Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 14?
open
Total volume
$357
$925 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$10,466
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 07:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $57 | $57 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $2 | $288 | $286 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $67 | $67 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $102 | $102 |
| Median | 11 | — | $151 | $151 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $25 | $25 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | +180 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 00:02 |
| Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | +102 | $102 | $102 | 4 | 05-13 01:47 |
| Icy-Frequency 0xfa80…37ce | No | +78 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 05-13 04:04 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +57 | $57 | $57 | 4 | 05-13 00:26 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-14 00:41 |
| Masculine-Confidence 0xbc84…a0d2 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 04:31 |
| Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 04:33 |
| Obvious-Crystal 0xd904…7dc9 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 07:19 |
| Babyish-Witchhunt 0xb04d…55aa | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 02:51 |
| Clever-Bark 0x4494…8ef3 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 03:21 |
| Adventurous-Pathogenesis 0xe832…2fc1 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 06:16 |
| Scratchy-Illusion 0x713b…e10b | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 01:54 |
| Unacceptable-Proposal 0x8fc6…c4de | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 07:59 |
| Insistent-Maestro 0x32c3…04bb | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 04:00 |
| Outstanding-Airplane 0x97c1…017a | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 03:40 |
| All-Settlement 0x0cd8…f293 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 06:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 07:59:03 | Unacceptable-Proposal 0x8fc6…c4de | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x3702da… |
| 05-14 07:19:20 | Obvious-Crystal 0xd904…7dc9 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x5e3506… |
| 05-14 06:29:06 | All-Settlement 0x0cd8…f293 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x34cfee… |
| 05-14 06:16:13 | Adventurous-Pathogenesis 0xe832…2fc1 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x47c734… |
| 05-14 04:00:23 | Insistent-Maestro 0x32c3…04bb | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x24bd4d… |
| 05-14 03:40:17 | Outstanding-Airplane 0x97c1…017a | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xed6972… |
| 05-14 03:21:06 | Clever-Bark 0x4494…8ef3 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xcedde2… |
| 05-14 02:51:56 | Babyish-Witchhunt 0xb04d…55aa | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xaef1d1… |
| 05-14 01:54:37 | Scratchy-Illusion 0x713b…e10b | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x2822a5… |
| 05-14 00:41:03 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x926b1b… |
| 05-13 15:38:40 | Squiggly-Domain 0x1b50…3ecf | Yes | SELL | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5dfd31… |
| 05-13 06:41:15 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb7c715… |
| 05-13 04:33:39 | Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1193b6… |
| 05-13 04:04:23 | Icy-Frequency 0xfa80…37ce | No | BUY | 78 | 100¢ | $78 | 0xc077eb… |
| 05-13 01:47:55 | Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | BUY | 44 | 100¢ | $44 | 0x66a8e8… |
| 05-13 01:17:53 | Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xd50359… |
| 05-13 01:07:54 | Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0xecceec… |
| 05-13 00:57:56 | Regal-Insurgence 0x147e…eb1e | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xa73d85… |
| 05-13 00:26:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x825397… |
| 05-13 00:22:35 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd8cd45… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | BUY | 180 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xaf25f0… |
| 05-12 20:57:29 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x04e850… |
| 05-12 17:57:22 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0x0ab37d… |
| 05-12 04:31:02 | Masculine-Confidence 0xbc84…a0d2 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2bff9e… |