Scratchy-Illusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$329

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$2.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 08-25 08:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

99% 100% +$338

Sports

1% 0% $0

Crypto

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$973	505	505	+0	Yes	+$21	04-28 06:13
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$614	930	0	+930	Yes	+$316	06-14 22:16
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$21	310	310	+0	No	$0	03-31 03:57
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 29?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 02:44
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 08:56
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-22 06:24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 2?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-02 02:23
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 29?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 02:47
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or below on May 23?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-22 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on May 21?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-20 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 02:06
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-29 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	08-25 08:21
Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-19 10:19
Will MrBeast's next video get 53 million or more views on day 3?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-19 10:23
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-21 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-24 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C or higher on May 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-26 02:23
Will "Hit The Wall - Gracie Abrams" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-19 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 21?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-20 10:19
bitcoin up or down march 4 2am et	2	$9	20	0	+20	Up	-$9	03-04 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on May 27?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-26 02:27
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or below on May 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-21 03:28
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-29 02:45
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-13 07:48
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C or higher on May 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-26 02:25
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C or below on May 16?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-14 10:00
Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-19 10:23
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 22?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-21 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 3?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-02 02:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 08:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x688290…
08-25 08:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe9168…
08-25 08:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x1b7a60…
07-24 09:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x602907…
07-24 09:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0f0b42…
07-24 09:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x982092…
07-17 07:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x0e9c48…
07-17 07:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b302e…
07-17 07:06:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xced7cc…
07-13 07:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x267b2e…
07-13 07:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or below on July 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xcab369…
07-13 07:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xda7a77…
07-02 02:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9a2a3…
07-02 02:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xefb88a…
07-02 02:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on July 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x10abc4…
06-14 22:16:22	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	930	66¢	$614	0xf3c2db…
06-12 02:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf9e9bd…
06-12 02:52:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x95507c…
06-12 02:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x997485…
06-09 08:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on June 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9398df…
06-09 08:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2e37a…
06-09 08:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0de10…
06-09 08:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on June 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf018e2…
06-09 08:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x87d820…
05-29 02:47:31	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x21398a…
05-29 02:45:39	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x49bb82…
05-29 02:44:08	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeac3c7…
05-29 02:42:09	Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x079f48…
05-26 02:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on May 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xade5fd…
05-26 02:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53764b…
05-26 02:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfdcde3…
05-26 02:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaecf83…
05-26 02:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on May 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x531e2b…
05-26 02:20:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc52dc8…
05-22 06:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x397309…
05-22 06:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x22682e…
05-22 06:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x115be4…
05-22 06:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x558256…
05-22 06:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9ba1a7…
05-22 06:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5799e…
05-21 03:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 61°F or below on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0a454c…
05-21 03:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdc7bc6…
05-21 03:32:05	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa136fc…
05-21 03:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa0a497…
05-21 03:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x257496…
05-21 03:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe8c0d7…
05-20 10:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73ef76…
05-20 10:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaac353…
05-20 10:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7b5955…
05-19 10:23:55	Will MrBeast's next video get 53 million or more views on day 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xea2351…
05-19 10:23:01	Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0640fc…
05-19 10:21:51	Will "Hit The Wall - Gracie Abrams" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x690e45…
05-19 10:20:11	Will "Hit The Wall - Gracie Abrams" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc9734d…
05-19 10:19:01	Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7b9890…
05-19 10:17:09	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27dc5b…
05-14 10:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C or below on May 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5d9ff8…
05-14 09:59:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on May 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2ab5f6…
05-14 09:58:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x2eabfb…
05-14 02:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7cad05…
05-14 02:05:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xa4ab85…
05-14 02:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x54625a…
05-14 02:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 7°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4b82e1…
05-14 02:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x59a785…
05-14 01:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11233d…
05-14 01:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe565d3…
05-14 01:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x798476…
05-14 01:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2822a5…
05-11 08:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x63c1fd…
05-11 07:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x014dd8…
05-11 07:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x869616…
05-11 07:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf20509…
05-11 07:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xbab27c…
05-11 07:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe5615b…
05-11 07:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5dfc00…
05-11 07:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x295fe5…
05-11 07:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x089d21…
05-11 07:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3a9237…
05-11 07:48:51	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 37°F or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xebee71…
05-11 07:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x330a27…
05-09 03:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf0fb32…
05-09 03:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 27°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2b6525…
05-09 03:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x88ba47…
05-08 07:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb75d6a…
05-08 07:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xa4c4d3…
05-08 07:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5f0e45…
05-08 06:58:25	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xba4a87…
05-07 03:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x132a45…
05-07 02:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb7a9b0…
05-07 02:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x58a868…
04-28 09:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc18b8e…
04-28 09:35:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on April 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ccbd6…
04-28 09:34:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfe926a…
04-28 06:13:04	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	505	98¢	$497	0x5a8176…
04-24 08:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x9a3cd8…
04-24 08:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x1c9bfb…
04-24 08:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2cf367…
04-24 04:47:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	505	94¢	$476	0x64c071…
03-31 03:57:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	310	3¢	$11	0x2e7f0e…
03-30 06:52:42	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	154	3¢	$5	0x91bea9…
03-30 06:49:52	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0xf2ef79…