Virtual-Sledge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.24K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

14.4%

Resolved

550

Trades

2,181

lifetime

Volume

$31.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-15 18:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Other

55% 7% -$774

Politics

33% 9% -$322

Sports

6% 24% -$33

Tech

4% 10% -$14

Crypto

1% 29% -$99

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	07-06 08:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	06-28 22:53
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+0	$0	39¢	$0	+$0	06-29 13:28
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	68¢	$0	+$0	07-12 10:42
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+0	$0	52¢	$0	$0	06-30 19:03
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+0	$1	38¢	$0	-$1	07-03 05:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	18	$382	212	212	+0	Yes	+$0	07-03 19:45
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	10	$292	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-03 23:31
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$285	250	250	+0	No	$0	07-03 03:20
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	8	$264	150	150	+0	Yes	$0	06-29 15:38
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	21	$257	185	185	+0	open	—	07-03 05:29
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$244	195	195	+0	No	+$0	07-03 04:25
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	8	$230	176	176	+0	open	—	07-03 10:55
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	11	$227	143	143	+0	open	—	07-03 07:40
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	8	$222	170	170	+0	Yes	+$0	07-02 14:49
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	9	$219	200	200	+0	No	+$0	06-30 03:45
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	6	$216	150	150	+0	open	—	07-06 16:18
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	16	$210	230	230	+0	open	—	07-06 08:38
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	9	$201	188	188	+0	Yes	$0	07-02 12:41
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	9	$200	170	170	+0	No	-$6	07-06 07:44
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	49	$197	200	200	+0	open	—	07-08 02:44
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	5	$196	200	200	+0	No	-$4	07-11 22:17
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	11	$190	167	167	+0	No	$0	07-03 07:50
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	3	$189	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-09 21:44
gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	2	$188	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	07-07 01:07
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	6	$188	100	100	+0	No	-$4	07-07 16:56
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	12	$187	200	200	+0	No	$0	06-29 16:53
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	3	$187	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-13 07:42
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	9	$185	150	150	+0	open	—	06-30 14:09
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$185	100	100	+0	open	—	07-07 16:56
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	10	$181	171	171	+0	No	+$0	07-03 16:52
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	2	$178	100	100	+0	No	-$4	07-15 18:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$176	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-08 12:05
2026 corales puntacana championship top10 pontus nyholm	2	$174	100	100	+0	No	-$4	07-15 18:05
will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 150m by august 31 20260710220109220	5	$174	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-13 14:21
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	20	$173	212	212	+0	No	$0	07-12 14:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 18:11:01	marine le pen out as member of the national assembly byptptpt 20260706153645649	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x1fc3bd…
07-15 18:10:55	Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x8bddab…
07-15 18:10:46	will newmont nem q2 total attributable gold production be above 1350 koz 20260703220112342	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x7675aa…
07-15 18:10:46	Will Lucy Powell be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x145273…
07-15 18:10:44	Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xf5dec4…
07-15 18:10:44	Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xa9fc34…
07-15 18:10:44	Will Ohio (Special) have the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x6ff03d…
07-15 18:10:44	Will Virginia have the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x4d37f5…
07-15 18:10:44	2026 the open championship top10 francesco molinari	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x4baa1f…
07-15 18:10:43	will rtx rtx q2 pratt whitney sales be above 8b 20260707030902628	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xff7b32…
07-15 18:10:43	Will Trump's Speech to the Nation be between 25 and 30 minutes long?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x19bad6…
07-15 18:10:43	2026 the open championship top20 pierceson coody	Yes	SELL	29	9¢	$3	0x09da74…
07-15 18:09:59	2026 the open championship top20 keith mitchell	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xbab573…
07-15 18:09:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xade72d…
07-15 18:09:59	2026 corales puntacana championship top10 patrick fishburn	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xad6c1f…
07-15 18:09:59	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x822cbf…
07-15 18:09:59	will google googl q2 cloud revenue be above 23b 20260703214914068	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x3341c0…
07-15 18:09:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x1f3ebe…
07-15 18:09:59	Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x1cad7a…
07-15 18:09:56	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xbfe1b0…
07-15 18:09:56	2026 the open championship top10 patrick cantlay	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x8f1a3d…
07-15 18:09:10	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x89a10d…
07-15 18:08:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 18 20260708212322943	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x61e4a7…
07-15 18:08:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x4d54e6…
07-15 18:08:26	will jl appear as an analyst at an s tier cs tournament in 2026	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xca1a24…
07-15 18:08:16	Will Al Carns be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xf5987e…
07-15 18:08:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x3d7b69…
07-15 18:08:14	Will there be four or more UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x6c95ec…
07-15 18:07:52	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xeeed92…
07-15 18:07:52	Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x919514…
07-15 18:07:52	Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x2eade3…
