Concerned-Iridescence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

Trades

192

lifetime

Volume

$3.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$60

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-13 00:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

45% 100% +$6

Other

36% 50% +$0

Sports

20% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alberta join the US?	No	+51	$49	96¢	$49	$-0	06-06 12:39
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+174	$11	6¢	$11	+$0	06-13 00:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	06-05 23:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alberta join the US?	8	$264	164	113	+51	open	—	06-06 12:39
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	8	$222	178	178	+0	open	—	06-06 18:05
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$212	122	122	+0	open	—	04-21 17:00
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	11	$209	282	282	+0	No	+$0	04-15 01:07
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	6	$208	108	108	+0	open	—	06-05 23:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	11	$155	308	420	-112	open	—	05-31 11:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	5	$137	71	71	+0	open	—	05-24 00:00
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$134	68	68	+0	No	+$0	04-18 19:17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	4	$99	70	70	+0	open	—	06-07 23:17
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$99	52	52	+0	open	—	04-10 17:53
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$97	52	52	+0	open	—	04-13 15:40
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	10	$95	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	04-23 17:01
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	11	$95	278	278	+0	open	—	04-26 11:25
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	3	$94	49	49	+0	open	—	05-28 04:13
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	7	$93	124	124	+0	open	—	05-26 12:36
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$92	47	47	+0	open	—	03-22 06:02
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	5	$90	136	136	+0	open	—	03-22 07:15
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	3	$88	45	45	+0	open	—	05-15 04:09
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$88	45	45	+0	open	—	03-29 09:38
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	6	$87	197	197	+0	open	—	06-05 16:09
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	3	$86	49	49	+0	No	+$6	03-30 21:41
Iran Nuke before 2027?	3	$85	47	47	+0	open	—	06-10 07:31
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$79	41	41	+0	open	—	03-19 13:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$73	95	95	+0	open	—	06-04 15:58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$65	34	34	+0	open	—	05-17 15:12
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	3	$63	47	47	+0	open	—	06-09 01:59
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$62	74	74	+0	open	—	06-09 22:16
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	5	$56	180	180	+0	open	—	05-20 19:48
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$52	27	27	+0	No	+$0	04-25 05:10
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$40	84	84	+0	open	—	06-09 18:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 00:50:19	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	174	6¢	$11	0x37538a…
06-11 10:52:25	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xfc630f…
06-10 07:31:52	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x45e820…
06-10 07:31:52	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0x059611…
06-10 05:52:18	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	47	90¢	$42	0x111abb…
06-09 22:16:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	74	42¢	$31	0x2c7d10…
06-09 22:15:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	74	42¢	$31	0xc4c915…
06-09 18:13:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	84	24¢	$20	0x85a722…
06-09 15:36:33	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0x329195…
06-09 09:26:36	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	26	54¢	$14	0xf76be4…
06-09 07:15:40	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	29	53¢	$15	0xdb1a5f…
06-09 01:59:06	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	67¢	$22	0xb2e8a0…
06-09 01:59:06	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	67¢	$9	0x3eecf2…
06-09 00:20:10	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	47	67¢	$31	0xbffef1…
06-08 16:55:36	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	102	2¢	$2	0x90f0be…
06-08 15:50:45	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0x248290…
06-08 15:50:43	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xd7ebfc…
06-08 15:50:43	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0x97c0d1…
06-08 15:50:43	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x07b361…
06-07 23:17:19	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0x2c3091…
06-07 23:17:18	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	62	71¢	$44	0x536f6b…
06-07 19:06:00	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xd842f9…
06-07 19:05:40	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	62	71¢	$44	0xa363e8…
06-06 18:05:52	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0x8014c5…
06-06 18:05:51	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	53	81¢	$43	0x4c8a3f…
06-06 16:36:19	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0xbdf16c…
06-06 16:36:19	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	43	81¢	$35	0x80d8c0…
06-06 12:39:37	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xfb9d83…
06-06 12:39:37	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x75cb71…
06-06 09:10:03	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x719999…
06-06 09:10:03	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x70467a…
06-05 23:48:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0xb9d2fe…
06-05 22:29:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x6f2a71…
06-05 16:09:58	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	22¢	$8	0xec421e…
06-05 16:09:58	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	22¢	$12	0xcfe59d…
06-05 16:09:58	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	22¢	$14	0x0f5c24…
06-05 14:40:31	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	22¢	$33	0xd4dabb…
06-04 15:58:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	95	38¢	$36	0xe1ee07…
06-04 13:51:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	95	39¢	$37	0x27e72a…
06-04 07:46:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x48edfd…
06-02 22:44:58	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0xfe2701…
06-02 18:09:29	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xf1145d…
06-02 13:45:48	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	32	48¢	$15	0x35db22…
06-02 09:20:05	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	32	48¢	$15	0x9bb01f…
06-02 04:33:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$47	0xf2b60e…
06-02 00:30:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xb3640e…
06-02 00:30:53	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x16b00e…
06-02 00:24:05	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	53	18¢	$10	0xcb97a2…
06-01 20:10:31	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	53	24¢	$13	0x3f34c1…
05-31 11:36:07	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x9e9c78…
05-31 11:36:07	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x386c09…
05-31 11:31:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0xe80cee…
05-31 03:33:19	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	61	96¢	$58	0x8aec84…
05-31 01:16:30	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	61	96¢	$58	0x90404c…
05-30 13:38:15	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	64	79¢	$50	0xc14f7b…
05-30 10:11:55	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x3a4c71…
05-30 08:07:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xf2abba…
05-30 08:07:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0x3a0cfe…
05-30 08:07:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0x161bf4…
05-30 08:07:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0x123fc5…
05-30 08:07:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0x75df26…
05-30 06:21:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	153	5¢	$8	0xa76fd9…
05-28 04:13:42	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0x720bb2…
05-28 04:13:42	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x52947b…
05-28 00:18:00	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xfc6928…
05-26 23:11:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	155	13¢	$20	0x46f368…
05-26 19:15:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	155	14¢	$21	0x6dd534…
05-26 12:36:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x95c84f…
05-26 12:36:11	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0xa2e495…
05-26 12:36:11	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x06a574…
05-26 10:28:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0xa704f3…
05-24 09:50:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	25	76¢	$19	0xbc41b2…
05-24 09:50:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	33	76¢	$25	0x286328…
05-24 00:00:53	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x8b088a…
05-23 22:20:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x9944d6…
05-20 19:48:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0x479997…
05-20 17:41:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	55	15¢	$8	0xafd7c6…
05-20 17:41:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	15¢	$5	0x7d29bf…
05-20 17:41:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	66	15¢	$10	0x5454b3…
05-20 16:01:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	180	16¢	$29	0xdba1bd…
05-19 13:21:03	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0xcb7987…
05-19 13:21:03	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x68ab8a…
05-19 10:45:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x80ed4a…
05-17 15:12:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0xdf9aa6…
05-17 10:04:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x9289cf…
05-16 00:53:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xe38295…
05-16 00:53:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0xb5785a…
05-16 00:53:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0x706fce…
05-16 00:53:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x29df9f…
05-15 21:55:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	168	2¢	$4	0xd6eb90…
05-15 04:09:39	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xfe7e47…
05-15 04:09:39	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x831b69…
05-15 00:40:05	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xe44eca…
05-14 22:24:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x93e5ef…
05-14 22:24:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0x4d7d3e…
05-14 18:00:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	78	3¢	$2	0xa68fb7…
04-26 11:25:18	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0x4653ab…
04-26 11:25:16	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0xbef21c…
04-26 11:25:16	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x422f57…
04-26 11:25:16	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0x27e64d…