Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 7°C or below on May 14?
open
Total volume
$177
$2,727 in 24h
Trades
22
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$3,087
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 03:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | — | $152 | $152 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $35 | $35 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 11 | — | $122 | $122 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 05-14 02:14 |
| Lost-Sake 0x292b…23ce | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 21:25 |
| Slim-Might-Season 0x2230…084e | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 04:28 |
| Imperfect-Cynic 0x4ca1…fbc7 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 02:56 |
| Soupy-Thermostat 0xa036…8bc0 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 03:38 |
| Flippant-Stew 0xa5fe…5476 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 03:13 |
| Oddball-Coalition 0xebd2…1b40 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 02:24 |
| Outstanding-Airplane 0x97c1…017a | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 03:43 |
| Diligent-Ounce 0x0219…502a | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 03:57 |
| Insistent-Maestro 0x32c3…04bb | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 03:55 |
| Lawful-Doorway 0x70e7…60ce | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 05:26 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 07:46 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 12:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 03:55:34 | Insistent-Maestro 0x32c3…04bb | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x4fcb43… |
| 05-14 03:43:56 | Outstanding-Airplane 0x97c1…017a | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x81f77b… |
| 05-14 03:30:55 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7906fd… |
| 05-14 03:02:13 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xab6352… |
| 05-14 03:02:05 | Lone-Boon 0x4c04…7dca | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xb50595… |
| 05-14 02:56:15 | Imperfect-Cynic 0x4ca1…fbc7 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x32c338… |
| 05-14 02:24:45 | Oddball-Coalition 0xebd2…1b40 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x874e8d… |
| 05-14 02:14:53 | Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | BUY | 44 | 100¢ | $44 | 0xb318c9… |
| 05-14 01:47:18 | Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xfec0ff… |
| 05-13 21:25:42 | Lost-Sake 0x292b…23ce | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x0d3177… |
| 05-13 13:03:25 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x207c72… |
| 05-13 12:23:29 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x83dc74… |
| 05-13 07:46:31 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3a5f42… |
| 05-13 06:03:55 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9ca576… |
| 05-13 05:26:12 | Lawful-Doorway 0x70e7…60ce | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x0c6a59… |
| 05-13 03:57:16 | Diligent-Ounce 0x0219…502a | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x87583e… |
| 05-13 03:38:00 | Soupy-Thermostat 0xa036…8bc0 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xf41112… |
| 05-13 03:13:52 | Flippant-Stew 0xa5fe…5476 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xe9674b… |
| 05-12 23:01:03 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa189a2… |
| 05-12 23:01:02 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0906b2… |
| 05-12 21:16:03 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x011271… |
| 05-12 04:28:51 | Slim-Might-Season 0x2230…084e | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xbc64cf… |