Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$1,102
$1,275 in 24h
Trades
46
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$2,339
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 23:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+98.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $4
vs crowd: 2% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $845 | $845 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $22 | $229 | $207 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $836 | $836 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $9 | $9 |
| Median | 3 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| Below median | 9 | $9 | $118 | $109 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $4 | $30 | $26 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $0 | $61 | $61 |
| unranked | 4 | $4 | $10 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Disastrous-Thought 0xd280…82b3 | No | +700 | $699 | $699 | 1 | 05-11 23:06 |
| Old-Sunshine 0xaf17…5c20 | Yes | +197 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-11 05:28 |
| Awful-Butter 0x8796…eb9f | No | +137 | $137 | $137 | 1 | 05-11 23:06 |
| Frozen-Control 0x10c0…a15e | No | +95 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 05-11 14:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2e8…8787 | Yes | +94 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-11 05:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a73…64a7 | Yes | +89 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-11 05:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x7c52…1411 | Yes | +51 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 05:28 |
| These-Pawnshop 0x5a59…5b52 | Yes | +45 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 14:32 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +42 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 05-11 06:18 |
| Tiny-Smuggling 0x6a80…386f | Yes | +36 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 12:16 |
| Skeletal-Tech 0x2b74…7f90 | Yes | +34 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-11 05:28 |
| Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | Yes | +34 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 20:39 |
| Zany-Waiting 0x0832…8681 | No | +31 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-11 22:57 |
| Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-11 04:19 |
| Corrupt-Employee 0x1b78…e589 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-11 20:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5ec…26ee | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 05:18 |
| Scratchy-Linguist 0x2c6e…225c | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1a7…f77f | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 05:28 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 07:37 |
| Oily-Vulture 0xa520…9719 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 05:17 |
| Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 05:17 |
| Wavy-Riot 0x3a2c…3642 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 23:01 |
| Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 01:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 23:06:47 | Disastrous-Thought 0xd280…82b3 | No | BUY | 700 | 100¢ | $699 | 0x2d57f7… |
| 05-11 23:06:47 | Awful-Butter 0x8796…eb9f | No | BUY | 137 | 100¢ | $137 | 0x20f1d9… |
| 05-11 23:01:41 | Wavy-Riot 0x3a2c…3642 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa7bf4a… |
| 05-11 22:57:08 | Zany-Waiting 0x0832…8681 | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x588ec1… |
| 05-11 22:07:17 | Frank-Armpit 0xb0c5…c535 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x87c2a6… |
| 05-11 21:53:47 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xdc2d35… |
| 05-11 21:53:38 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8079be… |
| 05-11 21:53:38 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd1a3f4… |
| 05-11 21:53:38 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9d80b0… |
| 05-11 21:53:38 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xab3e63… |
| 05-11 20:58:20 | Corrupt-Employee 0x1b78…e589 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x21a4aa… |
| 05-11 20:58:20 | Corrupt-Employee 0x1b78…e589 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x5c58fc… |
| 05-11 20:43:26 | (anonymous) 0x66bf…8625 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x89a0ec… |
| 05-11 20:39:03 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x03b3b2… |
| 05-11 15:08:01 | Scratchy-Linguist 0x2c6e…225c | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x3801bf… |
| 05-11 14:42:38 | Frozen-Control 0x10c0…a15e | No | BUY | 95 | 94¢ | $89 | 0x598f4b… |
| 05-11 14:32:22 | These-Pawnshop 0x5a59…5b52 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x942eff… |
| 05-11 14:32:15 | These-Pawnshop 0x5a59…5b52 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x832817… |
| 05-11 06:18:44 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xecd7ac… |
| 05-11 06:18:44 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 18 | 97¢ | $17 | 0x777335… |
| 05-11 06:18:44 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x26ec09… |
| 05-11 05:28:04 | (anonymous) 0xc1a7…f77f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf9f905… |
| 05-11 05:28:04 | (anonymous) 0x7c52…1411 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xc96577… |
| 05-11 05:28:04 | (anonymous) 0x3a73…64a7 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xe92b24… |
| 05-11 05:28:04 | (anonymous) 0xf2e8…8787 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xfbd0fe… |
| 05-11 05:28:04 | Skeletal-Tech 0x2b74…7f90 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8ac2e4… |
| 05-11 05:28:02 | Old-Sunshine 0xaf17…5c20 | Yes | BUY | 115 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xdf987e… |
| 05-11 05:18:00 | (anonymous) 0xa5ec…26ee | Yes | BUY | 19 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf03442… |
| 05-11 05:17:32 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe1488c… |
| 05-11 05:17:32 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 24 | 98¢ | $24 | 0x48abf8… |
| 05-11 05:17:32 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf96645… |
| 05-11 05:17:32 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdd5939… |
| 05-11 05:17:32 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x90ccab… |
| 05-11 05:17:32 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4a7e9f… |
| 05-11 05:17:30 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x786575… |
| 05-11 05:17:29 | Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x63a81c… |
| 05-11 05:17:25 | (anonymous) 0xf2e8…8787 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x22db96… |
| 05-11 05:17:25 | Oily-Vulture 0xa520…9719 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0c1f8d… |
| 05-11 05:17:23 | (anonymous) 0x3a73…64a7 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x001d37… |
| 05-11 05:17:23 | Old-Sunshine 0xaf17…5c20 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xcd56d6… |
| 05-11 05:17:23 | (anonymous) 0x7c52…1411 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x32f6bf… |
| 05-11 05:17:23 | Skeletal-Tech 0x2b74…7f90 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfbfe2f… |
| 05-11 04:19:02 | Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x596ece… |
| 05-11 01:05:36 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0306e2… |
| 05-10 12:16:40 | Tiny-Smuggling 0x6a80…386f | Yes | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7cedb9… |
| 05-10 07:37:57 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x76aca2… |