |
| 10-17 16:23:39 | (anonymous) 0x6994…fc1f | Yes | BUY | 117 | 50¢ | $59 | 0xcf9ce4… |
| 10-17 16:23:39 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | BUY | 117 | 50¢ | $59 | 0xcf9ce4… |
| 10-17 16:23:39 | (anonymous) 0xfe67…a2e8 | No | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xdb513a… |
| 10-17 16:23:38 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | BUY | 68 | 50¢ | $34 | 0x3cf95c… |
| 10-17 16:23:38 | (anonymous) 0x6994…fc1f | Yes | BUY | 68 | 50¢ | $34 | 0x3cf95c… |
| 10-17 16:23:36 | (anonymous) 0xfe67…a2e8 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x3adfbd… |
| 10-17 16:23:36 | (anonymous) 0x6994…fc1f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x3adfbd… |
| 10-17 16:23:36 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | BUY | 8 | 50¢ | $4 | 0x4f6c69… |
| 10-17 16:23:36 | (anonymous) 0x6994…fc1f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 50¢ | $4 | 0x4f6c69… |
| 10-17 14:36:12 | (anonymous) 0xef9d…9128 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x9f54bb… |
| 10-17 14:36:12 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 77¢ | $0 | 0x9f54bb… |
| 10-17 14:35:50 | (anonymous) 0xef9d…9128 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xf6886b… |
| 10-17 14:35:50 | (anonymous) 0x821d…cf16 | No | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xf6886b… |
| 10-17 08:00:20 | (anonymous) 0xf101…808a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xfb9931… |
| 10-17 08:00:20 | Heavenly-Aftershave 0x8935…7daa | No | BUY | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xfb9931… |
| 10-14 08:47:52 | Radiant-Chimpanzee 0x5210…bd53 | No | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x796dc3… |
| 10-14 08:47:52 | (anonymous) 0xba74…348d | No | BUY | 3 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x796dc3… |
| 10-14 08:47:52 | (anonymous) 0x050f…d268 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 83¢ | $3 | 0x796dc3… |
| 10-12 11:59:18 | (anonymous) 0xba74…348d | No | BUY | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x5f1fc6… |
| 10-12 11:59:18 | (anonymous) 0x050f…d268 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x5f1fc6… |