Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

113

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$139

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-19

last 10-30 01:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

85% 58% +$11

Politics

11% 60% +$3

Tech

4% 80% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No		+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	10-27 19:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes		+1	$1	84¢	$1	+$0	10-30 01:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	2	$3	7	+7	No	+$0	08-21 05:33
Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	2	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-24 15:55
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	2	$2	5	+5	No	$0	10-08 19:53
will msft reach 517 50 by september 28 2026	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	$0	09-29 09:27
will trump say million 20 times remarks in north carolina	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-16 09:30
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:07
will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$5	09-23 14:39
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-13 07:30
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-16 00:38
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$2	09-15 15:57
Will BlackBerry say "Tailwind" during earnings call?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$2	09-23 22:42
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-17 05:33
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-18 22:27
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	09-08 21:27
spy up or down on september 23 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	09-23 06:25
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-30 12:54
spx up or down on august 31 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$1	08-30 22:17
next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-30 03:21
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-24 01:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-01 14:24
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	09-02 12:39
spx up or down on august 21 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Up	-$2	08-20 21:01
will xagusd reach 67 by august 31 2026 from september 1	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	09-02 01:18
will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-24 07:05
will warsh say good day during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	08-22 17:39
spy up or down on august 20 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Down	-$2	08-20 01:24
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-28 19:14
will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15 877 292	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$2	09-02 21:49
will nvda dip to 216 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$2	08-29 10:41
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-07 17:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 01:52:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd39823…
10-29 13:56:34	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x39ce23…
10-29 04:01:40	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x656acb…
10-28 20:01:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9a9ed1…
10-28 11:58:31	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x42f32c…
10-28 03:57:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9e943d…
10-27 19:47:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x420571…
10-27 11:41:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf8b72b…
10-27 03:17:15	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb07bd0…
10-26 12:25:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9f956c…
10-26 04:24:44	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa07e35…
10-25 20:24:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4e78e6…
10-25 12:00:50	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x93b38d…
10-25 02:07:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5f3623…
10-23 22:53:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x75c317…
10-23 07:24:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa23ba3…
10-22 23:24:38	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfda2ad…
10-22 12:16:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6c5fab…
10-21 21:14:00	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xafacd6…
10-21 12:22:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd6e0df…
10-21 04:05:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x56997b…
10-20 17:58:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x532437…
10-20 09:20:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x58054c…
10-20 01:19:59	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb4167e…
10-20 01:19:56	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5900c5…
10-19 17:19:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf386a3…
10-19 09:18:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdbc85f…
10-19 01:18:33	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $97.50 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9e9be9…
10-18 17:18:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbe6ada…
10-18 07:42:57	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6597b7…
10-17 23:30:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x12ed16…
10-17 14:26:06	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa120e3…
10-17 04:22:39	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x29b619…
10-16 12:41:46	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x131568…
10-16 01:51:09	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9165ad…
10-15 16:42:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x69a840…
10-15 08:31:32	will xagusd dip to 55 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb1d82d…
10-15 08:10:40	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x40aab9…
10-14 23:57:54	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x878f2c…
10-14 13:20:09	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd7b553…
10-14 04:43:16	spy closes above 775 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe1b6da…
10-13 20:33:01	will msft dip to 540 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5e0241…
10-12 23:04:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe48ecd…
10-12 23:03:14	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1029d2…
10-12 15:02:50	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $532.50 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x20b32a…
10-12 06:43:52	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1f6995…
10-12 06:43:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2b78de…
10-11 22:43:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc106ce…
10-11 14:32:13	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x692637…
10-11 05:08:42	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x14a996…
10-10 19:21:37	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbd4703…
10-09 23:03:23	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe11d74…
10-09 12:10:49	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x06e557…
10-09 03:59:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2d3ff1…
10-09 03:59:13	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $72.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4c4e6b…
10-08 19:53:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6d8750…
10-08 13:40:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 8?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe47bd2…
10-08 04:18:28	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd72181…
10-08 04:01:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9eee25…
10-07 17:27:43	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcb5c68…
10-07 16:21:29	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9b5b92…
10-07 04:47:59	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdae042…
10-06 20:44:45	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $162 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x18d001…
10-06 12:15:37	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcb7d05…
10-06 04:14:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x98af65…
10-05 15:29:11	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd1f4c6…
10-05 00:44:59	will tsla reach 390 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x007e20…
10-02 09:29:53	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x84868c…
10-01 12:06:17	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6ec4d6…
10-01 12:02:33	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9fb2a3…
10-01 03:59:23	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7d1f05…
09-30 18:49:53	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd3c869…
09-30 10:19:18	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3e5754…
09-30 02:17:05	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xad6f67…
09-29 17:53:26	will abnb reach 164 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2af960…
09-29 09:27:06	will msft reach 517 50 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x90ec45…
09-29 09:26:54	will msft reach 517 50 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd964f4…
09-29 01:20:59	will meta dip to 680 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfd6d22…
09-28 15:37:35	will abnb dip to 154 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3809a9…
09-28 05:46:47	will nvda dip to 216 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1bc65a…
09-27 21:46:26	will spy reach 780 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2b36b3…
09-27 06:15:21	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3a9c78…
09-26 07:04:32	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x83ae59…
09-25 18:49:32	will ewy reach 190 in september 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x729328…
09-25 10:29:14	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5b3b7c…
09-25 02:28:56	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x800d79…
09-24 15:55:05	Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x240f19…
09-24 15:53:05	Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x16b039…
09-24 07:05:33	will trump say economy during xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0x2046cb…
09-23 22:42:49	Will BlackBerry say "Tailwind" during earnings call?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xbfff23…
09-23 14:39:44	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x8503bb…
09-23 06:25:25	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x657b94…
09-19 07:07:10	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x9a18a1…
09-18 22:27:07	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xe420d2…
09-17 05:33:24	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xcc6d5a…
09-16 09:30:54	will trump say million 20 times remarks in north carolina	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe6a4f6…
09-16 00:38:04	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x3b10d3…
09-15 15:57:57	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0x62aaf0…
09-13 07:30:43	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x9c6145…
09-08 21:27:31	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	7	21¢	$2	0xca40b3…