07-15 18:07:50	Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 2%-4%?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xb5c5d7…
07-15 18:07:50	will astralis make a roster change before september 20260623164319912	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x01ed77…
07-15 18:07:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xfa43ca…
07-15 18:07:49	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xb4fb71…
07-15 18:07:49	Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 40%-42%?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xa93375…
07-15 18:07:47	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x8711cd…
07-15 18:06:59	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xe113e6…
07-15 18:06:50	2026 the open championship top10 alexander noren	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x584665…
07-15 18:06:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x4710e8…
07-15 18:06:32	Will Team Yandex win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0xf7807f…
07-15 18:06:26	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	49	54¢	$26	0x9fc786…
07-15 18:06:17	Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	46¢	$17	0x1c92df…
07-15 18:06:10	Will Hanwha Life Esports win the EWC League of Legends Tournament	No	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x9fb1d0…
07-15 18:06:02	Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x819144…
07-15 18:05:55	2026 corales puntacana championship top10 dylan wu	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xaa8667…
07-15 18:05:44	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 kevin roy	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x388266…
07-15 18:05:37	2026 corales puntacana championship top10 pontus nyholm	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x7ff072…
07-15 18:05:22	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0xf2ab65…
07-15 14:45:25	2026 the open championship top10 alexander noren	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x034921…
07-15 14:19:20	2026 the open championship top10 patrick cantlay	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xec074b…
07-15 14:18:47	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	SELL	26	87¢	$22	0x357d49…
07-15 13:52:29	Will Hanwha Life Esports win the EWC League of Legends Tournament	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x8ae304…
07-15 13:26:38	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	No	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xc76191…
07-15 12:26:43	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	26	87¢	$22	0xbfadc9…
07-15 12:26:43	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0x09811a…
07-15 12:24:11	Will T1 win the EWC League of Legends Tournament	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x8751f4…
07-15 11:41:37	Will Trump's Speech to the Nation be between 25 and 30 minutes long?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x2e122a…
07-15 11:04:31	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x8a19ff…
07-15 10:41:47	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x18c52b…
07-15 10:24:37	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x5d2c80…
07-15 08:00:20	will ng dip to 2 60 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xef2237…
07-15 06:04:23	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xc78470…
07-15 05:41:49	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x600788…
07-15 05:41:47	over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xc0c71f…
07-15 04:50:38	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	No	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x07aa67…
07-15 04:34:55	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 kevin roy	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x675d83…
07-15 02:56:13	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x9b0112…
07-15 02:55:34	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x6c25f9…
07-15 02:55:32	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	45	57¢	$26	0xe48f02…
07-15 02:15:38	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xfaaa81…
07-15 02:15:01	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x8bd9e0…
07-15 01:59:01	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 blades brown	Yes	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x6696ee…
07-15 00:43:10	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x1b90b6…
07-15 00:39:46	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x1497e7…
07-15 00:36:58	will ng dip to 2 60 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x115435…
07-14 22:53:50	2026 the open championship top20 pierceson coody	Yes	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0x839525…
07-14 19:39:40	Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0xd83284…
07-14 18:53:14	2026 corales puntacana championship top10 dylan wu	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x283363…
07-14 18:12:53	2026 corales puntacana championship top10 pontus nyholm	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x16f026…
07-14 17:49:43	2026 corales puntacana championship top10 patrick fishburn	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xe3433e…
07-14 17:48:05	Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x7ec44d…
07-14 17:36:14	Will Falcons Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x7feed7…
07-14 17:35:31	Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xbe8405…
07-14 17:33:20	Will Falcons Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x9a64e7…
07-14 16:28:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd9960d…
07-14 15:13:01	2026 the open championship top10 francesco molinari	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xcb85ea…
07-14 14:49:47	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xb1fb3d…
07-14 14:49:31	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x1bad6d…
07-14 12:50:52	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x876e19…
07-14 12:31:11	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x7af1f0…
07-14 09:45:14	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0xd0e549…
07-14 09:45:11	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xb70549…
07-14 09:28:22	2026 the open championship top20 pierceson coody	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x4b60d1…
07-14 09:15:38	2026 the open championship top20 keith mitchell	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xe0cb26…
07-14 08:51:40	Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x0b9223…
07-14 08:05:46	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 blades brown	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x9e13d8…
07-14 05:38:17	will junior caminero record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249816	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xd82dba…
07-14 05:37:58	will junior caminero record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249816	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xb69dc5…
07-14 05:02:34	will mookie betts hit a home run at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714021820674	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x51794f…