Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

61 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$79

$79 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-09

last 10-06 20:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

77% 48% -$4

Politics

18% 60% +$2

Tech

4% 33% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes		+7	$1	18¢	$1	$0	08-09 19:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump renames ai by september 30	2	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$2	09-27 21:04
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-19 06:47
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-23 05:41
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	09-18 09:10
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 09:14
spx up or down on september 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-16 08:04
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-08 22:42
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	09-18 18:37
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	09-12 13:58
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-16 00:03
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$1	09-23 13:50
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-08 14:21
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-21 20:12
will open dip to 3 25 by august 10 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-10 03:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-15 13:56
wti closes above 82 on august 11 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-11 11:10
will meta reach 620 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-17 11:10
will pltr dip to 165 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-17 00:30
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-19 03:37
wti up or down on september 2 2026	1	$1	5	+5	Down	+$3	09-02 19:22
will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$2	08-23 04:04
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-28 19:40
Will Andy Burnham say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-01 17:33
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	1	$1	7	+7	open	—	08-09 19:01
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $202.50 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	08-24 09:11
spx opens up or down on august 12 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	-$1	08-12 01:58
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$1	6	+6	No	-$1	08-11 03:08
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	6	+6	No	-$1	09-07 18:00
will spy dip to 765 by august 10 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$1	08-10 11:02
spx up or down on august 18 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	08-18 07:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 20:10:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xde6493…
10-06 12:09:58	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcb1319…
10-06 04:07:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe13c65…
10-05 17:57:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb4e8ff…
10-05 00:31:43	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xda51e7…
10-02 12:29:53	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2420b5…
10-02 03:38:12	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xda1d4e…
10-01 12:21:03	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5535b5…
10-01 04:11:23	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2f9c67…
09-30 18:53:05	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xdaf264…
09-30 10:10:30	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe4fdde…
09-30 10:08:57	will spy dip to 755 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5cf607…
09-29 01:21:11	will pltr dip to 177 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe0e4d8…
09-28 05:07:03	will aapl reach 344 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x65bcad…
09-27 21:04:44	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x73c831…
09-27 06:18:27	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x71635f…
09-26 16:39:24	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0c0cb9…
09-26 07:30:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6d49d4…
09-25 21:53:45	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2a9e65…
09-25 13:52:38	wti up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x90245b…
09-25 04:19:36	will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdf4fcb…
09-25 02:57:50	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf9158a…
09-24 17:51:33	Will Costco say "Hot Dog" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x20f7a7…
09-24 09:51:24	will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf41be0…
09-23 13:50:26	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x79c343…
09-23 05:41:41	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$1	0x961894…
09-21 20:12:28	Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xabe1bb…
09-20 22:29:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x2d9d50…
09-20 04:06:22	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xe5cde8…
09-19 06:47:22	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xe416e8…
09-18 18:37:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x13c031…
09-18 09:10:31	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xc27110…
09-16 08:04:30	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8c605f…
09-16 00:03:48	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xa6f647…
09-15 13:56:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x35c4a5…
09-12 13:58:27	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xda7ee0…
09-09 09:14:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x992d12…
09-08 22:42:58	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0x021e73…
09-08 14:21:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1a2f11…
09-07 18:00:37	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0xee1f57…
09-02 19:22:54	wti up or down on september 2 2026	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$1	0xe2be5a…
09-01 17:33:49	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x0d9673…
08-28 19:40:55	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4382eb…
08-24 21:26:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x58f919…
08-24 09:11:16	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $202.50 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x7b8113…
08-24 01:10:16	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xb4deea…
08-23 04:04:06	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0xd87cdf…
08-20 12:55:10	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x5bd311…
08-19 03:37:07	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xa1a030…
08-18 07:25:15	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xa6e195…
08-17 11:10:00	will meta reach 620 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x2a0dbc…
08-17 00:30:46	will pltr dip to 165 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x573ae6…
08-12 10:15:18	will xauusd reach 4450 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x279e83…
08-12 01:58:15	spx opens up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x1d9e74…
08-11 11:10:10	wti closes above 82 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xa5ffce…
08-11 03:08:27	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0x591d19…
08-10 19:07:52	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xc5f499…
08-10 11:02:33	will spy dip to 765 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x380aff…
08-10 03:01:54	will open dip to 3 25 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x1934d5…
08-09 19:01:15	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x11d555…
08-09 10:51:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0x808a51…