Insistent-Maestro — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$365

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 08-25 06:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Sports

68% 50% +$359

Other

31% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$613	972	0	+972	Yes	+$360	06-15 19:34
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$603	594	594	+0	No	-$1	04-10 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on May 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-25 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on May 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-20 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or below on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-20 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 27?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-25 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 26?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-24 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 17?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-17 02:37
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on May 29?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 07:10
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on May 26?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-25 03:15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or below on May 26?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-25 03:18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or below on July 14?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-13 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on May 21?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-20 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 9?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-09 03:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on May 15?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 16?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-15 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 16?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-15 07:18
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-29 07:13
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-29 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 04:02
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or below on May 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-21 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on May 15?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 10:27
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C or below on June 10?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-09 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on May 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-25 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on June 9?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-09 03:09
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 16?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-15 07:22
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or higher on May 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-21 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on May 25?	1	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-25 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on July 2?	1	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-02 02:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 06:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3cb97…
08-25 06:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or below on August 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xc851ba…
08-25 06:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0100c9…
07-24 07:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2db29e…
07-24 07:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97fba8…
07-24 07:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3d172…
07-17 02:37:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae535b…
07-17 02:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x256b0f…
07-17 02:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2a3660…
07-13 07:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C on July 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x43e8ab…
07-13 07:24:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9f7e83…
07-13 07:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xe532b1…
07-02 02:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf12169…
07-02 02:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on July 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x1c006b…
07-02 02:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 40°C or higher on July 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbfeb5d…
06-15 19:34:46	Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	972	63¢	$613	0x3f4f6d…
06-09 03:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C or below on June 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x689919…
06-09 03:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x86ef96…
06-09 03:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x78dfd8…
06-09 03:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe15491…
06-09 03:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 100°F or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98cb4c…
05-29 07:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on May 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccab58…
05-29 07:13:30	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfbcd74…
05-29 07:10:38	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on May 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xc0a58e…
05-29 07:09:05	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8c4037…
05-25 06:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on May 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x856aa0…
05-25 06:29:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf54a1f…
05-25 06:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x803c5c…
05-25 06:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe7e256…
05-25 06:25:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64775a…
05-25 06:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on May 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x566e60…
05-25 03:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or below on May 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0xffe24c…
05-25 03:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0794f…
05-25 03:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on May 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x7d6574…
05-25 03:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdc2af3…
05-25 03:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on May 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a6de8…
05-25 03:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x712a18…
05-21 09:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3871ca…
05-21 09:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfd76ac…
05-21 09:39:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf01680…
05-21 09:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 49°C on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9f7599…
05-21 09:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x53c7d8…
05-21 09:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x927d19…
05-20 07:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c8d5f…
05-20 07:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc783db…
05-20 07:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3c59d0…
05-15 07:22:17	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6dc4d4…
05-15 07:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on May 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d0f01…
05-15 07:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on May 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9cf028…
05-15 07:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa51c49…
05-15 07:17:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on May 16?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x186d22…
05-15 07:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x95a8c7…
05-14 10:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe9b564…
05-14 10:28:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc27885…
05-14 10:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa231d6…
05-14 04:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x148c9d…
05-14 04:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24bd4d…
05-14 03:59:22	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 1°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x21bc48…
05-14 03:58:29	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x194bd2…
05-14 03:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xba4fe5…
05-14 03:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 65°F or below on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x29751f…
05-14 03:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 7°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4fcb43…
05-14 03:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe40fc0…
05-14 03:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94f9a6…
05-11 09:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9e2bbb…
05-11 09:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd5a764…
05-11 09:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x958eb2…
05-11 09:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x223650…
05-11 09:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x03bd9a…
05-11 09:23:35	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9374a8…
05-11 09:22:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb1ca6c…
05-11 09:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a94ff…
05-11 09:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x464577…
05-11 09:19:14	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x684a1a…
05-11 09:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe9e098…
05-11 09:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x48a234…
05-09 03:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x00fdac…
05-09 03:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on May 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf351e7…
05-09 03:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xed33ab…
05-08 06:11:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 49°F or below on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1de6ff…
05-08 06:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 16°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa46efa…
05-08 06:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x93e66c…
05-07 01:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 18°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c1d41…
05-07 01:52:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1bde99…
05-07 01:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb9ca2b…
04-28 09:45:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on April 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x878984…
04-28 09:43:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9fabc7…
04-28 09:41:28	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdd69cf…
04-24 09:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x759f52…
04-24 08:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9068bb…
04-24 08:52:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x346ece…
04-10 06:42:23	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	299	6¢	$18	0x3d1b53…
04-09 06:29:07	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	299	6¢	$19	0x13eb25…
03-25 08:12:11	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	295	96¢	$283	0x478163…
03-24 07:45:05	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	295	96¢	$283	0x323490…
03-04 02:14:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa4ee37…
03-04 02:14:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x730be2…
03-04 02:14:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x55a8d2…